FinalWin Prob.pScore
1425%88
96
175%97
102
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
109.18891.9
CLE logo CLE
109.79389.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLCLE
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE96
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Murray 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLO. Hunter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)96
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLMISS Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLGardner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:17.0CLEMISS West 8' Jump Shot96
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0ATLMurray 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (West 1 AST)96
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 0:42.0CLEKinsey Foul Turnover (P1.T14)93
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0ATLMurray 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Morris 1 AST)93
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0ATLO. Hunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0CLEKinsey 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)90
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16CLED. Jackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:17CLEMISS Pavlovic 16' Jump Shot90
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 1:41ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)90
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 1:41ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)89
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 1:41CLEPavlovic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)88
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:43ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01CLEMISS James 22' Jump Shot86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16ATLHickson STEAL (1 STL)86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30CLEMISS D. Jackson 15' Jump Shot86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47ATLMurray 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Horford 6 AST)86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07CLEWest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27CLED. Jackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28ATLMISS Murray 17' Jump Shot84
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 3:37ATLHawks Rebound84
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 3:37CLEMISS West 1' Layup84
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 3:57CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 3:58ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 4:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)84
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 4:07CLEMISS Gibson Layup84
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 4:27ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)84
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 4:27ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)83
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 4:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 4:30ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 4:36ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 4:37CLEMISS James 22' Jump Shot82
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 5:06ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)82
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 5:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 5:15CLEMISS James 17' Jump Shot80
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 5:25CLED. Jackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 5:26ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot80
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 5:47CLEJames 23' Jump Shot (22 PTS)80
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 6:10ATLMurray 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)80
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 6:20CLESmith 6' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)78
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 6:40ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)78
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 6:40ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)77
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 6:57CLEGibson 1' Layup (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)76
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 7:15CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 7:16ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot76
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 7:36CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 7:36CLEJames 3' Tip Shot (20 PTS)76
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 7:38CLEMISS James 1' Layup76
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 7:57CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 7:58ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 8:13ATLHawks Rebound76
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 8:13CLEMISS James 11' Jump Hook Shot76
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 8:30CLED. Jackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 8:31CLEMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot76
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 8:42ATLMurray Foul Turnover (P5.T14)76
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 8:49CLED. Jackson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)76
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 9:03CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q4 - 9:04ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 176
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q4 - 9:04ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 9:04ATLSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)74
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 9:05CLED. Jackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)74
