Final Win Prob. pScore
1547%91
101
2153%92
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
120.28488.1
DET logo Pistons
112.98581.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET101
96
Q4 - 0:00.0101
96
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)101
96
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)100
96
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)99
96
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)98
96
Q4 - 0:00.097
96
Q4 - 0:00.097
96
Q4 - 0:00.0DETMcDyess P.FOUL (P4.PN)97
96
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)97
96
Q4 - 0:01.0DETMISS Stuckey 12' Jump Shot97
96
Q4 - 0:06.0MIASUB: Jones FOR O'Neal97
96
Q4 - 0:06.0DETSUB: Herrmann FOR Maxiell97
96
Q4 - 0:06.0DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 3)97
96
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHaslem 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS)97
96
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
96
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Chalmers Layup95
96
Q4 - 0:13.0DETSUB: Maxiell FOR Herrmann95
96
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)95
96
Q4 - 0:13.0DETHerrmann 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)95
96
Q4 - 0:20.0DETSUB: Herrmann FOR Maxiell95
93
Q4 - 0:20.0DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 2)95
93
Q4 - 0:20.0DETPISTONS Rebound95
93
Q4 - 0:21.0DETMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot95
93
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAO'Neal Tip Shot (14 PTS)95
93
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)93
93
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot93
93
Q4 - 0:54.0DETPrince 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS)93
93
Q4 - 1:11MIAO'Neal 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)93
91
Q4 - 1:35DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)91
91
Q4 - 1:35DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)91
90
Q4 - 1:35MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.PN)91
89
Q4 - 1:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (39 PTS)91
89
Q4 - 1:52DETSUB: Afflalo FOR Bynum90
89
Q4 - 1:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (38 PTS)90
89
Q4 - 1:52DETStuckey S.FOUL (P4.T3)89
89
Q4 - 2:15MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
89
Q4 - 2:16DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot89
89
Q4 - 2:18DETPISTONS Rebound89
89
Q4 - 2:18DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)89
89
Q4 - 2:19DETMISS Stuckey Layup89
89
Q4 - 2:34DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)89
89
Q4 - 2:38DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)89
89
Q4 - 2:40MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot89
89
Q4 - 2:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)89
89
Q4 - 2:42MIAMaxiell BLOCK (3 BLK)89
89
Q4 - 2:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
89
Q4 - 2:52DETMISS Prince Layup89
89
Q4 - 3:14MIAWade Dunk (37 PTS)89
89
Q4 - 3:17DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)87
89
Q4 - 3:27DETPISTONS Rebound87
89
Q4 - 3:28MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot87
89
Q4 - 3:36MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
89
Q4 - 3:37DETMISS Prince 8' Hook Shot87
89
Q4 - 4:00MIAMoon 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)87
89
Q4 - 4:17MIAHeat Rebound84
89
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper84
89
Q4 - 4:29MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
89
Q4 - 4:30DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
89
Q4 - 4:36DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)84
89
Q4 - 4:38MIAMaxiell BLOCK (2 BLK)84
89
Q4 - 4:50DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)84
89
Q4 - 4:50MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P3.PN)84
88
Q4 - 4:50DETBynum Driving Layup (8 PTS)84
88
Q4 - 5:06MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (35 PTS)84
86
Q4 - 5:17MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
86
Q4 - 5:18DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 282
86
Q4 - 5:18DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)82
86
Q4 - 5:18MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P5.T4)82
85
Q4 - 5:35MIAHaslem 7' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)82
85
Q4 - 5:52DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)80
85
Q4 - 6:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)80
83
Q4 - 6:07MIASUB: Haslem FOR Beasley79
83
Q4 - 6:07DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Afflalo79
83
Q4 - 6:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)79
83
Q4 - 6:07DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P3.T2)78
83
Q4 - 6:19MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Magloire78
83
Q4 - 6:19MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)78
83
Q4 - 6:20DETAfflalo Layup (13 PTS)78
83
Q4 - 6:23MIAAfflalo STEAL (2 STL)78
81
