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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 22, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Rockets44%8887
11Spurs56%9085
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.9
37.1
30.5
19
51%
17
4
3
1
0
1
3
14
3-4
75%
8-17
5-9
47%
52%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.5
36.7
32.3
13
77%
8
2
0
0
2
4
2
6
1-1
100%
6-8
7-13
75%
52%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.4
34.8
34.7
24
51%
4
2
1
2
0
2
2
2
6-8
75%
6-16
4-10
38%
45%
2-4
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.5
33.0
31.9
6
100%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
2-3
67%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.2
25.3
26.6
5
25%
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
45%
1-3
33%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.0
22.7
22.9
11
56%
4
3
1
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
5-9
2-4
56%
49%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.8
18.4
13.8
4
67%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.7
17.1
18.4
1
17%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.2
14.9
11.3
4
106%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.4
7.1
0
1-2
45%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.7
5.6
0
0-1
49%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
3.1
0
0-1
42%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.5
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.8
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.8
39.5
35.3
22
42%
3
12
1
1
0
5
0
3
4-5
80%
9-22
9-18
41%
51%
0-2
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
35.1
30.9
9
46%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
1-7
2-5
14%
45%
2-2
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
34.1
32.1
23
45%
6
2
1
1
0
2
1
5
7-8
88%
8-22
7-14
36%
50%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
30.1
19.4
4
50%
9
1
2
0
1
0
5
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.0
25.0
30.5
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.6
29.3
12.2
16
85%
7
1
1
0
0
1
4
3
0-1
0%
5-7
1-2
71%
47%
2-2
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
20.9
26.7
7
64%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.8
12.5
16.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
6.8
13.6
4
40%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.9
6.6
19.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.0
0.0
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
2.4
0
0-1
41%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.4
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.6
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.