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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 22, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat47%91101
21Pistons53%9296
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.2
38.7
36.5
39
67%
2
6
2
2
4
2
1
1
11-14
79%
11-19
8-16
58%
51%
2-4
50%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.8
36.7
17.7
17
92%
6
1
1
1
3
0
0
6
4-5
80%
2-2
1-2
100%
52%
3-5
60%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.8
35.3
32.4
5
46%
5
7
1
2
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.4
34.4
29.7
14
41%
3
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
6-16
5-10
38%
46%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
30.5
26.8
16
68%
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
4-4
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.2
18.8
23.5
3
31%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-4
5-10
25%
48%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.3
15.8
16.4
5
91%
3
2
2
1
1
2
0
3
3-4
75%
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.8
12.2
12.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.5
11.4
14.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.9
6.2
23.1
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
11.8
0
0-1
44%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.5
6.4
0
0-1
43%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.3
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.3
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.5
41.1
37.3
16
62%
12
3
0
1
1
0
3
9
0-0
-
8-13
6-12
62%
52%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.1
37.9
38.9
14
41%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
6-13
6-13
46%
48%
0-3
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.9
37.6
24.1
24
58%
1
3
1
1
0
4
0
1
6-6
100%
9-18
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
29.6
28.8
13
55%
2
2
2
1
1
2
0
2
4-4
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
1-5
20%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.0
28.7
24.7
7
75%
7
3
0
1
0
0
1
6
5-6
83%
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.2
23.4
26.6
9
40%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
5-5
100%
2-9
5-10
22%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.1
21.0
22.5
6
63%
7
0
0
0
3
0
6
1
2-4
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
57%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.7
15.8
15.2
5
42%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.9
4.9
5.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
57%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.1
16.0
0
3-6
49%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.5
8.2
0
1-2
49%
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.7
1.4
0
0-0
51%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.