Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 20, 2009

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	4	Celtics	49%	90	80
	10	Spurs	51%	91	77

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
BOS	94.1	85	87.2
SAS	91.7	84	82.0

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

-4

SAS

+10

-8

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

0.91 45.5%

SAS

0.88 43.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	SAS
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAS		80 100%	77 0%
Q4 - 0:01.0	SAS	Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)	78 99.7%	77 0.3%
Q4 - 0:05.0	BOS	Davis 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)	78 99.6%	74 0.4%
Q4 - 0:28.0	BOS	Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	76 91.4%	74 8.6%
Q4 - 0:30.0	SAS	MISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 2	76 89.6%	74 10.4%
Q4 - 0:30.0	SAS	MISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 2	76 83.3%	74 16.7%
Q4 - 0:33.0	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	76 80.1%	74 19.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0	BOS	MISS Rondo 7' Jump Shot	76 84.6%	74 15.4%
Q4 - 0:48.0	BOS	Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	76 87.0%	74 13.0%
Q4 - 0:49.0	SAS	MISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 2	76 85.7%	74 14.3%
Q4 - 0:49.0	SAS	MISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 2	76 79.0%	74 21.0%
Q4 - 1:02	SAS	SPURS Rebound	76 74.4%	74 25.6%
Q4 - 1:03	BOS	MISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot	76 78.0%	74 22.0%
Q4 - 1:21	BOS	Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	76 83.4%	74 16.6%
Q4 - 1:22	SAS	MISS Finley 16' Jump Shot	76 80.5%	74 19.5%
Q4 - 1:43	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	76 70.2%	74 29.8%
Q4 - 1:44	SAS	MISS Parker 17' Jump Shot	76 77.5%	74 22.5%
Q4 - 2:11	BOS	Perkins 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	76 68.6%	74 31.4%
Q4 - 2:31	BOS	Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	74 62.1%	74 37.9%
Q4 - 2:32	SAS	MISS Finley Free Throw 2 of 2	74 59.8%	74 40.2%
Q4 - 2:32	SAS	MISS Finley Free Throw 1 of 2	74 51.5%	74 48.5%
Q4 - 2:42	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	74 44.3%	74 55.7%
Q4 - 2:43	SAS	MISS Parker 17' Jump Shot	74 56.9%	74 43.1%
Q4 - 3:06	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	74 45.8%	74 54.2%
Q4 - 3:07	BOS	MISS Allen 19' Jump Shot	74 50.5%	74 49.5%
Q4 - 3:27	SAS	Parker 2' Layup (25 PTS)	74 61.4%	74 38.6%
Q4 - 3:47	SAS	SPURS Rebound	74 66.4%	72 33.6%
Q4 - 3:48	SAS	MISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot	74 72.5%	72 27.5%
Q4 - 4:13	BOS	Allen 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Rondo 12 AST)	74 66.6%	72 33.4%
Q4 - 4:37	SAS	Jump Ball Duncan vs. Davis: Tip to Allen	72 58.2%	72 41.8%
Q4 - 4:47	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	72 47.7%	72 52.3%
Q4 - 4:48	BOS	MISS House 21' Jump Shot	72 50.9%	72 49.1%
Q4 - 5:02	SAS	Thomas 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)	72 56.8%	72 43.2%
Q4 - 5:17	BOS	Allen 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)	72 64.6%	70 35.4%
Q4 - 5:33	SAS	Parker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)	70 56.9%	70 43.1%
Q4 - 5:50	BOS	Rondo 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)	70 48.1%	70 51.9%
Q4 - 6:13	BOS	Moore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	68 41.5%	70 58.5%
Q4 - 6:14	SAS	MISS Gooden 8' Jump Shot	68 39.2%	70 60.8%
Q4 - 6:23	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	68 34.0%	70 66.0%
Q4 - 6:24	BOS	MISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot	68 36.2%	70 63.8%
Q4 - 6:43	SAS	Bowen 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)	68 41.4%	70 58.6%
Q4 - 7:06	BOS	Davis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	68 48.8%	68 51.2%
Q4 - 7:19	BOS	Moore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	68 56.3%	68 43.7%
Q4 - 7:21	SAS	MISS Hill 13' Jump Shot	68 54.0%	68 46.0%
Q4 - 7:42	BOS	Davis 2' Layup (5 PTS)	68 48.8%	68 51.2%
Q4 - 7:58	BOS	Marbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	66 42.4%	68 57.6%
