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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 20, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1576ers53%104111
19Warriors47%102119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.1
38.7
40.7
19
44%
5
7
2
2
0
2
2
3
8-10
80%
4-14
6-12
29%
52%
1-3
33%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.7
38.2
32.8
23
49%
6
4
1
1
1
3
5
1
5-6
83%
9-18
7-12
50%
54%
0-3
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
32.7
29.0
15
51%
23
0
1
1
0
1
11
12
5-6
83%
5-12
4-7
42%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.0
31.5
35.5
10
51%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
3-8
6-12
38%
51%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.6
21.5
21.3
10
67%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.4
30.1
25.7
20
46%
6
6
5
1
0
0
1
5
8-11
73%
3-10
4-8
30%
47%
2-7
29%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.6
17.9
9.9
10
56%
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
55%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.2
15.7
10.7
4
33%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.8
7.9
12.6
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.8
5.8
11.7
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.9
6.0
0
0-1
51%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
2.1
0
0-0
42%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.0
38.9
26.1
14
40%
10
9
2
1
0
4
0
10
4-6
67%
2-9
4-8
22%
46%
2-6
33%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
36.6
29.9
15
63%
4
5
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
6-8
4-7
75%
48%
1-4
25%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.4
31.7
36.5
21
71%
4
4
0
2
0
4
0
4
4-4
100%
7-12
8-15
58%
52%
1-1
100%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.2
31.2
27.0
4
67%
5
5
0
1
4
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
28.6
21.8
25
82%
6
0
1
1
1
1
4
2
5-5
100%
10-13
4-8
77%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
25.3
20.3
16
80%
3
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
47%
2-3
67%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.4
20.5
25.7
12
61%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
4-8
4-8
50%
49%
1-1
100%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
18.9
10.7
9
56%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 24.0
8.2
3.4
3
75%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
1-2
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.0
36.9
1
4-8
45%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
14.3
0
1-3
48%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
9.2
0
2-3
48%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.7
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.