FinalWin Prob.pScore
1547%91
101
2153%92
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
120.28488.1
DET logo DET
112.98581.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET101
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)98
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)97
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 0:01.0DETMISS Stuckey 12' Jump Shot97
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHaslem 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS)97
65.2%
96
34.8%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
38.0%
96
62.0%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Chalmers Layup95
19.0%
96
81.0%
Q4 - 0:13.0DETHerrmann 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)95
43.6%
96
56.4%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETPISTONS Rebound95
83.2%
93
16.8%
Q4 - 0:21.0DETMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot95
91.0%
93
9.0%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAO'Neal Tip Shot (14 PTS)95
80.0%
93
20.0%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)93
64.7%
93
35.3%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot93
47.8%
93
52.2%
Q4 - 0:54.0DETPrince 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS)93
60.5%
93
39.5%
Q4 - 1:11MIAO'Neal 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)93
72.6%
91
27.4%
Q4 - 1:35DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)91
60.0%
91
40.0%
Q4 - 1:35DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)91
62.1%
90
37.9%
Q4 - 1:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (39 PTS)91
68.6%
89
31.4%
Q4 - 1:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (38 PTS)90
66.5%
89
33.5%
Q4 - 2:15MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
60.9%
89
39.1%
Q4 - 2:16DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot89
55.8%
89
44.2%
Q4 - 2:18DETPISTONS Rebound89
43.6%
89
56.4%
Q4 - 2:19DETMISS Stuckey Layup89
55.8%
89
44.2%
Q4 - 2:38DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)89
43.4%
89
56.6%
Q4 - 2:40MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot89
48.9%
89
51.1%
Q4 - 2:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)89
61.4%
89
38.6%
Q4 - 2:42MIAMaxiell BLOCK (3 BLK)89
48.9%
89
51.1%
Q4 - 2:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
61.5%
89
38.5%
Q4 - 2:52DETMISS Prince Layup89
55.2%
89
44.8%
Q4 - 3:14MIAWade Dunk (37 PTS)89
44.7%
89
55.3%
Q4 - 3:17DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)87
37.5%
89
62.5%
Q4 - 3:27DETPISTONS Rebound87
24.1%
89
75.9%
Q4 - 3:28MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot87
27.8%
89
72.2%
Q4 - 3:36MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
38.2%
89
61.8%
Q4 - 3:37DETMISS Prince 8' Hook Shot87
35.3%
89
64.7%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMoon 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)87
28.6%
89
71.4%
Q4 - 4:17MIAHeat Rebound84
15.9%
89
84.1%
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper84
12.3%
89
87.7%
Q4 - 4:29MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
15.8%
89
84.2%
Q4 - 4:30DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
14.1%
89
85.9%
Q4 - 4:36DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)84
10.9%
89
89.1%
Q4 - 4:38MIAMaxiell BLOCK (2 BLK)84
12.2%
89
87.8%
Q4 - 4:50DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)84
15.6%
89
84.4%
Q4 - 5:06MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (35 PTS)84
31.0%
86
69.0%
Q4 - 5:17MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
24.4%
86
75.6%
Q4 - 5:18DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 282
23.6%
86
76.4%
Q4 - 5:18DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)82
20.7%
86
79.3%
Q4 - 5:35MIAHaslem 7' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)82
24.1%
85
75.9%
Q4 - 5:52DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)80
18.6%
85
81.4%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)80
26.6%
83
73.4%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)79
25.4%
83
74.6%
Q4 - 6:20DETAfflalo Layup (13 PTS)78
21.3%
83
78.7%
Q4 - 6:23MIAAfflalo STEAL (2 STL)78
26.5%
81
73.5%
Q4 - 6:38DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)78
33.1%
81
66.9%
Q4 - 6:49DETAfflalo Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)78
39.8%
79
60.2%
Q4 - 6:50DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)78
47.3%
78
52.7%
Q4 - 6:51DETMISS Bynum 17' Fadeaway Jumper78
52.8%
78
47.2%
Q4 - 7:09DETPISTONS Rebound78
47.3%
78
52.7%