Q4 - 7:59	SAS	MISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot	66 40.1%	68 59.9%
Q4 - 8:12	SAS	Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	66 37.0%	68 63.0%
Q4 - 8:14	BOS	Bowen BLOCK (2 BLK)	66 38.8%	68 61.2%
Q4 - 8:21	BOS	Pierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)	66 42.9%	68 57.1%
Q4 - 8:22	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 20' Jump Shot	66 41.1%	68 58.9%
Q4 - 8:38	SAS	Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	66 36.9%	68 63.1%
Q4 - 8:39	BOS	MISS Marbury 25' 3PT Jump Shot	66 38.7%	68 61.3%
Q4 - 9:00	SAS	Gooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	66 42.9%	68 57.1%
Q4 - 9:00	SAS	Gooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	66 44.2%	67 55.8%
Q4 - 9:08	SAS	Gooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	66 49.9%	66 50.1%
Q4 - 9:09	BOS	MISS House 20' Jump Shot	66 51.7%	66 48.3%
Q4 - 9:30	SAS	Hill 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)	66 55.7%	66 44.3%
Q4 - 9:51	SAS	SPURS Rebound	66 61.8%	64 38.2%
Q4 - 9:51	BOS	Bowen BLOCK (1 BLK)	66 63.5%	64 36.5%
Q4 - 10:10	BOS	Moore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	66 66.1%	64 33.9%
Q4 - 10:11	SAS	MISS Gooden Free Throw 2 of 2	66 65.5%	64 34.5%
Q4 - 10:11	SAS	Gooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	66 62.0%	64 38.0%
Q4 - 10:33	BOS	Marbury 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)	66 66.3%	63 33.7%
Q4 - 10:51	SAS	SPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)	64 60.9%	63 39.1%
Q4 - 10:51	SAS	SPURS Rebound	64 55.5%	63 44.5%
Q4 - 10:52	SAS	MISS Gooden 6' Tip Shot	64 59.3%	63 40.7%
Q4 - 11:15	SAS	Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	64 55.3%	63 44.7%
Q4 - 11:16	BOS	MISS Davis 19' Jump Shot	64 56.8%	63 43.2%
Q4 - 11:27	BOS	Moore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	64 60.2%	63 39.8%
Q4 - 11:28	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot	64 58.8%	63 41.2%
Q4 - 11:41	SAS	Gooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	64 55.3%	63 44.7%
Q4 - 11:42	BOS	MISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot	64 56.8%	63 43.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS		64 60.3%	63 39.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS	SPURS Rebound	64 55.3%	63 44.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS	MISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot	64 58.8%	63 41.2%
Q3 - 0:14.0	SAS	Gooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	64 55.1%	63 44.9%
Q3 - 0:15.0	BOS	MISS Pierce 11' Jump Shot	64 56.4%	63 43.6%
Q3 - 0:38.0	SAS	Mason Jr. 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	64 59.5%	63 40.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0	BOS	Moore 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 11 AST)	64 64.9%	61 35.1%
Q3 - 1:09	SAS	Mason Jr. Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T6)	62 58.9%	61 41.1%
Q3 - 1:30	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	62 54.6%	61 45.4%
Q3 - 1:30	BOS	MISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 2	62 55.2%	61 44.8%
Q3 - 1:30	BOS	Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	62 58.2%	61 41.8%
Q3 - 1:49	SAS	Parker 1' Layup (23 PTS)	61 54.1%	61 45.9%
Q3 - 1:53	BOS	Parker STEAL (1 STL)	61 59.4%	59 40.6%
Q3 - 2:15	SAS	Gooden 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)	61 63.1%	59 36.9%
Q3 - 2:34	BOS	Rondo Foul Turnover (P1.T2)	61 67.4%	57 32.6%
Q3 - 2:39	BOS	Perkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	61 71.4%	57 28.6%
Q3 - 2:40	SAS	MISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot	61 70.2%	57 29.8%
Q3 - 2:59	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	61 67.4%	57 32.6%
Q3 - 3:03	BOS	Thomas BLOCK (2 BLK)	61 68.1%	57 31.9%
Q3 - 3:10	BOS	Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	61 70.9%	57 29.1%
Q3 - 3:11	SAS	MISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot	61 69.7%	57 30.3%
Q3 - 3:29	BOS	Rondo 7' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)	61 66.8%	57 33.2%
Q3 - 3:50	SAS	Duncan 2' Layup (15 PTS)	59 63.0%	57 37.0%
Q3 - 4:09	BOS	Rondo 2' Layup (12 PTS)	59 66.0%	55 34.0%
Q3 - 4:14	BOS	Pierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)	57 62.7%	55 37.3%