Q4 - 6:38DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)78
81
Q4 - 6:49DETAfflalo Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)78
79
Q4 - 6:4978
78
Q4 - 6:50DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)78
78
Q4 - 6:51DETMISS Bynum 17' Fadeaway Jumper78
78
Q4 - 7:09DETSUB: Afflalo FOR Herrmann78
78
Q4 - 7:09DETPISTONS Rebound78
78
Q4 - 7:11DETMISS Bynum Layup78
78
Q4 - 7:37MIAMoon Driving Layup (14 PTS)78
78
Q4 - 7:50MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
78
Q4 - 7:51DETMISS Bynum 19' Jump Shot76
78
Q4 - 8:02MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T6)76
78
Q4 - 8:02MIAWade OFF.Foul (P3)76
78
Q4 - 8:07MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
78
Q4 - 8:09DETMISS Herrmann 12' Running Jump Shot76
78
Q4 - 8:36MIAMoon 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)76
78
Q4 - 8:53DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)73
78
Q4 - 8:53DETPISTONS Rebound73
77
Q4 - 8:53DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 273
77
Q4 - 8:53MIASUB: Wade FOR Head73
77
Q4 - 8:5373
77
Q4 - 8:53MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P3.T3)73
77
Q4 - 8:53DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)73
77
Q4 - 8:54DETMISS Bynum 18' Jump Shot73
77
Q4 - 9:05DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)73
77
Q4 - 9:07DETMISS Prince 8' Hook Shot73
77
Q4 - 9:26MIAChalmers 9' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)73
77
Q4 - 9:39DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
77
Q4 - 9:39DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
76
Q4 - 9:39MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P2.T2)71
75
Q4 - 9:47MIASUB: Moon FOR Jones71
75
Q4 - 9:47DETSUB: Prince FOR Stuckey71
75
Q4 - 9:47MIAHead Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)71
75
Q4 - 9:47MIAHead Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)70
75
Q4 - 9:47DETStuckey S.FOUL (P3.T1)69
75
Q4 - 10:07MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
75
Q4 - 10:08DETMISS Herrmann 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
75
Q4 - 10:23MIABeasley P.FOUL (P1.T1)69
75
Q4 - 10:23DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)69
75
Q4 - 10:25MIAMaxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)69
75
Q4 - 10:40DETStuckey Layup (22 PTS)69
75
Q4 - 10:42MIAStuckey STEAL (1 STL)69
73
Q4 - 10:58MIAHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
73
Q4 - 11:00DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot69
73
Q4 - 11:25MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)69
73
Q4 - 11:45DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)67
73
Q4 - 12:0067
73
Q3 - 0:00.0DET67
73
Q3 - 0:01.0MIASUB: Moon FOR Jones67
73
Q3 - 0:01.0DETSUB: Prince FOR Maxiell67
73
Q3 - 0:16.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)67
73
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot67
73
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMaxiell Putback Layup (4 PTS)67
73
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)67
71
Q3 - 0:35.0DETMISS Stuckey Layup67
71
Q3 - 0:58.0DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
71
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 267
71
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAHeat Rebound67
71
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 267
71
Q3 - 0:59.0MIASUB: Magloire FOR O'Neal67
71
Q3 - 0:59.0DETStuckey S.FOUL (P2.PN)67
71
Q3 - 1:03MIAHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
71
Q3 - 1:05DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot67
71
Q3 - 1:31MIAWade Layup (31 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)67
71
Q3 - 1:38MIAHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
71
Q3 - 1:38DETMISS Maxiell 5' Jump Shot65
71
Q3 - 1:55DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
71
Q3 - 1:56MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
71
Q3 - 2:08DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)65
71
Q3 - 2:08DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
70
Q3 - 2:08MIAHead S.FOUL (P2.PN)65
69
Q3 - 2:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)65
69
Q3 - 2:27DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Afflalo64
69
Q3 - 2:27MIASUB: Jones FOR Moon64
69
Q3 - 2:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)64
69
Q3 - 2:27DETSUB: Herrmann FOR Prince63
69
Q3 - 2:27DETAfflalo P.FOUL (P4.PN)63
69
Q3 - 2:45DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
69
Q3 - 2:45DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
68
Q3 - 2:45DETSUB: Maxiell FOR Brown63
67
Q3 - 2:45DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)63
67
Q3 - 2:45MIAMoon P.FOUL (P3.PN)63
67
Q3 - 3:06MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)63
67
Q3 - 3:25DETAfflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)60
67
Q3 - 3:37DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)60
64
Q3 - 3:38DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot60
64
Q3 - 4:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)60