Q4 - 7:11DETMISS Bynum Layup78
52.5%
78
47.5%
Q4 - 7:37MIAMoon Driving Layup (14 PTS)78
47.3%
78
52.7%
Q4 - 7:50MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
40.9%
78
59.1%
Q4 - 7:51DETMISS Bynum 19' Jump Shot76
38.7%
78
61.3%
Q4 - 8:02MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T6)76
35.6%
78
64.4%
Q4 - 8:07MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
41.4%
78
58.6%
Q4 - 8:09DETMISS Herrmann 12' Running Jump Shot76
39.6%
78
60.4%
Q4 - 8:36MIAMoon 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)76
35.5%
78
64.5%
Q4 - 8:53DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)73
24.4%
78
75.6%
Q4 - 8:53DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 273
26.3%
77
73.7%
Q4 - 8:53DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)73
24.6%
77
75.4%
Q4 - 8:54DETMISS Bynum 18' Jump Shot73
28.0%
77
72.0%
Q4 - 9:05DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)73
26.3%
77
73.7%
Q4 - 9:07DETMISS Prince 8' Hook Shot73
29.5%
77
70.5%
Q4 - 9:26MIAChalmers 9' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)73
26.3%
77
73.7%
Q4 - 9:39DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
21.6%
77
78.4%
Q4 - 9:39DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
22.5%
76
77.5%
Q4 - 9:47MIAHead Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)71
26.2%
75
73.8%
Q4 - 9:47MIAHead Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)70
25.4%
75
74.6%
Q4 - 10:07MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
23.0%
75
77.0%
Q4 - 10:08DETMISS Herrmann 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
21.8%
75
78.2%
Q4 - 10:23DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)69
19.2%
75
80.8%
Q4 - 10:25MIAMaxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)69
20.3%
75
79.7%
Q4 - 10:40DETStuckey Layup (22 PTS)69
22.9%
75
77.1%
Q4 - 10:42MIAStuckey STEAL (1 STL)69
27.2%
73
72.8%
Q4 - 10:58MIAHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
31.8%
73
68.2%
Q4 - 11:00DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot69
30.4%
73
69.6%
Q4 - 11:25MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)69
28.3%
73
71.7%
Q4 - 11:45DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)67
23.9%
73
76.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET67
20.4%
73
79.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)67
21.6%
73
78.4%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot67
22.5%
73
77.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMaxiell Putback Layup (4 PTS)67
24.7%
73
75.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)67
29.2%
71
70.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0DETMISS Stuckey Layup67
31.9%
71
68.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
29.2%
71
70.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 267
29.7%
71
70.3%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 267
32.7%
71
67.3%
Q3 - 1:03MIAHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
33.4%
71
66.6%
Q3 - 1:05DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot67
32.2%
71
67.8%
Q3 - 1:31MIAWade Layup (31 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)67
29.5%
71
70.5%
Q3 - 1:38MIAHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
25.2%
71
74.8%
Q3 - 1:38DETMISS Maxiell 5' Jump Shot65
24.2%
71
75.8%
Q3 - 1:55DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
22.0%
71
78.0%
Q3 - 1:56MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
22.9%
71
77.1%
Q3 - 2:08DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)65
26.2%
71
73.8%
Q3 - 2:08DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
27.0%
70
73.0%
Q3 - 2:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)65
30.0%
69
70.0%
Q3 - 2:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)64
29.2%
69
70.8%
Q3 - 2:45DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
26.1%
69
73.9%
Q3 - 2:45DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
26.8%
68
73.2%
Q3 - 3:06MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)63
30.6%
67
69.4%
Q3 - 3:25DETAfflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)60
23.8%
67
76.2%
Q3 - 3:37DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)60
30.6%
64
69.4%
Q3 - 3:38DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot60
33.5%
64
66.5%
Q3 - 4:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)60
30.6%
64
69.4%
Q3 - 4:12DETPrince 9' Hook Shot (10 PTS)57
24.4%
64
75.6%
Q3 - 4:29MIAMoon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)57
27.2%
62
72.8%
Q3 - 5:03DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)54