Q3 - 4:15	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 22' Jump Shot	57 61.2%	55 38.8%
Q3 - 4:18	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	57 57.8%	55 42.2%
Q3 - 4:20	SAS	MISS Parker 4' Floating Jump Shot	57 61.2%	55 38.8%
Q3 - 4:31	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	57 57.8%	55 42.2%
Q3 - 4:32	BOS	MISS Allen 10' Floating Jump Shot	57 59.3%	55 40.7%
Q3 - 4:49	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)	57 62.7%	55 37.3%
Q3 - 5:12	BOS	Garnett 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)	57 68.9%	52 31.1%
Q3 - 5:31	SAS	Parker 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)	55 65.7%	52 34.3%
Q3 - 5:34	SAS	SPURS Rebound	55 68.9%	50 31.1%
Q3 - 5:34	SAS	MISS Duncan 5' Running Jump Shot	55 71.6%	50 28.4%
Q3 - 6:02	BOS	Garnett 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)	55 68.4%	50 31.6%
Q3 - 6:08	BOS	Rondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	53 65.1%	50 34.9%
Q3 - 6:09	SAS	MISS Parker 18' Jump Shot	53 63.9%	50 36.1%
Q3 - 6:37	BOS	Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)	53 61.1%	50 38.9%
Q3 - 6:43	BOS	Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	50 53.5%	50 46.5%
Q3 - 6:44	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot	50 52.2%	50 47.8%
Q3 - 6:53	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	50 49.1%	50 50.9%
Q3 - 6:54	BOS	MISS Rondo 11' Floating Jump Shot	50 50.5%	50 49.5%
Q3 - 7:04	BOS	Perkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	50 52.9%	50 47.1%
Q3 - 7:05	SAS	MISS Parker 16' Jump Shot	50 51.7%	50 48.3%
Q3 - 7:21	BOS	Garnett 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	50 49.0%	50 51.0%
Q3 - 7:33	SAS	Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)	48 45.3%	50 54.7%
Q3 - 7:49	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	48 52.8%	47 47.2%
Q3 - 7:50	BOS	MISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot	48 54.1%	47 45.9%
Q3 - 8:09	BOS	Perkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	48 56.6%	47 43.4%
Q3 - 8:10	SAS	MISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot	48 55.3%	47 44.7%
Q3 - 8:34	BOS	Garnett 3' Dunk (4 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)	48 52.5%	47 47.5%
Q3 - 8:37	BOS	Garnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	46 49.1%	47 50.9%
Q3 - 8:38	SAS	MISS Duncan 2' Layup	46 47.8%	47 52.2%
Q3 - 9:02	BOS	Perkins 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)	46 45.3%	47 54.7%
Q3 - 9:17	BOS	Rondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	44 41.7%	47 58.3%
Q3 - 9:18	SAS	MISS Hill 15' Jump Shot	44 40.6%	47 59.4%
Q3 - 9:36	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	44 38.1%	47 61.9%
Q3 - 9:37	BOS	MISS Perkins 5' Fadeaway Jumper	44 39.2%	47 60.8%
Q3 - 9:49	BOS	Celtics Rebound	44 41.7%	47 58.3%
Q3 - 9:49	SAS	MISS Parker 2' Layup	44 40.6%	47 59.4%
Q3 - 10:00	SAS	Finley Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)	44 38.1%	47 61.9%
Q3 - 10:00	BOS	Garnett 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)	44 41.6%	46 58.4%
Q3 - 10:15	BOS	Pierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	42 38.5%	46 61.5%
Q3 - 10:16	SAS	MISS Parker 20' Jump Shot	42 37.5%	46 62.5%
Q3 - 10:38	BOS	Allen Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)	42 35.1%	46 64.9%
Q3 - 10:54	SAS	Parker 2' Layup (16 PTS)	39 28.9%	46 71.1%
Q3 - 10:59	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	39 31.9%	44 68.1%
Q3 - 11:01	BOS	Bonner BLOCK (1 BLK)	39 33.5%	44 66.5%
Q3 - 11:09	BOS	Garnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	39 35.9%	44 64.1%
Q3 - 11:10	BOS	MISS Pierce 20' Jump Shot	39 33.5%	44 66.5%
Q3 - 11:16	BOS	Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	39 35.8%	44 64.2%
Q3 - 11:17	SAS	MISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot	39 34.8%	44 65.2%
Q3 - 11:35	BOS	Pierce 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	39 32.5%	44 67.5%
Q3 - 11:47	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	37 29.7%	44 70.3%
