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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 24, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers73%103107
25Thunder27%9589
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.7
34.0
36.1
14
52%
14
7
0
1
0
5
3
11
0-1
0%
7-13
8-13
54%
56%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.6
29.5
35.7
19
46%
3
5
4
1
2
0
0
3
6-6
100%
5-14
9-17
36%
51%
1-4
25%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
28.0
29.8
6
60%
5
0
1
2
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
54%
0-1
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.4
24.4
33.4
18
83%
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
5-8
5-9
63%
54%
2-2
100%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.6
21.4
24.4
11
94%
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
45%
1-1
100%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.3
22.9
21.4
6
60%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.2
20.6
15.4
14
55%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
5-11
2-5
45%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.0
18.2
14.9
11
92%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-3
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.0
15.3
16.7
2
17%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
0-1
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.2
14.0
6.3
2
20%
2
0
2
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-4
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.3
6.9
3.4
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.7
4.8
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.4
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.5
40.0
36.4
24
50%
6
4
1
1
1
1
0
6
8-9
89%
8-14
8-17
57%
48%
0-6
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
33.2
31.7
12
68%
6
3
2
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
4-5
5-10
80%
46%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.9
32.0
29.1
10
45%
7
4
0
1
2
5
1
6
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
47%
2-4
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.4
30.9
33.6
10
37%
5
6
1
1
0
4
0
5
6-6
100%
2-10
6-13
20%
43%
0-1
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.7
26.6
23.8
11
56%
7
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
3-4
75%
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
30.4
25.3
10
71%
8
1
1
1
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.1
21.4
17.6
4
40%
2
3
1
1
1
3
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.6
15.6
17.9
6
33%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.3
9.9
14.4
2
33%
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
40%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.8
8.4
0
1-2
45%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.2
5.2
0
1-1
42%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.3
4.5
0
0-1
51%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.4
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.