21.9%
62
78.1%
Q3 - 5:28MIAWade 27' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Head 2 AST)54
24.5%
60
75.5%
Q3 - 5:35DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)51
19.2%
60
80.8%
Q3 - 5:52DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
16.4%
60
83.6%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot51
17.2%
60
82.8%
Q3 - 6:08DETAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
19.9%
60
80.1%
Q3 - 6:08DETAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)51
20.3%
59
79.7%
Q3 - 6:12DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
22.4%
58
77.6%
Q3 - 6:14MIAAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)51
23.3%
58
76.7%
Q3 - 6:26DETBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
25.5%
58
74.5%
Q3 - 6:26DETBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)51
26.8%
57
73.2%
Q3 - 6:32DETPISTONS Rebound51
28.4%
56
71.6%
Q3 - 6:33DETMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot51
31.0%
56
69.0%
Q3 - 6:53MIAHaslem Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)51
28.4%
56
71.6%
Q3 - 6:58MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
25.5%
56
74.5%
Q3 - 6:59DETMISS Prince Driving Layup49
24.5%
56
75.5%
Q3 - 7:10MIAAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)49
23.1%
56
76.9%
Q3 - 7:32DETMcDyess Layup (10 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)49
26.0%
56
74.0%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMoon Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)49
29.0%
54
71.0%
Q3 - 7:55MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
23.1%
54
76.9%
Q3 - 7:56DETMISS Stuckey Layup46
22.3%
54
77.7%
Q3 - 8:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)46
20.7%
54
79.3%
Q3 - 8:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 245
20.3%
54
79.7%
Q3 - 8:22MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
20.9%
54
79.1%
Q3 - 8:24DETMISS Prince 15' Turnaround Jump Shot45
20.1%
54
79.9%
Q3 - 8:44DETPISTONS Rebound45
18.4%
54
81.6%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Moon 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
19.1%
54
80.9%
Q3 - 9:07DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)45
21.4%
54
78.6%
Q3 - 9:13DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
26.7%
51
73.3%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Fadeaway Jumper45
27.6%
51
72.4%
Q3 - 9:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
29.7%
51
70.3%
Q3 - 9:17MIAMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)45
27.6%
51
72.4%
Q3 - 9:36DETStuckey 12' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)45
29.7%
51
70.3%
Q3 - 9:44DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
32.8%
49
67.2%
Q3 - 9:46MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper45
33.8%
49
66.2%
Q3 - 10:11DETBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
36.5%
49
63.5%
Q3 - 10:11DETBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)45
37.9%
48
62.1%
Q3 - 10:24DETPISTONS Rebound45
39.8%
47
60.2%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot45
40.9%
47
59.1%
Q3 - 10:36MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
43.3%
47
56.7%
Q3 - 10:37DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot45
42.2%
47
57.8%
Q3 - 11:01MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)45
40.1%
47
59.9%
Q3 - 11:23DETAfflalo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)45
43.6%
47
56.4%
Q3 - 11:49MIAO'Neal Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)45
40.0%
47
60.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET43
37.0%
47
63.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETPISTONS Rebound43
34.7%
47
65.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0DETMISS Prince Layup43
36.2%
47
63.8%
Q2 - 0:14.0DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
34.6%
47
65.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0DETMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot43
36.2%
47
63.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
34.6%
47
65.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot43
35.3%
47
64.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0DETStuckey 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McDyess 3 AST)43
36.9%
47
63.1%
Q2 - 1:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)43
41.1%
45
58.9%
Q2 - 1:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)42
40.5%
45
59.5%
Q2 - 1:25DETStuckey 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)41
37.2%