Q3 - 11:47	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	37 30.5%	43 69.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	BOS		37 32.5%	42 67.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	BOS	Pierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	37 35.8%	42 64.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot	37 35.2%	42 64.8%
Q2 - 0:21.0	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	37 33.6%	42 66.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0	BOS	Duncan BLOCK (1 BLK)	37 34.3%	42 65.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0	SAS	Parker 2' Layup (14 PTS)	37 35.9%	42 64.1%
Q2 - 0:46.0	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	37 39.8%	40 60.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0	BOS	MISS Pierce 11' Fadeaway Jumper	37 40.5%	40 59.5%
Q2 - 1:17	SAS	Duncan 2' Dunk (11 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)	37 42.5%	40 57.5%
Q2 - 1:25	SAS	Mason Jr. Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)	37 46.6%	38 53.4%
Q2 - 1:35	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	37 49.9%	37 50.1%
Q2 - 1:36	BOS	MISS Rondo 16' Jump Shot	37 50.6%	37 49.4%
Q2 - 1:50	BOS	Moore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	37 52.3%	37 47.7%
Q2 - 1:51	SAS	MISS Bonner 7' Jump Shot	37 51.6%	37 48.4%
Q2 - 2:05	BOS	Rondo 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)	37 49.3%	37 50.7%
Q2 - 2:08	SAS	Parker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	35 46.3%	37 53.7%
Q2 - 2:25	BOS	Allen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	35 43.0%	37 57.0%
Q2 - 2:25	BOS	Allen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	34 42.8%	37 57.2%
Q2 - 2:28	BOS	Rondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	33 40.0%	37 60.0%
Q2 - 2:29	SAS	MISS Parker 6' Jump Shot	33 39.0%	37 61.0%
Q2 - 2:46	BOS	Allen 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)	33 36.9%	37 63.1%
Q2 - 2:59	SAS	Duncan Foul Turnover (P1.T4)	31 34.0%	37 66.0%
Q2 - 3:17	BOS	Rondo 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	31 31.4%	37 68.6%
Q2 - 3:33	BOS	Moore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	29 29.2%	37 70.8%
Q2 - 3:35	BOS	MISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot	29 27.1%	37 72.9%
Q2 - 3:50	BOS	Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	29 29.2%	37 70.8%
Q2 - 3:52	SAS	MISS Duncan 7' Turnaround Bank Shot	29 28.3%	37 71.7%
Q2 - 4:15	BOS	Perkins 3' Layup (6 PTS)	29 26.9%	37 73.1%
Q2 - 4:41	SAS	Duncan 8' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)	27 24.7%	37 75.3%
Q2 - 4:59	BOS	Moore 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marbury 1 AST)	27 26.8%	35 73.2%
Q2 - 5:17	BOS	Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 25.3%	35 74.7%
Q2 - 5:19	SAS	MISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot	25 24.6%	35 75.4%
Q2 - 5:44	BOS	Perkins 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	25 23.1%	35 76.9%
Q2 - 6:00	SAS	Duncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)	23 21.0%	35 79.0%
Q2 - 6:18	BOS	Allen 7' Running Bank Shot (5 PTS)	23 23.5%	33 76.5%
Q2 - 6:45	SAS	Parker 2' Running Layup (12 PTS)	21 21.8%	33 78.2%
Q2 - 6:58	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	21 23.5%	31 76.5%
Q2 - 6:59	BOS	MISS Allen 15' Jump Shot	21 24.2%	31 75.8%
Q2 - 7:07	BOS	Moore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	21 26.2%	31 73.8%
Q2 - 7:08	BOS	MISS Allen 2' Driving Layup	21 24.7%	31 75.3%
Q2 - 7:12	BOS	Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	21 26.2%	31 73.8%
Q2 - 7:14	BOS	MISS House 16' Jump Shot	21 24.7%	31 75.3%
Q2 - 7:34	SAS	Bonner 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)	21 26.2%	31 73.8%
Q2 - 7:57	SAS	Gooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	21 28.4%	29 71.6%
Q2 - 7:59	BOS	MISS Marbury 6' Driving Jump Shot	21 29.1%	29 70.9%
Q2 - 8:18	SAS	Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)	21 31.3%	29 68.7%
Q2 - 8:26	SAS	Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	21 36.3%	26 63.7%
Q2 - 8:28	BOS	MISS Marbury 17' Jump Shot	21 37.1%	26 62.9%
Q2 - 8:43	SAS	Hill 6' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	21 38.8%	26 61.2%
Q2 - 9:02	SAS	Gooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	21 41.4%	24 58.6%
Q2 - 9:04	BOS	Udoka BLOCK (1 BLK)	21 42.2%	24 57.8%
