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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 22, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Thunder45%9797
26Timberwolves55%9990
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.5
36.4
38.0
30
61%
8
5
2
1
0
1
3
5
3-4
75%
12-21
8-17
57%
50%
1-2
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.4
35.9
33.4
7
30%
8
10
2
1
2
2
4
4
3-4
75%
2-9
6-14
22%
45%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.9
29.6
29.6
9
54%
6
2
2
1
0
1
1
5
3-3
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
28.3
34.8
17
72%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
5-7
5-11
71%
47%
1-3
33%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.7
23.1
24.8
8
36%
6
0
2
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-11
4-8
36%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
26.6
24.7
5
32%
6
1
1
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
2-7
3-5
29%
55%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.6
22.3
15.2
7
44%
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.1
19.0
16.4
5
53%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-4
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.3
16.8
13.2
9
68%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
2-4
1-4
50%
41%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.2
1.9
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.8
9.1
0
1-2
46%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.3
4.6
0
1-1
52%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.4
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.1
33.8
31.0
6
35%
10
4
0
1
0
2
3
7
3-6
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
56%
1-3
33%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.8
28.9
28.3
4
33%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.5
27.9
29.0
10
34%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
3-13
5-11
23%
51%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.6
27.3
30.4
8
33%
9
1
0
1
0
5
4
5
0-0
-
4-11
5-9
36%
50%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.5
22.9
32.1
7
58%
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
4-9
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.4
24.0
18.1
19
59%
10
1
0
0
1
3
2
8
3-5
60%
8-14
4-6
57%
58%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.0
22.0
19.7
15
68%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
3-7
43%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.2
15.6
8.9
5
66%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.5
15.6
6.1
12
76%
2
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
12.7
6.1
4
69%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-2
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.9
9.3
20.7
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.3
11.7
0
1-2
41%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.0
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.2
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.