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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 21, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers59%104117
17Bulls41%101109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.4
39.0
30.5
16
61%
5
2
3
1
1
1
1
4
2-5
40%
4-8
4-8
50%
54%
2-3
67%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.7
37.3
36.6
23
56%
10
3
0
1
0
2
5
5
5-8
63%
9-17
7-13
53%
55%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.6
36.8
36.0
28
48%
3
7
5
1
1
3
1
2
6-10
60%
8-19
9-17
42%
51%
2-6
33%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
31.9
29.2
18
84%
8
0
2
2
0
1
3
5
2-4
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
53%
2-2
100%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.6
23.6
25.1
5
36%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.3
24.4
19.4
13
65%
2
3
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.0
18.1
15.3
5
83%
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.2
14.1
16.2
2
25%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.0
9.3
18.0
5
56%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.2
4.9
6.6
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.3
0.6
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.7
3.1
0
0-1
40%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.4
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.3
42.1
37.3
30
81%
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2
7-8
88%
7-11
5-9
64%
49%
3-4
75%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
41.8
26.2
15
52%
16
1
0
1
3
1
3
13
1-3
33%
7-13
4-9
54%
45%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.0
40.6
36.5
16
49%
3
6
0
1
0
7
0
3
4-5
80%
3-6
5-11
50%
47%
2-8
25%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.5
39.0
35.9
25
59%
5
4
0
1
0
4
4
1
5-5
100%
10-19
7-13
53%
49%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
29.9
28.2
4
40%
9
1
0
1
3
3
1
8
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
52%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.9
23.9
27.1
10
66%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
8-8
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.2
21.9
24.5
9
64%
6
3
1
1
2
3
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.3
0.8
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.1
9.9
0
1-2
45%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.8
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.3
2.7
0
0-0
37%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.1
2.5
0
0-0
46%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.