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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 21, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Celtics76%97105
29Grizzlies24%8887
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.7
35.6
30.3
20
68%
3
6
2
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
4-6
3-6
67%
52%
3-7
43%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.1
29.9
36.8
9
46%
7
10
0
2
0
2
1
6
1-2
50%
4-8
6-12
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.4
29.8
37.8
6
39%
6
3
1
1
0
3
0
6
2-4
50%
2-4
6-13
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.4
25.9
32.9
9
65%
5
0
0
1
2
2
2
3
1-2
50%
4-6
5-8
67%
60%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
17.1
12.2
10
71%
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
53%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.2
29.4
22.2
24
80%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
8-9
89%
8-11
3-6
73%
48%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.4
20.6
19.8
2
50%
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.9
18.5
20.1
15
69%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
4-9
44%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 32.1
18.2
16.9
2
33%
1
4
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.4
10.2
7.7
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
0-0
-
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.9
4.7
3.2
2
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.2
11.5
0
2-3
54%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.0
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
35.7
37.4
15
45%
5
3
0
1
0
4
0
5
3-4
75%
3-12
7-14
25%
47%
2-3
67%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.4
30.7
38.4
12
55%
3
2
2
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
5-11
43%
44%
2-4
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.4
29.5
34.7
12
61%
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
45%
0-2
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.1
24.3
31.2
6
38%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
21.1
19.5
2
20%
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.7
30.7
20.7
20
53%
6
2
0
0
0
2
3
3
6-9
67%
7-15
3-7
47%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.5
21.8
8.8
5
31%
7
1
3
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-6
0-1
17%
47%
1-2
50%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.8
17.0
10.9
6
51%
5
0
1
0
1
0
5
0
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.3
15.6
11.8
7
60%
1
2
0
0
1
2
1
0
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
40%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.9
10.9
15.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.8
2.8
7.0
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
3.3
0
1-1
46%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.9
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.