FinalWin Prob.pScore
2924%89
82
1276%98
94
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
92.18994.8
MIA logo MIA
106.88882.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM82
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHead Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MEMMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Anthony 4' Jump Shot82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MEMMayo Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 276
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)76
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47MIAMoon Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)76
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48MEMMISS Gay 10' Jump Shot76
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Moon 20' Jump Shot76
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28MEMGasol Dunk (6 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)76
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMoon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36MEMMISS Gasol 6' Hook Shot74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46MEMMoon BLOCK (1 BLK)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMagloire Dunk (10 PTS)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)74
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17MEMChalmers STEAL (3 STL)74
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIAWade 12' Running Jump Shot (27 PTS)74
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50MEMMISS Arthur Free Throw 1 of 174
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 4:54MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot72
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14MEMMayo 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)72
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 5:31MIAWade Driving Layup (25 PTS)70
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44MEMMayo Driving Dunk (16 PTS)70
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 5:48MIAMagloire Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)68
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)68
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53MIAMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot68
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20MEMMayo Layup (14 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)68
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 6:24MIAMagloire Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)66
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36MEMGasol Foul Turnover (P1.T20)66
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)66
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)66
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:01MEMMISS Miles 5' Jump Shot66
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15MIABeasley 3' Jump Shot (17 PTS)66
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 7:16MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)66
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 7:17MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Hook Shot66
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)66
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 7:28MEMMISS Gay 12' Jump Shot66
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 7:46MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)66
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 8:09MEMMiles 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)66
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 8:17MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot64
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 8:35MEMMoon STEAL (4 STL)64
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 8:49MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot64
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 9:06MIAHead REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 9:07MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot64
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 9:12MEMHead STEAL (4 STL)64
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 9:18MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS Head 20' Jump Shot64
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 9:33MEMHead STEAL (3 STL)64
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 9:38MEMGrizzlies Rebound64
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 9:40MEMMISS Miles 21' Jump Shot64
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 9:56MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)64
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 9:56MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 264
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 10:25MEMConley Driving Layup (9 PTS)64
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 10:31MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 10:32MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot62
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 10:45MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 10:47MEMMISS Conley 21' Jump Shot62
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 11:05MIAHead Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)62
