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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 20, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Wizards16%92105
5Nuggets84%105116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
32.8
29.8
9
53%
5
3
1
1
1
1
1
4
1-1
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
29.6
37.2
27
61%
7
1
1
1
0
4
1
6
5-7
71%
8-14
7-14
57%
47%
2-5
40%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.7
28.4
27.5
8
45%
4
9
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
42%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.1
25.9
24.2
5
34%
5
1
1
1
2
1
1
4
1-1
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
50%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.6
23.9
24.7
10
51%
2
2
2
1
2
4
1
1
2-4
50%
4-8
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.8
35.5
26.7
20
66%
3
1
1
1
0
4
0
3
4-5
80%
5-9
4-9
56%
46%
2-4
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.2
23.9
18.1
13
52%
11
1
1
0
0
3
6
5
5-10
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.2
23.3
20.5
3
26%
3
3
2
1
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.3
16.6
6.8
10
65%
6
1
2
0
0
2
5
1
6-6
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
46%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.4
13.8
1
1-3
43%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.0
13.0
1
2-5
47%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.3
9.2
0
1-3
50%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.2
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.0
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
35.0
28.2
40
75%
5
3
3
1
1
4
1
4
7-8
88%
12-15
3-6
80%
52%
3-8
38%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.5
32.6
35.0
5
36%
2
6
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.8
32.1
33.0
20
49%
3
4
5
1
0
5
1
2
8-10
80%
6-15
8-15
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.5
26.6
32.1
11
87%
4
1
1
1
2
0
0
4
3-3
100%
4-5
5-9
80%
61%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.2
19.9
19.2
6
36%
6
1
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-3
0%
3-7
3-5
43%
54%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.7
25.0
21.6
9
65%
6
0
3
1
0
3
3
3
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
57%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.8
23.5
16.4
2
33%
0
10
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
22.0
17.1
18
92%
11
1
0
0
6
1
5
6
4-4
100%
7-8
2-4
88%
56%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.2
15.8
18.4
2
17%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
57%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.2
2.5
15.7
1
57%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 23.1
2.5
3.8
2
69%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.9
2.5
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.7
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.