Q2 - 9:11	BOS	Moore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	21 44.1%	24 55.9%
Q2 - 9:13	SAS	MISS Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot	21 43.3%	24 56.7%
Q2 - 9:20	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	21 41.4%	24 58.6%
Q2 - 9:21	BOS	MISS Davis 2' Layup	21 42.2%	24 57.8%
Q2 - 9:40	SAS	Gooden 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)	21 44.1%	24 55.9%
Q2 - 10:06	BOS	House 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)	21 46.8%	22 53.2%
Q2 - 10:12	BOS	Pierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	18 41.7%	22 58.3%
Q2 - 10:13	SAS	MISS Gooden 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	18 40.9%	22 59.1%
Q2 - 10:30	SAS	Gooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	18 39.1%	22 60.9%
Q2 - 10:32	BOS	MISS Rondo 1' Driving Layup	18 39.9%	22 60.1%
Q2 - 10:53	SAS	Hill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	18 41.7%	22 58.3%
Q2 - 11:08	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 39.3%	22 60.7%
Q2 - 11:10	BOS	MISS Davis 17' Jump Shot	18 40.1%	22 59.9%
Q2 - 11:22	BOS	Rondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	18 41.8%	22 58.2%
Q2 - 11:24	SAS	MISS Gooden 15' Jump Shot	18 41.0%	22 59.0%
Q2 - 11:41	BOS	Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	18 39.3%	22 60.7%
Q2 - 11:41	BOS	Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	17 38.7%	22 61.3%
Q2 - 11:43	SAS	Mason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)	16 36.9%	22 63.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAS		16 34.5%	22 65.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0	BOS	Allen 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)	16 34.5%	22 65.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0	SAS	Mason Jr. Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	14 32.5%	22 67.5%
Q1 - 0:07.0	SAS	Gooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 30.9%	22 69.1%
Q1 - 0:08.0	BOS	MISS Rondo Layup	14 31.4%	22 68.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0	BOS	Pierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	14 32.5%	22 67.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0	BOS	MISS Rondo 14' Jump Shot	14 31.3%	22 68.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0	BOS	Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	14 32.5%	22 67.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0	BOS	Gooden BLOCK (1 BLK)	14 31.3%	22 68.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0	BOS	Pierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	14 32.5%	22 67.5%
Q1 - 0:55.0	SAS	MISS Thomas 13' Jump Shot	14 32.0%	22 68.0%
Q1 - 1:16	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	14 31.6%	22 68.4%
Q1 - 1:17	BOS	MISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 2	14 31.8%	22 68.2%
Q1 - 1:17	BOS	MISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 2	14 33.2%	22 66.8%
Q1 - 1:28	BOS	Celtics Rebound	14 33.1%	22 66.9%
Q1 - 1:29	BOS	Thomas BLOCK (1 BLK)	14 32.1%	22 67.9%
Q1 - 1:35	BOS	Pierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	14 33.0%	22 67.0%
Q1 - 1:37	SAS	MISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot	14 32.6%	22 67.4%
Q1 - 1:53	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	14 31.6%	22 68.4%
Q1 - 1:54	SAS	MISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2	14 32.8%	22 67.2%
Q1 - 1:54	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	14 31.5%	22 68.5%
Q1 - 2:09	BOS	Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)	14 34.1%	21 65.9%
Q1 - 2:31	SAS	Duncan 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	11 29.7%	21 70.3%
Q1 - 2:48	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 32.0%	19 68.0%
Q1 - 2:50	BOS	MISS Rondo 9' Jump Shot	11 32.5%	19 67.5%
Q1 - 3:03	BOS	Celtics Rebound	11 34.1%	19 65.9%
Q1 - 3:03	SAS	MISS Bowen 2' Driving Layup	11 33.5%	19 66.5%
Q1 - 3:23	BOS	Pierce 8' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)	11 32.1%	19 67.9%
Q1 - 3:43	SAS	Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)	9 30.1%	19 69.9%
Q1 - 3:56	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	9 34.1%	16 65.9%
Q1 - 3:58	SAS	MISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Bank Shot	9 35.5%	16 64.5%