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 11:13MEMRoss Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)62
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 11:15MEMRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 11:16MIAMISS Moon 3PT Jump Shot62
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 11:26MEMHead STEAL (2 STL)62
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 11:47MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 11:47MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM62
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound62
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot62
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot62
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 0:24.0MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)62
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0MEMRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)59
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 1:08MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 1:08MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)58
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 1:08MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 1:10MEMMISS Miles Driving Layup57
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 1:27MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 157
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 1:30MEMWade STEAL (2 STL)57
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 1:45MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)57
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 2:02MEMBuckner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)57
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 2:19MEMMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 157
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q3 - 2:31MEMMoon STEAL (3 STL)57
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 2:41MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Head 2 AST)57
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 3:02MEMJaric 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)57
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 3:26MIAWade Driving Dunk (19 PTS)54
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q3 - 3:35MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 3:36MEMMISS Jaric 19' Jump Shot54
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMoon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)54
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q3 - 4:06MEMMayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q3 - 4:15MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 4:16MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
1.8%
69
98.2%
Q3 - 4:26MEMHead STEAL (1 STL)51
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 4:44MIAMoon 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)51
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 5:02MEMWade STEAL (1 STL)51
2.4%
67
97.6%
Q3 - 5:05MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)51
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 5:06MEMWade BLOCK (1 BLK)51
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 5:15MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Magloire 8' Hook Shot51
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 5:34MEMWarrick Foul Turnover (P1.T9)51
2.4%
67
97.6%
Q3 - 5:43MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)51
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 6:08MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 6:08MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q3 - 6:13MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
2.3%
67
97.7%
Q3 - 6:14MIAMISS Wade Reverse Dunk49
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 6:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 6:22MIAMISS Wade 7' Floating Jump Shot49
2.1%
67
97.9%
Q3 - 6:53MEMBuckner 10' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)49
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 7:06MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)47
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 7:25MEMJaric Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)47
2.1%
65
97.9%
Q3 - 7:30MEMJaric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q3 - 7:31MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot44
1.5%
65
98.5%
Q3 - 7:56MEMMilicic 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS)44
1.3%
65
98.7%
Q3 - 8:17MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)42
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q3 - 8:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 8:27MEMMISS Mayo 3PT Jump Shot42
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 8:37MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot42
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q3 - 8:48MIAHEAT Rebound42
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 8:49MEMMISS Conley 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 9:07MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)42
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q3 - 9:28MEMMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q3 - 9:28MEMMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q3 - 9:40MIAWade Layup (17 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)40
2.0%