64
Q3 - 4:00DETAfflalo S.FOUL (P3.PN)59
64
Q3 - 4:00MIAWade 15' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS)59
64
Q3 - 4:12DETPrince 9' Hook Shot (10 PTS)57
64
Q3 - 4:29MIAMoon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)57
62
Q3 - 4:42DETSUB: Bynum FOR Stuckey54
62
Q3 - 4:42MIASUB: Beasley FOR Haslem54
62
Q3 - 4:42DETBrown P.FOUL (P3.T4)54
62
Q3 - 5:03DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)54
62
Q3 - 5:28MIAWade 27' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Head 2 AST)54
60
Q3 - 5:35DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)51
60
Q3 - 5:52DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
60
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot51
60
Q3 - 6:08DETAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
60
Q3 - 6:08DETAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)51
59
Q3 - 6:08MIAHead S.FOUL (P1.PN)51
58
Q3 - 6:12DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
58
Q3 - 6:14MIAAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)51
58
Q3 - 6:26DETBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
58
Q3 - 6:26DETBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)51
57
Q3 - 6:26MIASUB: Head FOR Chalmers51
56
Q3 - 6:26MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P4.PN)51
56
Q3 - 6:32DETPISTONS Rebound51
56
Q3 - 6:33DETMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot51
56
Q3 - 6:53MIAHaslem Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)51
56
Q3 - 6:58MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
56
Q3 - 6:59DETMISS Prince Driving Layup49
56
Q3 - 7:10MIAAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)49
56
Q3 - 7:18DETStuckey P.FOUL (P1.T3)49
56
Q3 - 7:32DETMcDyess Layup (10 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)49
56
Q3 - 7:51MIAMoon Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)49
54
Q3 - 7:51DETPrince S.FOUL (P2.T2)48
54
Q3 - 7:51MIAMoon Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)48
54
Q3 - 7:55MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
54
Q3 - 7:56DETMISS Stuckey Layup46
54
Q3 - 8:05MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.T4)46
54
Q3 - 8:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)46
54
Q3 - 8:15MIAHeat Rebound45
54
Q3 - 8:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 245
54
Q3 - 8:15DETAfflalo S.FOUL (P2.T1)45
54
Q3 - 8:22MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
54
Q3 - 8:24DETMISS Prince 15' Turnaround Jump Shot45
54
Q3 - 8:44MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)45
54
Q3 - 8:44DETPISTONS Rebound45
54
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Moon 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
54
Q3 - 9:07DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)45
54
Q3 - 9:07MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)45
53
Q3 - 9:07MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.T2)45
53
Q3 - 9:07DETStuckey Driving Layup (19 PTS)45
53
Q3 - 9:13DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
51
Q3 - 9:15MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Fadeaway Jumper45
51
Q3 - 9:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
51
Q3 - 9:17MIAMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)45
51
Q3 - 9:36DETStuckey 12' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)45
51
Q3 - 9:44DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
49
Q3 - 9:46MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper45
49
Q3 - 10:11DETBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
49
Q3 - 10:11DETBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)45
48
Q3 - 10:11MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.T1)45
47
Q3 - 10:24DETPISTONS Rebound45
47
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot45
47
Q3 - 10:36MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
47
Q3 - 10:37DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot45
47
Q3 - 11:01MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)45
47
Q3 - 11:23DETAfflalo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)45
47
Q3 - 11:49MIAO'Neal Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)45
47
Q3 - 12:0043
47
Q2 - 0:00.0DET43
47
Q2 - 0:01.0DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)43
47
Q2 - 0:01.0DETPISTONS Rebound43
47
Q2 - 0:02.0DETMISS Prince Layup43
47
Q2 - 0:04.0MIASUB: Cook FOR Wade43
47
Q2 - 0:04.0MIASUB: Head FOR Chalmers43
47
Q2 - 0:04.0DETSUB: Herrmann FOR Brown43
47
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMoon P.FOUL (P2.T4)43
47
Q2 - 0:14.0DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
47
Q2 - 0:16.0DETMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot43
47
Q2 - 0:34.0DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
47
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot43
47
Q2 - 0:54.0DETStuckey 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McDyess 3 AST)43
47
Q2 - 1:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)43
