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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 20, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Clippers32%9190
21Pistons68%97108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.9
35.4
35.2
19
62%
7
8
1
2
1
3
3
4
1-3
33%
6-11
4-9
55%
45%
2-3
67%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
35.1
38.9
6
51%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
7-14
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.2
34.1
34.5
22
95%
2
1
0
1
1
3
0
2
6-6
100%
5-5
4-8
100%
48%
2-4
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.7
31.8
24.6
9
25%
3
2
0
1
1
2
3
0
1-2
50%
4-17
5-11
24%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.9
30.3
22.5
13
67%
8
2
0
0
1
2
1
7
3-4
75%
5-8
3-7
63%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.0
28.9
18.5
12
61%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
48%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 30.0
24.5
25.9
7
70%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.8
12.9
23.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.2
6.1
9.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
0-0
-
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.2
0.6
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.7
0.4
6.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.8
4.2
0
0-1
47%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.5
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.2
44.1
17.5
22
54%
3
6
3
1
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
10-18
3-7
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.5
41.1
36.5
24
64%
17
3
1
1
2
0
5
12
2-2
100%
11-18
6-11
61%
53%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.1
37.9
40.6
23
57%
6
12
0
1
0
1
3
3
4-5
80%
8-17
6-13
47%
49%
1-1
100%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
34.5
26.7
4
31%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.0
27.5
24.0
14
81%
4
1
2
1
0
0
1
3
4-6
67%
5-6
2-4
83%
55%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.7
26.9
8.4
13
93%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
52%
3-4
75%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.1
23.2
22.2
6
52%
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
2-4
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
58%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.9
4.3
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
59%
0-0
-
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.7
0.6
1.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
54%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.9
34.9
1
6-13
48%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.1
19.8
0
4-8
50%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.5
8.6
0
1-2
50%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.