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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 20, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Celtics49%9180
10Spurs51%9277
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.1
39.9
35.8
16
41%
5
12
3
2
0
1
0
5
0-1
0%
8-19
5-11
42%
50%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.7
39.7
25.0
19
53%
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
4
4-4
100%
6-13
2-5
46%
50%
1-3
33%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.4
38.7
38.1
9
27%
12
2
0
1
0
1
1
11
2-2
100%
2-15
6-12
13%
48%
1-1
100%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.4
34.1
32.5
10
71%
3
1
0
0
5
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
5-8
71%
57%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
14.7
7.5
10
56%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-9
2-3
56%
51%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.2
26.8
18.7
7
46%
7
0
2
1
0
1
2
5
3-6
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.4
20.3
19.7
4
100%
8
0
0
0
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.9
14.0
23.4
3
38%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 32.1
11.7
19.7
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.4
0.1
11.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.2
14.5
0
2-4
52%
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.9
3.6
0
0-1
44%
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.0
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.8
37.9
34.5
25
50%
7
8
1
1
0
2
0
7
1-5
20%
12-22
9-17
55%
50%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
32.8
30.6
8
47%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
32.1
32.7
15
45%
9
3
0
1
1
2
1
8
3-4
75%
6-15
7-14
40%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
29.6
25.2
7
58%
7
1
0
1
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.0
29.1
32.8
7
34%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-3
33%
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
2-7
29%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.9
21.6
17.6
4
40%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.8
19.8
13.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
18.4
20.6
2
50%
8
0
1
0
2
0
4
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
15.9
11.7
7
45%
7
0
0
0
1
0
0
7
3-4
75%
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.6
2.8
19.1
0
0%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
46%
0-1
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
0.0
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.0
10.3
0
1-2
57%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.4
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.6
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.