45
62.8%
Q2 - 1:50MIAMoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)41
41.2%
43
58.8%
Q2 - 1:50MIAMoon Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)40
40.6%
43
59.4%
Q2 - 1:51DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)39
37.2%
43
62.8%
Q2 - 2:06MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)39
34.8%
43
65.2%
Q2 - 2:18MIAHeat Rebound37
32.0%
43
68.0%
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Fadeaway Jumper37
30.1%
43
69.9%
Q2 - 2:42DETAfflalo 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)37
32.0%
43
68.0%
Q2 - 2:54DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
34.8%
41
65.2%
Q2 - 2:55MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot37
35.7%
41
64.3%
Q2 - 3:09DETAfflalo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)37
38.2%
41
61.8%
Q2 - 3:34MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)37
34.8%
41
65.2%
Q2 - 3:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
32.5%
41
67.5%
Q2 - 3:41DETMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot35
31.5%
41
68.5%
Q2 - 4:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
29.9%
41
70.1%
Q2 - 4:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
29.4%
41
70.6%
Q2 - 4:10DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)33
27.5%
41
72.5%
Q2 - 4:10DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)33
27.9%
40
72.1%
Q2 - 4:21MIAMoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)33
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 4:21MIAMISS Moon Free Throw 1 of 232
29.4%
39
70.6%
Q2 - 4:21MIAHeat Rebound32
30.0%
39
70.0%
Q2 - 4:21DETMISS Afflalo 13' Running Jump Shot32
29.2%
39
70.8%
Q2 - 4:36MIAWade Driving Dunk (13 PTS)32
27.3%
39
72.7%
Q2 - 4:53DETStuckey 15' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
25.1%
39
74.9%
Q2 - 5:33MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)30
28.1%
37
71.9%
Q2 - 5:49DETJohnson Putback Layup (2 PTS)28
25.7%
37
74.3%
Q2 - 5:50DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
28.1%
35
71.9%
Q2 - 5:53DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot28
29.7%
35
70.3%
Q2 - 6:17MIAWade Driving Layup (9 PTS)28
28.2%
35
71.8%
Q2 - 6:33DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)26
26.3%
35
73.7%
Q2 - 6:45DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
28.2%
33
71.8%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Cook 11' Fadeaway Jumper26
29.1%
33
70.9%
Q2 - 7:10DETPrince 8' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)26
31.2%
33
68.8%
Q2 - 7:20DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
33.6%
31
66.4%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
34.4%
31
65.6%
Q2 - 7:28MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
36.2%
31
63.8%
Q2 - 7:30DETMISS Brown 8' Hook Shot26
35.4%
31
64.6%
Q2 - 7:52MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)26
33.5%
31
66.5%
Q2 - 8:11DETBynum 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)23
29.2%
31
70.8%
Q2 - 8:31DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
31.6%
29
68.4%
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 223
31.9%
29
68.1%
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 223
33.1%
29
66.9%
Q2 - 8:52DETStuckey 18' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
33.9%
29
66.1%
Q2 - 9:04MIAHead Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)23
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q2 - 9:06DETStuckey Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)23
39.0%
27
61.0%
Q2 - 9:28DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot23
37.2%
27
62.8%
Q2 - 9:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
39.0%
27
61.0%
Q2 - 9:47DETMISS Bynum 19' Jump Shot23
38.2%
27
61.8%
Q2 - 9:59MIAHead Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)23
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q2 - 9:59MIAMISS Head Free Throw 1 of 222
36.1%
27
63.9%
Q2 - 10:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
36.8%
27
63.2%
Q2 - 10:22DETMISS Herrmann 3PT Jump Shot22
36.0%
27
64.0%
Q2 - 10:41MIACook 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Head 1 AST)22
34.3%
27
65.7%
Q2 - 10:58DETMaxiell Putback Dunk (2 PTS)20
32.0%
27
68.0%
Q2 - 10:59DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
34.3%
25
65.7%
Q2 - 11:00DETMISS Stuckey Driving Layup20
36.0%
25
64.0%
Q2 - 11:18DETPISTONS Rebound20
34.6%
25
65.4%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Beasley Layup20
35.3%
25
64.7%
Q2 - 11:37DETHerrmann Layup (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)20
