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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 22, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Cavaliers70%9796
25Nets30%9088
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.2
39.1
39.4
30
64%
11
8
1
2
0
1
2
9
11-15
73%
8-13
8-15
62%
53%
1-4
25%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.3
38.1
34.5
7
35%
7
2
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-7
4-9
29%
50%
1-3
33%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.7
33.9
33.1
3
30%
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
32.9
27.9
16
57%
11
1
0
1
1
1
2
9
4-9
44%
6-10
3-6
60%
52%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.8
26.4
26.3
18
64%
6
0
0
0
4
0
1
5
0-0
-
9-14
5-10
64%
49%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.1
22.1
18.9
3
26%
2
6
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.7
18.9
19.3
9
53%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.3
18.6
19.2
6
44%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
1-1
100%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.4
9.8
10.5
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.5
4.4
0
1-1
53%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.0
2.8
0
0-1
49%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
2.2
0
0-0
46%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.9
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.0
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.2
43.4
35.7
25
49%
9
5
0
1
1
0
0
9
3-6
50%
11-19
5-12
58%
46%
0-4
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.9
40.7
31.3
19
88%
5
4
1
1
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
6-7
2-5
86%
45%
1-2
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.0
37.8
31.2
16
50%
6
3
1
1
0
0
1
5
6-7
86%
5-12
6-11
42%
52%
0-1
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.1
26.3
28.9
4
34%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.4
15.4
19.1
4
23%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
2-2
100%
1-8
2-5
13%
43%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.8
27.1
16.6
8
51%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
2-6
33%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.6
24.4
23.2
6
38%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.3
10.2
12.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-2
0%
0-0
1-3
-
54%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.2
9.3
18.7
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.9
5.5
6.2
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
11.3
0
1-2
49%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 25.1
2.3
0
0-1
42%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.1
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.