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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 21, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Hawks25%8896
1Cavaliers75%97102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.7
42.2
38.8
24
75%
1
4
0
1
0
5
0
1
6-7
86%
6-10
6-13
60%
46%
2-3
67%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.9
38.6
32.2
14
47%
5
3
0
1
0
3
3
2
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
44%
2-5
40%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
37.8
34.7
6
47%
11
6
0
1
0
0
2
9
0-1
0%
3-6
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.4
37.5
25.1
15
58%
6
0
2
1
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
48%
3-6
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.3
32.6
36.6
9
37%
8
4
2
1
2
1
1
7
3-5
60%
3-9
6-12
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.6
22.6
26.0
22
58%
2
1
1
1
2
5
0
2
6-7
86%
5-10
3-7
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.1
18.6
17.6
6
37%
4
1
3
0
0
1
2
2
4-7
57%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
4.8
6.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.1
1.9
2.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.2
1.7
1.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.8
1.7
1.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.7
0.1
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.9
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.2
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
40.0
39.9
22
47%
7
5
3
2
1
2
1
6
3-5
60%
8-17
8-15
47%
54%
1-4
25%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.7
34.5
33.1
7
39%
4
3
3
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
50%
1-2
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.3
32.8
36.6
24
74%
2
7
0
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
5-10
5-9
50%
51%
3-4
75%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.8
25.9
26.5
16
63%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
24.4
30.1
6
53%
8
1
1
1
0
3
0
8
4-6
67%
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.1
22.4
15.8
8
58%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.7
22.1
17.6
8
80%
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
48%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.4
17.4
5.2
4
58%
8
1
0
0
0
2
3
5
0-1
0%
2-3
0-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.3
15.7
20.9
5
43%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
1-3
33%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.5
3.8
3.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.0
1.1
2.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
2.0
0
0-0
45%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.0
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.