37.0%
25
63.0%
Q2 - 11:45DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
39.3%
23
60.7%
Q2 - 11:46MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot20
40.1%
23
59.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET20
41.9%
23
58.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound20
39.3%
23
60.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Bynum Layup20
41.0%
23
59.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
39.7%
23
60.3%
Q1 - 0:09.0DETMISS Herrmann 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
41.0%
23
59.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)20
39.7%
23
60.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 219
39.3%
23
60.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAHeat Rebound19
39.2%
23
60.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot19
38.6%
23
61.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
37.4%
23
62.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
37.9%
23
62.1%
Q1 - 1:03MIAHeat Rebound19
39.5%
23
60.5%
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot19
38.4%
23
61.6%
Q1 - 1:18DETBynum Foul Turnover (P1.T3)19
39.4%
23
60.6%
Q1 - 1:39MIAWade Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)19
37.9%
23
62.1%
Q1 - 1:55DETMcDyess Layup (8 PTS)17
35.0%
23
65.0%
Q1 - 1:56DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
37.9%
21
62.1%
Q1 - 1:57DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
38.9%
21
61.1%
Q1 - 2:11DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
38.0%
21
62.0%
Q1 - 2:12DETMISS Prince 13' Running Hook Shot17
39.3%
21
60.7%
Q1 - 2:35MIAHead 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
38.0%
21
62.0%
Q1 - 2:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
35.5%
21
64.5%
Q1 - 2:45DETMISS Bynum 9' Floating Jump Shot15
35.0%
21
65.0%
Q1 - 3:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)15
33.8%
21
66.2%
Q1 - 3:22DETMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)12
29.8%
21
70.2%
Q1 - 3:40DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
31.8%
19
68.2%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper12
32.4%
19
67.6%
Q1 - 3:53DETMcDyess 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)12
33.8%
19
66.2%
Q1 - 4:18MIAO'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
36.0%
17
64.0%
Q1 - 4:37DETPrince 13' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)10
34.0%
17
66.0%
Q1 - 5:00MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)10
35.9%
15
64.1%
Q1 - 5:16DETStuckey Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)8
34.3%
15
65.7%
Q1 - 5:32MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)8
32.1%
15
67.9%
Q1 - 5:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q1 - 5:42DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot6
29.9%
15
70.1%
Q1 - 6:01MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS)6
28.8%
15
71.2%
Q1 - 6:04DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
27.1%
15
72.9%
Q1 - 6:09DETAfflalo Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)4
25.4%
15
74.6%
Q1 - 6:13DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
27.1%
14
72.9%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS O'Neal Layup4
27.6%
14
72.4%
Q1 - 6:37MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
28.8%
14
71.2%
Q1 - 6:37DETMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 24
28.6%
14
71.4%
Q1 - 6:37DETBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
27.8%
14
72.2%
Q1 - 6:48DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
28.8%
13
71.2%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup4
29.3%
13
70.7%
Q1 - 7:06DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)4
30.7%
13
69.3%
Q1 - 7:24MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
34.2%
10
65.8%
Q1 - 7:40DETPrince 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
32.5%
10
67.5%
Q1 - 7:58DETPISTONS Rebound2
34.2%
8
65.8%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Fadeaway Jumper2
34.8%
8
65.2%
Q1 - 8:17DETBrown 9' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
36.3%
8
63.7%
Q1 - 8:39DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
38.2%
6
61.8%
Q1 - 8:40MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Fadeaway Jumper2
38.8%
6
61.2%
Q1 - 8:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
40.2%
6
59.8%
Q1 - 8:58DETMISS Afflalo 18' Pullup Jump Shot2
39.6%
6
60.4%
Q1 - 9:14DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.1%
6
60.9%