60
98.0%
Q3 - 9:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
2.3%
58
97.7%
Q3 - 9:45MEMMISS Mayo 12' Jump Shot40
2.4%
58
97.6%
Q3 - 10:06MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
2.8%
58
97.2%
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
2.7%
58
97.3%
Q3 - 10:23MEMMoon STEAL (2 STL)40
2.5%
58
97.5%
Q3 - 10:44MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)40
2.8%
58
97.2%
Q3 - 11:12MEMGrizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)40
3.4%
56
96.6%
Q3 - 11:42MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)40
3.9%
56
96.1%
Q3 - 11:47MEMChalmers STEAL (2 STL)40
3.4%
56
96.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM40
3.9%
56
96.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade Running Dunk (15 PTS)40
3.9%
56
96.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0MEMChalmers STEAL (1 STL)40
4.8%
54
95.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
5.2%
54
94.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Chalmers Running Dunk40
5.1%
54
94.9%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)40
4.7%
54
95.3%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot40
5.1%
54
94.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
4.7%
54
95.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0MEMMISS Gasol 5' Running Hook Shot40
4.9%
54
95.1%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)40
5.2%
54
94.8%
Q2 - 1:05MEMGasol Layup (4 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)40
6.3%
52
93.7%
Q2 - 1:27MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T4)38
5.4%
52
94.6%
Q2 - 1:42MEMGasol 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)38
4.9%
52
95.1%
Q2 - 1:56MEMMayo Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)36
4.2%
52
95.8%
Q2 - 2:10MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
3.9%
52
96.1%
Q2 - 2:11MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 235
3.8%
52
96.2%
Q2 - 2:11MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 235
3.5%
52
96.5%
Q2 - 2:20MEMMoon STEAL (1 STL)35
3.4%
52
96.6%
Q2 - 2:34MIAMagloire Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)35
3.9%
52
96.1%
Q2 - 2:48MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
4.4%
50
95.6%
Q2 - 2:48MEMMISS Warrick Free Throw 1 of 234
4.2%
50
95.8%
Q2 - 3:02MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q2 - 3:03MEMMISS Mayo 9' Jump Shot34
4.1%
50
95.9%
Q2 - 3:09MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)34
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q2 - 3:10MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)34
3.9%
50
96.1%
Q2 - 3:11MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
4.3%
50
95.7%
Q2 - 3:19MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
3.9%
50
96.1%
Q2 - 3:20MEMMISS Gay 5' Hook Shot34
4.1%
50
95.9%
Q2 - 3:32MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
4.3%
50
95.7%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)34
3.9%
50
96.1%
Q2 - 3:46MEMMISS Conley 15' Jump Shot34
4.1%
50
95.9%
Q2 - 4:05MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)34
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q2 - 4:32MEMMayo 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
5.7%
47
94.3%
Q2 - 4:55MIAChalmers 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 5:12MEMGay 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
6.0%
45
94.0%
Q2 - 5:34MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
5.3%
45
94.7%
Q2 - 5:35MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
5.1%
45
94.9%
Q2 - 5:49MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
4.7%
45
95.3%
Q2 - 5:49MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
4.5%
45
95.5%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
4.7%
44
95.3%
Q2 - 6:15MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
4.9%
43
95.1%
Q2 - 6:16MEMMISS Gasol 4' Jump Shot28
5.1%
43
94.9%
Q2 - 6:29MIAMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)28
5.6%
43
94.4%
Q2 - 6:31MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)28
4.9%
43
95.1%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
5.4%
43
94.6%
Q2 - 6:47MEMMayo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
4.9%
43
95.1%
Q2 - 7:00MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)28
5.6%
43
94.4%
Q2 - 7:23MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)28
6.9%
40
93.1%
Q2 - 7:40MIABeasley Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)25
5.6%
40
94.4%
Q2 - 7:58MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
6.2%
38
93.8%
Q2 - 7:58MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 224
6.1%
38
93.9%
Q2 - 8:10MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)24
6.4%
38
93.6%
Q2 - 8:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
7.1%
36
92.9%
Q2 - 8:27MEMMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 224
7.2%
36
92.8%
Q2 - 8:27MEMMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q2 - 8:33MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
7.1%
36
92.9%
Q2 - 8:34MIAMISS Head 10' Floating Jump Shot23
6.9%
36
93.1%
Q2 - 8:44MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
6.4%
36
93.6%
Q2 - 8:45MEMMISS Milicic 12' Jump Shot23
6.6%
36
93.4%
Q2 - 9:01MIACook 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
7.2%
36
92.8%
Q2 - 9:23MEMArthur Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)23