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 9:06CLED. Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 9:08ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Layup74
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 9:23CLEWilliams 6' Floating Jump Shot (24 PTS)74
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 9:35ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)74
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 9:53CLEWilliams 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)71
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 10:11ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)71
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 10:16ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q4 - 10:18CLEMISS Smith 1' Layup68
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 10:33ATLMurray 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)68
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 10:49CLEWilliams 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (D. Jackson 1 AST)66
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q4 - 11:09ATLJohnson Layup (16 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)66
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q4 - 11:16CLEPavlovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)64
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 11:35ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 11:35ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 263
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 11:46CLEPavlovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)63
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 11:46CLEPavlovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)63
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE63
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound63
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Gibson 22' Jump Shot63
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 0:18.0CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 263
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)63
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0CLEMISS James 24' Jump Shot62
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 1:08CLEJames 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)60
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 1:33ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)60
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q3 - 1:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 1:41ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot57
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q3 - 1:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 1:55CLEMISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot57
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q3 - 2:17CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 2:18ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 2:18ATLMISS Evans Tip Shot57
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 2:20ATLMISS Horford 10' Jump Shot57
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 2:51CLEPavlovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)57
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 3:04CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 3:05ATLMISS Smith 13' Turnaround Jump Shot57
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 3:14ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 3:14CLEMISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 3:23CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 3:24ATLMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot57
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 3:38ATLHawks Rebound57
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 3:39CLEMISS James 22' Jump Shot57
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 4:03ATLEvans 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)57
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 4:23CLEJames 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS)54
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q3 - 4:48ATLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)54
1.7%
72
98.3%
Q3 - 5:00CLEWest 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)51
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 5:02CLEWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q3 - 5:03CLEMISS Ilgauskas 15' Jump Shot51
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q3 - 5:24ATLSmith Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)51
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q3 - 5:42CLEWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 3 AST)49
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q3 - 5:58CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 6:00ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 149
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 6:20ATLHawks Rebound47
1.7%
67
98.3%
Q3 - 6:20CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 6:30CLEWilliams Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)47
1.5%
67
98.5%
Q3 - 6:41CLECAVALIERS Rebound47
1.7%
66
98.3%
Q3 - 6:41ATLJames BLOCK (1 BLK)47
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q3 - 6:56CLEJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)47
2.0%
66
98.0%
Q3 - 7:18ATLBibby 11' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)47
3.0%
63
97.0%
Q3 - 7:33CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)45
2.6%
63
97.4%
Q3 - 7:33CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)45
2.6%
62
97.4%
Q3 - 7:33CLEWilliams Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)45
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q3 - 7:50ATLJames STEAL (3 STL)45
3.5%
60
96.5%
Q3 - 8:11CLEJames 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)45
4.2%
60
95.8%
Q3 - 8:15CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)45
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 8:16ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup45
5.0%
58
95.0%
Q3 - 8:22CLEVarejao Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)45