Q1 - 9:15MIAMISS Moon 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
39.6%
6
60.4%
Q1 - 9:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.8%
6
59.2%
Q1 - 9:23DETMISS Stuckey Layup2
40.3%
6
59.7%
Q1 - 9:47MIAO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
39.0%
6
61.0%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 10:04DETMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot0
37.4%
6
62.6%
Q1 - 10:19DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.1%
6
63.9%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot0
36.6%
6
63.4%
Q1 - 10:37DETStuckey 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)0
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 10:47DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup0
40.1%
4
59.9%
Q1 - 11:05DETAfflalo Layup (2 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)0
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 11:22MIAPrince STEAL (1 STL)0
43.4%
2
56.6%
Q1 - 11:45DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)0
45.1%
2
54.9%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Brown vs. O'Neal: Tip to Stuckey0
46.6%
0
53.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.1%
DET
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
25
64%
DET
12
23
52%
Midrange
MIA
14
34
41%
DET
21
43
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
DET
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
Free Throws
MIA
26
34
76%
DET
24
27
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3967%19.5 / 29
J. Moon1794%8.5 / 9
U. Haslem1673%8.0 / 11
J. O'Neal1441%7.0 / 17
M. Chalmers550%2.5 / 5
L. Head583%2.5 / 3
M. Beasley330%1.5 / 5
D. Cook233%1.0 / 3
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Stuckey2460%12.0 / 20
A. McDyess1662%8.0 / 13
T. Prince1441%7.0 / 17
A. Afflalo1359%6.5 / 11
W. Bynum941%4.5 / 11
K. Brown770%3.5 / 5
J. Maxiell660%3.0 / 5
W. Herrmann542%2.5 / 6
A. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+7
-7
84
DET
75
+17
-10
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.1%
DET
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
106.8
MIA 120.2 +7.3
DET 112.9
Pace
90.2
87.3
MIA 88.1 +6.8
DET 81.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
17.1
MIA 16.3 +1.4
DET 17.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
48.3%
MIA 53.6% +7.4%
DET 46.2%
TO %
13.1%
12.7%
MIA 7.6% +2.4%
DET 10.0%
ORB %
24.6%
27.9%
MIA 13.8%
DET 29.7% +15.9%
FTrt
28.2
28.2
MIA 48.6 +14.0
DET 34.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
56.7%
MIA 54.3% +2.9%
DET 51.4%
STL %
8.7%
6.8%
MIA 8.3% +3.6%
DET 4.7%
BLK %
9.2%
7.3%
MIA 16.7% +8.2%
DET 8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
51.0%
MIA 60.1% +8.5%
DET 51.6%
Rim FG%
59.5%
58.7%
MIA 64.0% +11.8%
DET 52.2%
Mid FG%
41.8%
41.2%
MIA 41.2%
DET 48.8% +7.6%
3P %
35.7%
34.9%
MIA 45.5% +28.8%
DET 16.7%
FT %
75.4%
75.1%
MIA 76.5%
DET 88.9% +12.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
30.0%
MIA 35.7% +6.2%
DET 29.5%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
53.5%
MIA 48.6% +6.6%
DET 55.1%
3P Att. %
24.5%
16.5%
MIA 15.7% +0.3%
DET 15.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8485
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points10196
Rebounds3036
Assists1918
Steals74
Blocks115
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)25 (5)
Field Goals35-7035-78
At-the-Rim FG16-2512-23
Midrange FG14-3421-43
2-Point FG30-5933-66
3-Point FG5-112-12
Free Throws26-3424-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
38.7
39
67%
2
6
2
4
2
3
1
1
11-14
79%
11-19
58%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 205 · 29
36.7
17
94%
6
1
1
3
0
3
0
6
4-5
80%
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
35.3
5
50%
5
7
1
0
2
5
0
5
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
34.4
14
41%
3
2
0
1
1
3
2
1
2-2
100%
6-16
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
30.5
16
73%
6
1
0
0
0
3
1
5
4-4
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
18.8
3
30%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 26
15.8
5
83%
3
2
2
1
2
2
0
3
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
12.2
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
11.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
6.2
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
#15 · C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · C · 6'9" 245 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
60%
30
19
7
11
7
0
4
26
26-34
76%
30-59
51%
5-11
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.