7.9%
34
92.1%
Q2 - 9:37MIABeasley 9' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)20
6.5%
34
93.5%
Q2 - 9:44MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
7.2%
32
92.8%
Q2 - 9:45MEMMISS Arthur 9' Hook Shot20
7.4%
32
92.6%
Q2 - 9:59MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
7.9%
32
92.1%
Q2 - 10:00MEMMISS Gay 18' Jump Shot20
7.4%
32
92.6%
Q2 - 10:30MEMBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
8.2%
32
91.8%
Q2 - 10:31MIAMISS Beasley 6' Jump Shot20
7.9%
32
92.1%
Q2 - 10:51MEMMilicic 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)20
7.4%
32
92.6%
Q2 - 10:53MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
6.7%
32
93.3%
Q2 - 10:55MEMMISS Milicic 7' Hook Shot18
6.2%
32
93.8%
Q2 - 11:13MIAAnthony Layup (2 PTS) (Head 1 AST)18
7.0%
32
93.0%
Q2 - 11:36MEMMilicic 12' Hook Shot (4 PTS)18
7.6%
30
92.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM16
7.0%
30
93.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound16
7.0%
30
93.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Milicic 5' Hook Shot16
6.8%
30
93.2%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)16
7.1%
30
92.9%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
7.9%
28
92.1%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Head 22' Jump Shot16
8.3%
28
91.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0MEMMilicic Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)16
7.9%
28
92.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
7.1%
28
92.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Head 20' Jump Shot14
6.9%
28
93.1%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
6.6%
28
93.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0MEMMISS Warrick Driving Layup14
6.7%
28
93.3%
Q1 - 1:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)14
7.3%
28
92.7%
Q1 - 1:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)14
7.5%
27
92.5%
Q1 - 1:17MEMWarrick 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)14
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q1 - 1:36MIAHead 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)12
7.3%
26
92.7%
Q1 - 1:59MIAHEAT Rebound12
8.9%
23
91.1%
Q1 - 1:59MEMMISS Milicic 8' Hook Shot12
9.1%
23
90.9%
Q1 - 2:17MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
9.8%
23
90.2%
Q1 - 2:18MIAMISS Beasley 7' Running Jump Shot12
9.6%
23
90.4%
Q1 - 2:37MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)12
9.1%
23
90.9%
Q1 - 2:46MIABeasley Tip Shot (4 PTS)12
9.8%
23
90.2%
Q1 - 2:47MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
10.8%
21
89.2%
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot12
11.3%
21
88.7%
Q1 - 3:04MEMWarrick Layup (2 PTS)12
10.6%
21
89.4%
Q1 - 3:18MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)10
9.8%
21
90.2%
Q1 - 3:34MEMBuckner Layup (2 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)10
10.6%
19
89.4%
Q1 - 3:38MEMBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9.8%
19
90.2%
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot8
9.5%
19
90.5%
Q1 - 3:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
9.0%
19
91.0%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot8
9.5%
19
90.5%
Q1 - 3:47MIAHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9.0%
19
91.0%
Q1 - 3:48MEMMISS Warrick 12' Jump Shot8
9.2%
19
90.8%
Q1 - 4:04MEMGrizzlies Rebound8
9.9%
19
90.1%
Q1 - 4:06MEMMISS Buckner 5' Hook Shot8
9.3%
19
90.7%
Q1 - 4:24MEMGrizzlies Rebound8
9.9%
19
90.1%
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper8
9.6%
19
90.4%
Q1 - 4:45MIAHEAT Rebound8
9.0%
19
91.0%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Moon 20' Jump Shot8
9.6%
19
90.4%
Q1 - 5:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
9.3%
19
90.7%
Q1 - 5:03MEMMISS Conley 13' Running Jump Shot8
9.6%
19
90.4%
Q1 - 5:09MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10.2%
19
89.8%
Q1 - 5:10MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot8
9.9%
19
90.1%
Q1 - 5:26MEMConley 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)8
9.3%
19
90.7%
Q1 - 5:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)6
8.7%
19
91.3%
Q1 - 5:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)6
8.8%
18
91.2%
Q1 - 5:40MIAHaslem Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)6
9.3%
17
90.7%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
10.0%
16
90.0%
Q1 - 5:48MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup6
10.7%
16
89.3%
Q1 - 6:17MEMConley Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
10.0%
16
90.0%
Q1 - 6:29MIAMagloire Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
9.3%
16
90.7%
Q1 - 6:36MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
10.0%
14
90.0%
Q1 - 6:37MEMMISS Mayo 20' Jump Shot4
10.3%
14
89.7%
Q1 - 7:00MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 7:01MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot4
10.4%
14
89.6%
Q1 - 7:22MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
9.8%
14
90.2%
Q1 - 7:35MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10.7%
14
89.3%
Q1 - 7:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 24
10.6%
14
89.4%
Q1 - 7:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)4
10.1%
14
89.9%
Q1 - 7:50MEMMayo 6' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
10.6%
13
89.4%
Q1 - 7:53MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