45
Q2 - 1:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)42
45
Q2 - 1:11DETBrown S.FOUL (P2.PN)41
45
Q2 - 1:25DETStuckey 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)41
45
Q2 - 1:50MIAMoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)41
43
Q2 - 1:50MIAMoon Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)40
43
Q2 - 1:50DETPrince S.FOUL (P1.PN)39
43
Q2 - 1:51DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)39
43
Q2 - 2:06MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)39
43
Q2 - 2:18MIAHeat Rebound37
43
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Fadeaway Jumper37
43
Q2 - 2:42DETAfflalo 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)37
43
Q2 - 2:54DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
41
Q2 - 2:55MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot37
41
Q2 - 3:09DETAfflalo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)37
41
Q2 - 3:24DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)37
41
Q2 - 3:34MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)37
41
Q2 - 3:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
41
Q2 - 3:41DETMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot35
41
Q2 - 4:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
41
Q2 - 4:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
41
Q2 - 4:03DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P2.PN)33
41
Q2 - 4:10DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)33
41
Q2 - 4:10DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)33
40
Q2 - 4:10MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.T3)33
39
Q2 - 4:21MIAMoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)33
39
Q2 - 4:21MIAHeat Rebound32
39
Q2 - 4:21MIAMISS Moon Free Throw 1 of 232
39
Q2 - 4:21DETAfflalo L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)32
39
Q2 - 4:21MIAHeat Rebound32
39
Q2 - 4:21DETMISS Afflalo 13' Running Jump Shot32
39
Q2 - 4:36MIAWade Driving Dunk (13 PTS)32
39
Q2 - 4:53DETStuckey 15' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
39
Q2 - 5:07MIASUB: Haslem FOR Beasley30
37
Q2 - 5:07DETSUB: McDyess FOR Johnson30
37
Q2 - 5:07DETSUB: Afflalo FOR Herrmann30
37
Q2 - 5:07MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T2)30
37
Q2 - 5:33MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)30
37
Q2 - 5:49DETJohnson Putback Layup (2 PTS)28
37
Q2 - 5:50DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
35
Q2 - 5:53DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot28
35
Q2 - 6:17MIAWade Driving Layup (9 PTS)28
35
Q2 - 6:26MIASUB: Moon FOR Magloire26
35
Q2 - 6:26MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Cook26
35
Q2 - 6:26MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones26
35
Q2 - 6:26MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)26
35
Q2 - 6:33DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)26
35
Q2 - 6:45DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
33
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Cook 11' Fadeaway Jumper26
33
Q2 - 7:10DETPrince 8' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)26
33
Q2 - 7:20DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
31
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
31
Q2 - 7:28MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
31
Q2 - 7:30DETMISS Brown 8' Hook Shot26
31
Q2 - 7:52MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)26
31
Q2 - 7:52DETSUB: Prince FOR Bynum25
31
Q2 - 7:52DETBynum S.FOUL (P3.T4)25
31
Q2 - 7:52MIAChalmers Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
31
Q2 - 7:57DETBynum P.FOUL (P2.T3)23
31
Q2 - 8:11DETBynum 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)23
31
Q2 - 8:31DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
29
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 223
29
Q2 - 8:31MIAHeat Rebound23
29
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 223
29
Q2 - 8:3123
29
Q2 - 8:31DETJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T2)23
29
Q2 - 8:52DETStuckey 18' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
29
Q2 - 9:04MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Head23
27
Q2 - 9:04MIAHead Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)23
27
Q2 - 9:06DETStuckey Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)23
27
Q2 - 9:28DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
27
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot23
27
Q2 - 9:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
27
Q2 - 9:47DETMISS Bynum 19' Jump Shot23
27
Q2 - 9:59MIAHead Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)23
27
Q2 - 9:59DETSUB: Johnson FOR Maxiell22
27
Q2 - 9:59MIAHeat Rebound22
27
Q2 - 9:59MIAMISS Head Free Throw 1 of 222
27
Q2 - 9:59DETMaxiell S.FOUL (P3.T1)22
27
Q2 - 10:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
27
Q2 - 10:22DETMISS Herrmann 3PT Jump Shot22
27
Q2 - 10:41MIACook 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Head 1 AST)22
27