5.6%
58
94.4%
Q3 - 8:25CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)45
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 8:26ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
5.0%
58
95.0%
Q3 - 8:34ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)45
5.6%
58
94.4%
Q3 - 8:35CLEMISS Ilgauskas 15' Jump Shot45
5.3%
58
94.7%
Q3 - 8:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 8:54ATLHorford 1' Dunk (6 PTS)45
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 8:57ATLMISS Smith 1' Layup43
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q3 - 9:19CLEIlgauskas 1' Layup (14 PTS) (West 3 AST)43
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 9:39ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)43
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q3 - 9:48ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
3.7%
56
96.3%
Q3 - 9:49CLEMISS James 15' Jump Shot40
3.6%
56
96.4%
Q3 - 9:56CLEWilliams Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)40
3.2%
56
96.8%
Q3 - 9:56CLECAVALIERS Rebound40
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q3 - 9:56CLEMISS Varejao 20' Jump Shot40
4.1%
55
95.9%
Q3 - 10:21ATLEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)40
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q3 - 10:48CLEVarejao 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)37
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q3 - 11:09ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)37
3.6%
53
96.4%
Q3 - 11:14ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q3 - 11:15CLEMISS West 19' Jump Shot37
4.0%
53
96.0%
Q3 - 11:42ATLJohnson 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS)37
3.6%
53
96.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE35
3.1%
53
96.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound35
2.7%
53
97.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0CLEMISS James 4' Driving Layup35
3.2%
53
96.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
3.0%
53
97.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
2.9%
53
97.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0CLESmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)33
2.5%
53
97.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
2.3%
53
97.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Pachulia 18' Jump Shot33
2.4%
53
97.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
2.5%
53
97.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 233
2.5%
53
97.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
2.3%
53
97.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
2.6%
52
97.4%
Q2 - 0:44.0ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot33
2.7%
52
97.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
2.9%
52
97.1%
Q2 - 0:54.0CLEMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot33
2.8%
52
97.2%
Q2 - 1:12ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P5.T11)33
2.7%
52
97.3%
Q2 - 1:26CLEWilliams 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (West 2 AST)33
3.0%
52
97.0%
Q2 - 1:50ATLEvans Dunk (6 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)33
3.5%
50
96.5%
Q2 - 2:10CLEIlgauskas 2' Layup (12 PTS)31
3.2%
50
96.8%
Q2 - 2:47ATLEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
3.6%
48
96.4%
Q2 - 2:47ATLEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
3.5%
48
96.5%
Q2 - 3:04CLEIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)29
3.3%
48
96.7%
Q2 - 3:19ATLJames STEAL (2 STL)29
3.7%
46
96.3%
Q2 - 3:24CLEWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)29
4.2%
46
95.8%
Q2 - 3:45CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
3.7%
46
96.3%
Q2 - 3:47ATLMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot29
3.8%
46
96.2%
Q2 - 3:58ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)29
4.2%
46
95.8%
Q2 - 3:59ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 229
3.7%
46
96.3%
Q2 - 3:59ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)29
4.0%
46
96.0%
Q2 - 4:07CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)28
3.8%
46
96.2%
Q2 - 4:24CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)28
3.4%
46
96.6%
Q2 - 4:25ATLMISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot28
3.5%
46
96.5%
Q2 - 4:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
3.8%
46
96.2%
Q2 - 4:34CLEMISS Ilgauskas 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
3.7%
46
96.3%
Q2 - 4:51ATLBibby 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)28
3.4%
46
96.6%
Q2 - 5:08CLEGibson Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)26
3.2%
46
96.8%
Q2 - 5:18ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
3.6%
45
96.4%
Q2 - 5:19CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 2 of 226
3.5%
45
96.5%
Q2 - 5:19CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
3.3%
45
96.7%
Q2 - 5:19CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
3.6%
44
96.4%
Q2 - 5:21ATLMISS Evans 16' Jump Shot26
3.7%
44
96.3%
Q2 - 5:37CLEJames Foul Turnover (P1.T6)26
4.0%
44
96.0%
Q2 - 5:41CLEWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
3.6%
44
96.4%
Q2 - 5:44ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
4.0%
44
96.0%
Q2 - 5:44ATLMISS Bibby 1' Tip Shot26
3.7%
44
96.3%
Q2 - 5:45ATLMISS Bibby 9' Jump Shot26
3.7%
44
96.3%
Q2 - 6:01CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
4.3%
44
95.7%
Q2 - 6:01CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 1 of 226
4.4%
43
95.6%
Q2 - 6:15CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
4.2%
43
95.8%
Q2 - 6:18ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 226
4.2%
43
95.8%
Q2 - 6:18ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
4.5%
43
95.5%
Q2 - 6:33CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
4.2%
43
95.8%
Q2 - 6:33CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
4.4%
42
95.6%
Q2 - 6:45CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
4.6%
41
95.3%
Q2 - 6:49ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 125
4.7%
41
95.3%
Q2 - 7:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
4.3%
41