9.9%
13
90.1%
Q1 - 7:54MEMMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
9.4%
13
90.6%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMagloire Putback Dunk (2 PTS)2
9.8%
13
90.2%
Q1 - 8:06MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
10.6%
11
89.4%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot2
11.1%
11
88.9%
Q1 - 8:30MEMMayo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
10.6%
11
89.4%
Q1 - 8:40MIAMagloire Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
9.8%
11
90.2%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
9.1%
11
90.9%
Q1 - 8:59MEMMISS Mayo 13' Jump Shot0
9.3%
11
90.7%
Q1 - 9:21MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)0
10.1%
11
89.9%
Q1 - 9:32MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
10.9%
9
89.1%
Q1 - 9:33MEMMISS Arthur 6' Jump Shot0
11.2%
9
88.8%
Q1 - 10:00MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)0
11.7%
9
88.3%
Q1 - 10:09MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.0%
7
87.0%
Q1 - 10:10MEMMISS Conley 17' Jump Shot0
13.2%
7
86.8%
Q1 - 10:30MIAHaslem Putback Dunk (2 PTS)0
13.8%
7
86.2%
Q1 - 10:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
14.7%
5
85.3%
Q1 - 10:32MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot0
15.4%
5
84.6%
Q1 - 10:36MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.7%
5
85.3%
Q1 - 10:38MEMMISS Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
15.0%
5
85.0%
Q1 - 10:41MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
15.7%
5
84.3%
Q1 - 10:42MEMMISS Gay 10' Jump Shot0
15.0%
5
85.0%
Q1 - 11:06MIAMoon 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
15.7%
5
84.3%
Q1 - 11:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.6%
2
82.4%
Q1 - 11:25MEMMISS Arthur 13' Turnaround Jump Shot0
17.9%
2
82.1%
Q1 - 11:45MIAWade Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)0
18.6%
2
81.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Magloire vs. Gasol: Tip to Haslem0
19.6%
0
80.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.99 49.4%
MIA
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
16
26
62%
MIA
18
24
75%
Midrange
MEM
12
34
35%
MIA
14
39
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
MIA
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
MEM
20
25
80%
MIA
12
18
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
O. Mayo2166%10.5 / 16
M. Conley1150%5.5 / 11
H. Warrick956%4.5 / 8
D. Milicic950%4.5 / 9
R. Gay836%4.0 / 11
M. Gasol750%3.5 / 7
M. Jaric6100%3.0 / 3
D. Arthur542%2.5 / 6
G. Buckner467%2.0 / 3
D. Miles225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2752%13.5 / 26
M. Beasley1757%8.5 / 15
U. Haslem1155%5.5 / 10
J. Magloire1071%5.0 / 7
J. Moon964%4.5 / 7
M. Chalmers563%2.5 / 4
J. Jones542%2.5 / 6
D. Cook550%2.5 / 5
L. Head330%1.5 / 5
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
69
+13
-20
82
MIA
73
+16
-15
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.99 49.4%
MIA
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.4
107.6
MEM 92.1 +14.7
MIA 106.8
Pace
90.3
90.2
MEM 94.8 +11.9
MIA 82.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.3
MEM 15.2 +2.2
MIA 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
50.0%
MEM 44.9%
MIA 50.6% +5.7%
TO %
15.6%
13.1%
MEM 20.8%
MIA 15.2% +5.6%
ORB %
25.9%
24.6%
MEM 25.7%
MIA 34.1% +8.4%
FTrt
32.9
28.2
MEM 36.2 +14.0
MIA 22.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
49.7%
55.1%
MEM 40.0%
MIA 55.3% +15.3%
STL %
8.2%
8.7%
MEM 10.1%
MIA 14.8% +4.7%
BLK %
7.9%
9.2%
MEM 4.8% +1.5%
MIA 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.5%
52.6%
MEM 49.4%
MIA 52.8% +3.4%
Rim FG%
55.3%
59.5%
MEM 61.5%
MIA 75.0% +13.5%
Mid FG%
40.9%
41.8%
MEM 35.3%
MIA 35.9% +0.6%
3P %
36.0%
35.7%
MEM 22.2%
MIA 33.3% +11.1%
FT %
75.6%
75.4%
MEM 80.0% +13.3%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
30.3%
MEM 37.7% +8.1%
MIA 29.6%
Mid Att. %
45.3%
45.2%
MEM 49.3%
MIA 48.1% +1.1%
3P Att. %
17.5%
24.5%
MEM 13.0%
MIA 22.2% +9.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points8294
Rebounds3841
Assists1221
Steals913
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)26 (2)
Field Goals30-6938-81
At-the-Rim FG16-2618-24
Midrange FG12-3414-39
2-Point FG28-6032-63
3-Point FG2-96-18
Free Throws20-2512-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 175 · 21
35.2
11
50%
4
5
1
0
5
1
0
4
3-3
100%
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 230 · 23
34.9
8
36%
5
1
1
0
4
0
1
4
4-5
80%
2-7
29%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
34.6
21
66%
1
2
3
0
3
2
1
0
4-4
100%
7-11
64%
1-4
25%
C · 7'1" 255 · 24
29.1
7
50%
9
1
1
1
1
3
2
7
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
22.6
5
42%
1
0
2
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 219 · 27
22.0
9
56%
7
0
1
0
1
3
1
6
5-6
83%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 33
18.8
4
67%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 24
14.3
9
50%
5
1
0
1
2
2
3
2
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 224 · 30
12.8
6
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
7.9
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28
7.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 265 · 24
#29 · G · 5'10" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
49%
38
12
9
3
20
0
9
29
20-25
80%
28-60
47%
2-9
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.