Q2 - 10:58DETMaxiell Putback Dunk (2 PTS)20
27
Q2 - 10:59DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
25
Q2 - 11:00DETMISS Stuckey Driving Layup20
25
Q2 - 11:18MIAMagloire L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)20
25
Q2 - 11:18DETPISTONS Rebound20
25
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Beasley Layup20
25
Q2 - 11:37DETHerrmann Layup (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)20
25
Q2 - 11:45DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
23
Q2 - 11:46MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot20
23
Q2 - 12:0020
23
Q1 - 0:00.0DET20
23
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound20
23
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Bynum Layup20
23
Q1 - 0:07.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
23
Q1 - 0:09.0DETMISS Herrmann 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
23
Q1 - 0:29.0MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)20
23
Q1 - 0:29.0MIASUB: Cook FOR Wade19
23
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAHeat Rebound19
23
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 219
23
Q1 - 0:29.0DETMaxiell P.FOUL (P2.PN)19
23
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAHeat Rebound19
23
Q1 - 0:30.0DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot19
23
Q1 - 0:43.0DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
23
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
23
Q1 - 1:03MIASUB: Jones FOR Moon19
23
Q1 - 1:03DETMaxiell L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)19
23
Q1 - 1:03MIAHeat Rebound19
23
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot19
23
Q1 - 1:18MIASUB: Beasley FOR O'Neal19
23
Q1 - 1:18DETSUB: Herrmann FOR Prince19
23
Q1 - 1:18DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)19
23
Q1 - 1:18DETBynum Foul Turnover (P1.T3)19
23
Q1 - 1:18DETBynum OFF.Foul (P1)19
23
Q1 - 1:39MIAWade Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)19
23
Q1 - 1:55MIAO'Neal Violation:Defensive Goaltending17
23
Q1 - 1:55DETMcDyess Layup (8 PTS)17
23
Q1 - 1:56DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
21
Q1 - 1:57DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
21
Q1 - 2:11DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
21
Q1 - 2:12DETMISS Prince 13' Running Hook Shot17
21
Q1 - 2:35MIAHead 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
21
Q1 - 2:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
21
Q1 - 2:45DETMISS Bynum 9' Floating Jump Shot15
21
Q1 - 3:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)15
21
Q1 - 3:01DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P1.T2)14
21
Q1 - 3:01MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
21
Q1 - 3:13MIASUB: Head FOR Chalmers12
21
Q1 - 3:13MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)12
21
Q1 - 3:22DETMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)12
21
Q1 - 3:40DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
19
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper12
19
Q1 - 3:53DETMcDyess 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)12
19
Q1 - 4:18MIAO'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
17
Q1 - 4:28DETSUB: Maxiell FOR Brown10
17
Q1 - 4:28DETSUB: Bynum FOR Stuckey10
17
Q1 - 4:28DETBrown P.FOUL (P1.T1)10
17
Q1 - 4:37DETPrince 13' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)10
17
Q1 - 5:00MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)10
15
Q1 - 5:16DETStuckey Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)8
15
Q1 - 5:32MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)8
15
Q1 - 5:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
15
Q1 - 5:42DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot6
15
Q1 - 6:01MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS)6
15
Q1 - 6:04DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
15
Q1 - 6:09DETAfflalo Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)4
15
Q1 - 6:09MIAO'Neal T.FOUL (P1.T4)4
14
Q1 - 6:13DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
14
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS O'Neal Layup4
14
Q1 - 6:37MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
14
Q1 - 6:37DETMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 24
14
Q1 - 6:37DETBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
14
Q1 - 6:37MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T4)4
13
Q1 - 6:48DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
13
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup4
13
Q1 - 7:06DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)4
13
Q1 - 7:06MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T3)4
12
Q1 - 7:06DETStuckey Layup (4 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)4
12
Q1 - 7:24MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
10
Q1 - 7:33MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)2
10
Q1 - 7:40DETPrince 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
10