Q1 - 4:20	BOS	Perkins 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)	9 34.3%	16 65.7%
Q1 - 4:42	SAS	Parker 6' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)	7 32.4%	16 67.6%
Q1 - 4:49	BOS	Thomas STEAL (1 STL)	7 34.3%	14 65.7%
Q1 - 4:56	BOS	Pierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	7 36.4%	14 63.6%
Q1 - 4:58	SAS	MISS Duncan 9' Running Jump Shot	7 35.8%	14 64.2%
Q1 - 5:16	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	7 34.5%	14 65.5%
Q1 - 5:19	BOS	MISS Allen 23' Jump Shot	7 35.1%	14 64.9%
Q1 - 5:25	BOS	Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	7 36.7%	14 63.3%
Q1 - 5:26	SAS	MISS Finley 11' Jump Shot	7 36.0%	14 64.0%
Q1 - 5:36	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	7 34.5%	14 65.5%
Q1 - 5:38	BOS	MISS Garnett 11' Turnaround Jump Shot	7 35.1%	14 64.9%
Q1 - 5:59	SAS	Duncan 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)	7 36.7%	14 63.3%
Q1 - 6:17	BOS	Rondo 6' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)	7 38.7%	12 61.3%
Q1 - 6:30	SAS	Bonner 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)	5 36.8%	12 63.2%
Q1 - 6:57	BOS	Rondo 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	5 38.7%	10 61.3%
Q1 - 7:15	SAS	Mason Jr. 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	3 36.9%	10 63.1%
Q1 - 7:26	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	3 38.6%	8 61.4%
Q1 - 7:28	BOS	MISS Garnett 17' Jump Shot	3 39.3%	8 60.7%
Q1 - 7:41	SAS	Parker 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)	3 40.9%	8 59.1%
Q1 - 7:53	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	3 42.7%	6 57.3%
Q1 - 7:54	BOS	MISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 1	3 43.0%	6 57.0%
Q1 - 8:16	SAS	Parker 1' Layup (6 PTS)	1 40.8%	6 59.2%
Q1 - 8:21	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	1 42.9%	4 57.1%
Q1 - 8:23	BOS	MISS Perkins 8' Turnaround Jump Shot	1 43.5%	4 56.5%
Q1 - 8:35	BOS	Pierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	1 45.0%	4 55.0%
Q1 - 8:36	SAS	MISS Parker 15' Jump Shot	1 44.3%	4 55.7%
Q1 - 8:48	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	1 42.9%	4 57.1%
Q1 - 8:50	BOS	MISS Rondo 3' Layup	1 43.5%	4 56.5%
Q1 - 8:55	BOS	Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	1 45.0%	4 55.0%
Q1 - 8:57	SAS	MISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot	1 44.3%	4 55.7%
Q1 - 9:15	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	1 43.7%	4 56.3%
Q1 - 9:17	BOS	MISS Pierce 6' Jump Shot	1 44.2%	4 55.8%
Q1 - 9:22	BOS	Allen Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)	1 45.5%	4 54.5%
Q1 - 9:33	BOS	Pierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 43.5%	4 56.5%
Q1 - 9:35	SAS	MISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot	0 42.9%	4 57.1%
Q1 - 9:45	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	0 41.7%	4 58.3%
Q1 - 9:47	BOS	MISS Garnett 14' Jump Shot	0 42.2%	4 57.8%
Q1 - 9:59	SAS	Parker 1' Layup (4 PTS)	0 43.4%	4 56.6%
Q1 - 10:04	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 45.8%	2 54.2%
Q1 - 10:05	BOS	MISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot	0 46.4%	2 53.6%
Q1 - 10:17	SAS	Parker 2' Layup (2 PTS)	0 47.8%	2 52.2%
Q1 - 10:21	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 49.5%	0 50.5%
Q1 - 10:22	BOS	MISS Allen 19' Jump Shot	0 50.1%	0 49.9%
Q1 - 10:31	BOS	Pierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 51.5%	0 48.5%
Q1 - 10:33	SAS	MISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot	0 50.9%	0 49.1%
Q1 - 10:48	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 49.5%	0 50.5%
Q1 - 10:50	SAS	MISS Duncan 8' Jump Hook Shot	0 50.9%	0 49.1%
Q1 - 11:06	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 49.5%	0 50.5%
Q1 - 11:08	BOS	MISS Rondo 12' Jump Shot	0 50.0%	0 50.0%
Q1 - 11:21	BOS	Rondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 51.2%	0 48.8%
Q1 - 11:23	SAS	MISS Parker 16' Jump Shot	0 50.7%	0 49.3%
Q1 - 11:45	SAS	SPURS Rebound	0 49.5%	0 50.5%
Q1 - 11:46	BOS	MISS Garnett 16' Jump Shot	0 50.0%	0 50.0%
Q1 - 12:00	SAS	Jump Ball Duncan vs. Perkins: Tip to Rondo	0 51.2%	0 48.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

