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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 20, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Grizzlies19%8584
9Hornets81%9796
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.4
41.5
38.0
6
51%
2
4
1
1
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
5-11
40%
45%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
36.8
39.0
23
60%
5
1
1
1
0
3
1
4
8-12
67%
6-12
7-15
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.4
34.1
35.9
7
35%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
46%
1-3
33%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.1
32.9
30.8
12
49%
6
2
1
1
1
7
3
3
4-5
80%
4-10
4-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
19.3
19.7
6
61%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.7
22.7
19.4
12
58%
5
0
1
0
1
1
0
5
2-3
67%
5-9
3-6
56%
50%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.3
13.8
10.2
4
52%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.7
13.8
8.2
8
69%
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
4-4
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.5
12.5
5.3
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-2
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.9
10.0
18.8
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.8
1.3
12.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
1.3
3.6
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.9
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.6
42.4
35.6
29
57%
7
1
1
1
0
2
1
6
7-8
88%
11-22
7-14
50%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.9
41.4
38.6
32
74%
5
9
5
3
0
2
0
5
8-8
100%
12-17
8-16
71%
54%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
37.1
38.2
11
46%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
4-7
44%
48%
1-3
33%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.8
26.7
19.3
8
58%
7
4
4
1
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
0-1
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.3
15.8
15.2
5
43%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
55%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.2
25.9
27.9
3
25%
8
1
1
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
52%
1-3
33%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.6
15.9
13.6
4
100%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.3
11.3
8.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.6
9.6
9.2
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 34.0
6.6
7.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.9
6.0
3.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
1.3
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-2
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.5
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.