Q1 - 7:58MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)2
8
Q1 - 7:58DETPISTONS Rebound2
8
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Fadeaway Jumper2
8
Q1 - 8:17DETBrown 9' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
8
Q1 - 8:39DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
6
Q1 - 8:40MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Fadeaway Jumper2
6
Q1 - 8:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
6
Q1 - 8:58DETMISS Afflalo 18' Pullup Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 9:14DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
6
Q1 - 9:15MIAMISS Moon 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 9:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
6
Q1 - 9:23DETMISS Stuckey Layup2
6
Q1 - 9:28MIAMoon P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
6
Q1 - 9:47MIAO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
6
Q1 - 10:02MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
6
Q1 - 10:04DETMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot0
6
Q1 - 10:19DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
6
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot0
6
Q1 - 10:37DETStuckey 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)0
6
Q1 - 10:47DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
4
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup0
4
Q1 - 11:05DETAfflalo Layup (2 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)0
4
Q1 - 11:22MIAPrince STEAL (1 STL)0
2
Q1 - 11:45DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Brown vs. O'Neal: Tip to Stuckey0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.1%
DET
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
25
64%
DET
12
23
52%
Midrange
MIA
14
34
41%
DET
21
43
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
DET
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
Free Throws
MIA
26
34
76%
DET
24
27
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3967%19.5 / 29
J. Moon1794%8.5 / 9
U. Haslem1673%8.0 / 11
J. O'Neal1441%7.0 / 17
M. Chalmers550%2.5 / 5
L. Head583%2.5 / 3
M. Beasley330%1.5 / 5
D. Cook233%1.0 / 3
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Stuckey2460%12.0 / 20
A. McDyess1662%8.0 / 13
T. Prince1441%7.0 / 17
A. Afflalo1359%6.5 / 11
W. Bynum941%4.5 / 11
K. Brown770%3.5 / 5
J. Maxiell660%3.0 / 5
W. Herrmann542%2.5 / 6
A. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+7
-7
84
DET
75
+17
-10
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.1%
DET
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
106.8
MIA 120.2 +7.3
DET 112.9
Pace
90.2
87.3
MIA 88.1 +6.8
DET 81.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
17.1
MIA 16.3 −1.4
DET 17.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
48.3%
MIA 53.6% +7.4%
DET 46.2%
TO %
13.1%
12.7%
MIA 7.6% −2.4%
DET 10.0%
ORB %
24.6%
27.9%
MIA 13.8%
DET 29.7% +15.9%
FTrt
28.2
28.2
MIA 48.6 +14.0
DET 34.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
56.7%
MIA 54.3% +2.9%
DET 51.4%
STL %
8.7%
6.8%
MIA 8.3% +3.6%
DET 4.7%
BLK %
9.2%
7.3%
MIA 16.7% +8.2%
DET 8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
51.0%
MIA 60.1% +8.5%
DET 51.6%
Rim FG%
59.5%
58.7%
MIA 64.0% +11.8%
DET 52.2%
Mid FG%
41.8%
41.2%
MIA 41.2%
DET 48.8% +7.6%
3P %
35.7%
34.9%
MIA 45.5% +28.8%
DET 16.7%
FT %
75.4%
75.1%
MIA 76.5%
DET 88.9% +12.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
30.0%
MIA 35.7% +6.2%
DET 29.5%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
53.5%
MIA 48.6% −6.6%
DET 55.1%
3P Att. %
24.5%
16.5%
MIA 15.7% +0.3%
DET 15.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8485
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points10196
Rebounds3036
Assists1918
Steals74
Blocks115
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)25 (5)
Field Goals35-7035-78
At-the-Rim FG16-2512-23
Midrange FG14-3421-43
2-Point FG30-5933-66
3-Point FG5-112-12
Free Throws26-3424-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
38.7
39
67%
2
6
2
4
2
3
1
1
11-14
79%
11-19
58%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 205 · 29
36.7
17
94%
6
1
1
3
0
3
0
6
4-5
80%
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
35.3
5
50%
5
7
1
0
2
5
0
5
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
34.4
14
41%
3
2
0
1
1
3
2
1
2-2
100%
6-16
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
30.5
16
73%
6
1
0
0
0
3
1
5
4-4
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
18.8
3
30%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 26
15.8
5
83%
3
2
2
1
2
2
0
3
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
12.2
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
11.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
6.2
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
#15 · C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · C · 6'9" 245 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
60%
30
19
7
11
7
0
4
26
26-34
76%
30-59
51%
5-11
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.