0.91 45.5%

SAS

0.88 43.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

52%

SAS

75%

Midrange

BOS

36%

SAS

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

4.5

50%

75%

SAS

6.0

24%

35%

Free Throws

BOS

69%

SAS

53%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Allen	19	56%	9.5 / 17
R. Rondo	16	42%	8.0 / 19
K. Perkins	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. Garnett	10	56%	5.0 / 9
P. Pierce	9	26%	4.5 / 17
G. Davis	7	44%	3.5 / 8
M. Moore	4	100%	2.0 / 2
E. House	3	38%	1.5 / 4
S. Marbury	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Parker	25	50%	12.5 / 25
T. Duncan	15	44%	7.5 / 17
R. Mason Jr.	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Bonner	7	58%	3.5 / 6
M. Finley	7	35%	3.5 / 10
D. Gooden	7	44%	3.5 / 8
G. Hill	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. Bowen	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Thomas	2	50%	1.0 / 2
I. Udoka	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

-4

SAS

+10

-8

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

0.91 45.5%

SAS

0.88 43.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	110.1 108.3	BOS 94.1 +2.5 SAS 91.7
Pace	90.9 88.7	BOS 87.2 +5.2 SAS 82.0
Avg. Poss. Time	15.8 16.5	BOS 16.5 +1.1 SAS 17.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	52.8% 51.3%	BOS 43.3% SAS 44.2% +0.9%
TO %	16.4% 12.4%	BOS 4.4% +5.2% SAS 9.6%
ORB %	27.9% 22.2%	BOS 12.8% SAS 13.6% +0.8%
FTrt	32.8 25.1	BOS 15.9 SAS 22.1 +6.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	60.6% 57.1%	BOS 58.8% +5.7% SAS 53.1%
STL %	8.3% 6.5%	BOS 7.1% +4.7% SAS 2.4%
BLK %	7.8% 6.1%	BOS 10.0% SAS 10.5% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	55.6% 53.4%	BOS 45.5% +1.7% SAS 43.8%
Rim FG%	60.2% 58.8%	BOS 52.2% SAS 75.0% +22.8%
Mid FG%	42.4% 42.7%	BOS 35.8% +3.3% SAS 32.5%
3P %	39.7% 38.6%	BOS 50.0% +26.5% SAS 23.5%
FT %	76.7% 76.2%	BOS 69.2% +16.3% SAS 52.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	37.8% 30.3%	BOS 28.0% +2.1% SAS 26.0%
Mid Att. %	40.8% 44.9%	BOS 64.6% SAS 51.9% +12.7%
3P Att. %	21.4% 24.8%	BOS 7.3% SAS 22.1% +14.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	BOS	SAS
Possessions	85	84
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	80	77
Rebounds	44	47
Assists	20	17
Steals	6	2
Blocks	6	8
Turnovers (Team)	4 (0)	8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (1)	6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (2)	41 (3)
Field Goals	34-82	32-77
At-the-Rim FG	12-23	15-20
Midrange FG	19-53	13-40
2-Point FG	31-76	28-60
3-Point FG	3-6	4-17
Free Throws	9-13	9-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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4 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rajon Rondo G · 6'1" 186 · 23	39.9	16	42%	5	12	3	0	1	3	0	5	0-1	0%	8-19	42%	0-0	-
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 34	39.7	19	56%	4	2	0	1	0	0	0	4	4-4	100%	6-13	46%	1-3	33%
Paul Pierce F · 6'7" 235 · 31	38.7	9	26%	12	2	0	0	1	4	1	11	2-2	100%	2-15	13%	1-1	100%
Kendrick Perkins C · 6'10" 270 · 24	34.1	10	71%	3	1	0	5	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Kevin Garnett F · 6'11" 240 · 33	14.7	10	56%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Glen Davis F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23	26.8	7	44%	7	0	2	0	1	5	2	5	3-6	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Mikki Moore F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33	20.3	4	100%	8	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Eddie House G · 6'1" 190 · 31	14.0	3	38%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Stephon Marbury G · 6'2" 205 · 32	11.7	2	25%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Henry Walker F · 6'6" 235 · 21	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Leon Powe F · 6'8" 240 · 25
