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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 23, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Clippers12%8877
4Celtics88%10490
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.7
38.1
28.3
17
52%
14
1
1
1
0
3
3
11
1-3
33%
8-15
6-13
53%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.0
33.7
23.5
4
40%
5
2
0
1
6
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.9
32.4
33.1
13
46%
7
8
1
1
1
2
2
5
4-5
80%
3-8
4-9
38%
42%
1-4
25%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.2
28.9
34.9
8
30%
1
0
2
1
2
5
0
1
2-3
67%
3-8
3-7
38%
46%
0-4
0%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
14.3
10.2
2
25%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
40%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 30.0
27.6
28.6
3
150%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
1-1
100%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
19.9
36.8
11
71%
1
4
0
1
1
3
0
1
3-4
75%
4-6
6-13
67%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.9
18.3
22.4
8
47%
7
1
0
0
0
4
4
3
0-1
0%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.2
14.4
9.5
2
50%
2
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
38%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.8
12.4
21.2
9
75%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
3-6
50%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.7
5.7
0
1-1
50%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.8
4.3
0
0-1
45%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.2
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.7
35.8
31.6
20
96%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
54%
3-3
100%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.4
31.3
34.7
9
51%
4
3
1
1
0
4
0
4
2-4
50%
2-5
6-11
40%
52%
1-2
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.4
29.6
30.3
12
56%
13
1
0
1
2
4
2
11
2-4
50%
5-9
5-7
56%
62%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.1
28.4
34.0
14
54%
1
7
5
2
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
7-11
6-11
64%
54%
0-2
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
17.9
14.3
12
102%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-5
3-6
100%
55%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.2
28.9
24.3
8
29%
3
2
4
1
1
1
1
2
6-6
100%
1-11
3-7
9%
51%
0-0
-
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 32.1
19.7
17.1
3
25%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.4
19.4
19.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
59%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.9
16.0
19.4
8
67%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
2-3
67%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.5
8.7
8.7
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
56%
0-0
-
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.9
4.5
4.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.2
9.9
0
2-3
56%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.0
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.