95.7%
Q2 - 7:04CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 223
4.2%
41
95.8%
Q2 - 7:04CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)23
3.9%
41
96.1%
Q2 - 7:08CLECAVALIERS Rebound23
4.3%
40
95.7%
Q2 - 7:09CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
4.6%
40
95.4%
Q2 - 7:21CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
4.3%
40
95.7%
Q2 - 7:22ATLMISS Murray 6' Jump Shot23
4.4%
40
95.6%
Q2 - 7:30ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
4.8%
40
95.2%
Q2 - 7:31CLEMISS Williams 4' Jump Shot23
4.6%
40
95.4%
Q2 - 7:54ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)23
4.3%
40
95.7%
Q2 - 7:54ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)22
4.2%
40
95.8%
Q2 - 7:57CLEGibson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)21
3.8%
40
96.2%
Q2 - 8:13ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
3.7%
40
96.3%
Q2 - 8:13ATLEvans Tip Shot (2 PTS)21
3.7%
40
96.3%
Q2 - 8:14ATLMISS Murray 2' Layup19
3.1%
40
96.9%
Q2 - 8:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
3.3%
40
96.7%
Q2 - 8:30CLEMISS Gibson 3PT Jump Shot19
3.2%
40
96.8%
Q2 - 8:42ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)19
2.9%
40
97.1%
Q2 - 8:56CLESmith 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)16
2.4%
40
97.6%
Q2 - 9:16ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P4.T9)16
2.7%
38
97.3%
Q2 - 9:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)16
3.0%
38
97.0%
Q2 - 9:33CLEMISS D. Jackson Free Throw 1 of 116
3.0%
38
97.0%
Q2 - 9:34CLED. Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
3.4%
36
96.6%
Q2 - 9:35CLEMISS Williams 1' Layup16
3.6%
36
96.4%
Q2 - 9:42CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
3.4%
36
96.6%
Q2 - 9:43ATLMISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot16
3.5%
36
96.5%
Q2 - 9:57CLEGibson 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pavlovic 2 AST)16
3.7%
36
96.3%
Q2 - 10:10ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
4.3%
34
95.7%
Q2 - 10:10ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 215
4.3%
34
95.7%
Q2 - 10:19CLEGibson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
4.4%
34
95.6%
Q2 - 10:30ATLMurray Foul Turnover (P4.T8)15
5.3%
31
94.7%
Q2 - 10:34CLED. Jackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)15
5.9%
31
94.1%
Q2 - 10:52ATLJohnson Layup (6 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)15
5.3%
31
94.7%
Q2 - 11:13CLEWilliams 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)13
5.0%
31
95.0%
Q2 - 11:27CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
5.5%
29
94.5%
Q2 - 11:28ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
5.7%
29
94.3%
Q2 - 11:42CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)13
6.1%
29
93.9%
Q2 - 11:42CLEWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
6.2%
28
93.8%
Q2 - 11:46CLED. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
6.7%
27
93.3%
Q2 - 11:47ATLMISS Bibby 14' Jump Shot13
6.9%
27
93.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE13
7.4%
27
92.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P3.T7)13
7.0%
27
93.0%
Q1 - 0:12.0ATLHawks Rebound13
7.5%
27
92.5%
Q1 - 0:13.0CLEMISS Pavlovic 3PT Jump Shot13
7.4%
27
92.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0ATLMurray 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)13
7.0%
27
93.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0CLESmith Layup (4 PTS)11
6.2%
27
93.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound11
7.0%
25
93.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0CLEMISS Pavlovic 2' Layup11
7.3%
25
92.7%
Q1 - 1:11CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
7.3%
25
92.7%
Q1 - 1:12ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
7.4%
25
92.6%
Q1 - 1:30CLESmith 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)11
7.8%
25
92.2%
Q1 - 1:52ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)11
8.7%
23
91.3%
Q1 - 2:00ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
9.2%
23
90.8%
Q1 - 2:01CLEMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
9.3%
23
90.7%
Q1 - 2:04CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
8.9%
23
91.1%
Q1 - 2:07CLEMISS West 2' Alley Oop Layup11
9.3%
23
90.7%
Q1 - 2:25ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
8.9%
23
91.1%
Q1 - 2:35CLEJames 8' Running Bank Shot (7 PTS)9
8.0%
23
92.0%
Q1 - 2:47ATLWest STEAL (3 STL)9
8.9%
21
91.1%
Q1 - 2:56ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
9.5%
21
90.5%
Q1 - 2:57ATLMISS Murray 20' Jump Shot9
9.1%
21
90.9%
Q1 - 3:15CLEVarejao Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)9
9.6%
21
90.4%
Q1 - 3:21ATLVarejao STEAL (1 STL)9
8.8%
21
91.2%
Q1 - 3:39CLEWest 2' Layup (2 PTS)9
9.6%
21
90.4%
Q1 - 3:42ATLWest STEAL (2 STL)9
10.4%
19
89.6%
Q1 - 3:47ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
11.3%
19
88.7%
Q1 - 3:49ATLMISS Murray 7' Jump Shot9
10.7%
19
89.3%
Q1 - 4:10CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
11.3%
19
88.7%
Q1 - 4:13ATLJames STEAL (1 STL)9
13.2%
16
86.8%
Q1 - 4:31CLEIlgauskas 6' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)9
14.3%
16
85.7%
Q1 - 4:46CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
15.3%
14
84.7%
Q1 - 4:48ATLMISS Horford 15' Jump Shot9
15.7%
14
84.3%
Q1 - 4:59CLEVarejao Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T2)9
16.6%
14
83.4%
Q1 - 5:04ATLWest STEAL (1 STL)9
15.6%
14
84.4%
Q1 - 5:21CLEWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
16.9%
14
83.1%
Q1 - 5:28CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
19.2%
11
80.8%
Q1 - 5:29ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
19.7%
11
80.3%
Q1 - 5:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
20.8%
11
79.2%
Q1 - 5:36CLEMISS West Layup9
20.3%
11
79.7%
Q1 - 6:04ATLHorford 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)9
19.0%
11
81.0%
Q1 - 6:24CLEJames Dunk (2 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)7
17.8%
11
82.2%
Q1 - 6:32CLECAVALIERS Rebound7
19.0%
9
81.0%
Q1 - 6:32ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
20.4%
9
79.6%
Q1 - 6:32ATLMISS Evans 1' Tip Shot7
19.4%
9
80.6%
Q1 - 6:33ATLMISS Evans 15' Jump Shot7
19.4%
9
80.6%
Q1 - 6:48CLEWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)7
20.4%
9
79.6%
Q1 - 7:00CLEWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
23.3%
6
76.7%
Q1 - 7:02ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot7
23.4%
6
76.6%
Q1 - 7:21CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)7
24.6%
6
75.4%
Q1 - 7:21CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)7
24.9%
5
75.1%
Q1 - 7:40ATLJohnson 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)7
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 8:00CLEIlgauskas 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)5
24.6%
4
75.4%
Q1 - 8:15CLEWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 8:17CLEMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
26.9%
2
73.1%
Q1 - 8:36ATLBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)5
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 8:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
22.7%
2
77.3%
Q1 - 8:54CLEMISS Williams 1' Layup2
22.3%
2
77.7%
Q1 - 9:02CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.3%
2
78.7%
Q1 - 9:03ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup2
21.7%
2
78.3%
Q1 - 9:14ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.5%
2
77.5%
Q1 - 9:15CLEMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot2
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 9:41ATLSmith 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
21.3%
2
78.7%
Q1 - 9:59CLEIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 10:08CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
21.0%
0
79.0%
Q1 - 10:09ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot0
21.5%
0
78.5%
Q1 - 10:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 10:33CLEMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot0
22.0%
0
78.0%
Q1 - 10:45CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 10:46ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot0
21.5%
0
78.5%
Q1 - 10:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 10:58CLEMISS Varejao 6' Fadeaway Jumper0
22.0%
0
78.0%
Q1 - 11:10CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.7%
0
79.3%
Q1 - 11:11ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot0
21.0%
0
79.0%
Q1 - 11:34CLECAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
21.9%
0
78.1%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Smith: Tip to Varejao0
20.7%
0
79.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.08 53.9%
CLE
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
13
23
57%
CLE
12
23
52%
Midrange
ATL
11
33
33%
CLE
20
40
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
CLE
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
ATL
21
29
72%
CLE
20
25
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2475%12.0 / 16
R. Murray2258%11.0 / 19
M. Evans1558%7.5 / 13
M. Bibby1447%7.0 / 15
J. Smith938%4.5 / 12
A. Horford650%3.0 / 6
Z. Pachulia638%3.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2480%12.0 / 15
L. James2248%11.0 / 23
Z. Ilgauskas1662%8.0 / 13
D. Gibson867%4.0 / 6
J. Smith880%4.0 / 5
D. West739%3.5 / 9
A. Varejao650%3.0 / 6
S. Pavlovic542%2.5 / 6
D. Jackson467%2.0 / 3
T. Kinsey2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
73
+13
-15
86
CLE
80
+12
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.08 53.9%
CLE
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
112.0
ATL 109.1
CLE 109.7 +0.6
Pace
89.8
89.1
ATL 91.9 +2.0
CLE 89.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
17.2
ATL 15.7 +0.4
CLE 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
51.9%
ATL 48.7%
CLE 52.6% +3.9%
TO %
13.6%
13.4%
ATL 14.3%
CLE 13.6% +0.7%
ORB %
26.0%
27.8%
ATL 27.1% +6.5%
CLE 20.6%
FTrt
32.3
31.2
ATL 37.7 +5.6
CLE 32.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.1%
55.0%
ATL 63.6% +8.3%
CLE 55.3%
STL %
8.2%
8.1%
ATL 9.1% +0.5%
CLE 8.6%
BLK %
7.4%
8.7%
ATL 6.3% +2.7%
CLE 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
54.3%
ATL 53.9%
CLE 55.4% +1.5%
Rim FG%
60.5%
62.0%
ATL 56.5% +4.3%
CLE 52.2%
Mid FG%
40.2%
40.8%
ATL 33.3%
CLE 50.0% +16.7%
3P %
36.6%
39.3%
ATL 42.9% +2.9%
CLE 40.0%
FT %
73.8%
75.7%
ATL 72.4%
CLE 80.0% +7.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
30.3%
ATL 29.9% +0.4%
CLE 29.5%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
43.8%
ATL 42.9% +8.4%
CLE 51.3%
3P Att. %
25.3%
25.9%
ATL 27.3% +8.0%
CLE 19.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLCLE
Possessions8893
Possession Minutes23.024.8
Points96102
Rebounds4042
Assists2121
Steals88
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (0)7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (5)35 (2)
Field Goals33-7738-78
At-the-Rim FG13-2312-23
Midrange FG11-3320-40
2-Point FG24-5632-63
3-Point FG9-216-15
Free Throws21-2920-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 28
42.2
24
75%
1
4
0
0
5
5
0
1
6-7
86%
6-10
60%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 195 · 31
38.6
14
47%
5
3
0
0
3
2
3
2
0-0
-
4-10
40%
2-5
40%
C · 6'10" 245 · 23
37.8
6
50%
11
6
0
0
0
2
2
9
0-1
0%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 220 · 30
37.5
15
58%
6
0
2
0
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
3-6
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 23
32.6
9
38%
8
4
2
2
1
4
1
7
3-5
60%
3-9
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
22.6
22
58%
2
1
1
2
5
4
0
2
6-7
86%
5-10
50%
2-6
33%
C · 6'11" 270 · 25
18.6
6
38%
4
1
3
0
1
2
2
2
4-7
57%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
4.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 225 · 24
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 275 · 23
1.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
· 6'8" 225 · 23
1.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 25
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · G · 6'3" 202 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F · 6'9" 237 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
54%
40
21
8
4
15
0
13
27
21-29
72%
24-56
43%
9-21
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.