Gabe Pruitt G · 6'4" 170 · 23
J.R. Giddens #4 · G · 6'5" 215 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brian Scalabrine #44 · F · 6'9" 235 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tony Allen #42 · · 6'4" 213 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	80	46%	44	20	6	6	4	0	6	38	9-13	69%	31-76	41%	3-6	50%

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4 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rajon Rondo G · 6'1" 186 · 23	39.9	16	42%	5	12	3	0	1	3	0	5	0-1	0%	8-19	42%	0-0	-
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 34	39.7	19	56%	4	2	0	1	0	0	0	4	4-4	100%	6-13	46%	1-3	33%
Paul Pierce F · 6'7" 235 · 31	38.7	9	26%	12	2	0	0	1	4	1	11	2-2	100%	2-15	13%	1-1	100%
Kendrick Perkins C · 6'10" 270 · 24	34.1	10	71%	3	1	0	5	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Kevin Garnett F · 6'11" 240 · 33	14.7	10	56%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Glen Davis F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23	26.8	7	44%	7	0	2	0	1	5	2	5	3-6	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Mikki Moore F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33	20.3	4	100%	8	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Eddie House G · 6'1" 190 · 31	14.0	3	38%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Stephon Marbury G · 6'2" 205 · 32	11.7	2	25%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Henry Walker F · 6'6" 235 · 21	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Leon Powe F · 6'8" 240 · 25
Gabe Pruitt G · 6'4" 170 · 23
J.R. Giddens #4 · G · 6'5" 215 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brian Scalabrine #44 · F · 6'9" 235 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tony Allen #42 · · 6'4" 213 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	80	46%	44	20	6	6	4	0	6	38	9-13	69%	31-76	41%	3-6	50%

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10 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 27	37.9	25	50%	7	8	1	0	2	2	0	7	1-5	20%	12-22	55%	0-1	0%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 29	32.8	8	50%	2	2	0	0	3	3	0	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 33	32.1	15	44%	9	3	0	1	2	1	1	8	3-4	75%	6-15	40%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 29	29.6	7	58%	7	1	0	1	0	1	1	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Michael Finley F · 6'7" 225 · 36	29.1	7	35%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-3	33%	0-2	0%	2-7	29%
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 23	21.6	4	40%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 38	19.8	2	50%	1	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	18.4	2	50%	8	0	1	2	0	2	4	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 27	15.9	7	44%	7	0	0	1	0	3	0	7	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32	2.8	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jacque Vaughn G · 6'1" 190 · 34	0.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 34
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Malik Hairston #1 · G · 6'6" 220 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	77	44%	47	17	2	8	8	0	6	41	9-17	53%	28-60	47%	4-17	24%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE