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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 24, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pistons42%9491
17Bulls58%9699
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.1
40.8
37.9
20
57%
1
6
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
8-14
6-13
57%
47%
1-3
33%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.9
37.8
29.3
14
44%
5
3
1
1
1
0
1
4
4-4
100%
5-14
5-11
36%
46%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.5
37.7
37.8
16
47%
8
0
0
1
1
1
3
5
0-2
0%
8-16
6-12
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.0
27.2
25.6
5
66%
11
0
0
1
1
4
2
9
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
21.2
28.5
2
14%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
0-2
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.2
34.0
24.8
20
63%
4
9
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
10-16
4-10
63%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.1
16.9
22.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
56%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.7
13.5
15.4
9
64%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
50%
1-3
33%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.9
10.1
6.0
3
80%
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
57%
0-0
-
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.7
0.9
1.4
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
49%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.1
13.8
0
3-6
49%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.5
8.1
0
1-2
48%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.3
45.8
37.5
16
49%
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
5
4-5
80%
3-10
4-9
30%
50%
2-4
50%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.0
45.6
32.8
19
55%
3
6
2
1
0
2
0
3
5-5
100%
7-12
5-9
58%
48%
0-3
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.2
45.6
25.0
24
50%
3
8
3
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
7-17
2-5
41%
46%
3-6
50%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
40.0
30.2
18
59%
12
5
1
1
1
3
2
10
4-5
80%
7-13
4-10
54%
46%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
29.8
27.0
15
70%
10
2
0
1
0
2
5
5
3-4
75%
6-9
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.9
23.7
27.3
7
40%
5
0
0
1
2
2
4
1
3-4
75%
2-7
3-7
29%
49%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.3
4.8
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-1
0%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.1
4.8
12.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.5
36.4
1
7-13
49%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.8
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.3
2.8
0
0-1
51%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.1
2.2
0
0-0
44%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.3
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.