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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 20, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Timberwolves20%8988
7Rockets80%100107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.5
32.8
32.4
9
38%
1
5
0
1
3
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-9
4-9
22%
44%
1-2
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.5
28.3
30.1
18
59%
12
0
0
1
0
1
5
7
4-5
80%
7-12
5-11
58%
47%
0-1
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.5
25.7
34.0
8
69%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-3
5-11
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.8
24.3
31.2
11
46%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-7
3-7
14%
41%
3-5
60%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.3
15.4
9.1
7
39%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-8
0-1
38%
38%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.1
30.9
32.0
6
50%
4
7
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
0-1
0%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.0
25.7
16.2
0
0%
2
0
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.4
20.1
16.8
19
70%
7
0
0
0
1
3
2
5
3-6
50%
8-11
3-6
73%
55%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.9
20.0
21.5
3
38%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
6.2
5.0
3
31%
1
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-4
1-1
25%
43%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.5
6.2
4.9
4
67%
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
40%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.2
4.4
11.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.0
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.2
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.3
35.5
35.6
20
59%
5
6
1
2
2
2
1
4
2-2
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
48%
2-3
67%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.5
30.4
33.8
11
101%
6
2
1
1
2
0
2
4
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
2-3
67%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.5
29.8
34.6
14
41%
8
1
0
0
0
2
4
4
2-2
100%
6-16
8-14
38%
55%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.9
26.5
33.8
8
40%
9
2
2
1
0
2
2
7
0-0
-
4-10
6-11
40%
55%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.2
25.6
27.8
13
60%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
1-4
25%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.0
27.7
20.7
10
63%
2
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.7
20.5
17.3
13
47%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-11
2-5
36%
50%
1-2
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.8
18.3
10.7
0
0%
6
2
3
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.2
18.2
6.9
10
78%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
56%
3-5
60%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.4
3.7
8.7
5
125%
0
1
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
3.7
2.0
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
1-1
100%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.7
7.9
0
1-1
52%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.3
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.5
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.