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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 24, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Warriors31%96106
10Spurs69%103107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.0
43.3
31.8
18
49%
8
4
1
1
0
5
1
7
3-3
100%
6-14
4-10
43%
44%
1-3
33%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.4
40.0
34.0
27
49%
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
2-3
67%
11-24
7-13
46%
50%
1-2
50%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
37.9
32.9
13
65%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
5-7
4-8
71%
48%
1-3
33%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.2
25.6
26.6
8
80%
7
3
1
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
50%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
18.3
24.0
10
56%
3
2
1
1
0
1
3
0
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.7
25.3
12.8
13
47%
9
2
0
0
5
0
4
5
3-4
75%
5-12
2-4
42%
47%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.4
21.8
24.8
6
28%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-6
67%
1-7
4-8
14%
48%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
15.5
22.8
6
75%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
2-2
100%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
8.1
14.1
4
106%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 24.1
4.2
4.3
1
27%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.0
17.2
0
2-4
44%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.0
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
34.4
31.9
24
71%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
7-11
3-5
64%
47%
3-5
60%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.9
33.3
36.5
30
68%
3
10
0
1
0
3
0
3
4-5
80%
13-20
11-20
65%
54%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.0
27.1
27.9
5
42%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
24.1
32.5
21
71%
10
4
1
1
2
1
2
8
11-13
85%
5-9
8-15
56%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
22.4
24.1
10
83%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
54%
2-4
50%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.8
28.4
14.8
4
24%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
2-6
0-1
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.6
23.9
19.5
2
33%
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
16.4
23.5
4
52%
7
0
0
1
1
1
2
5
0-2
0%
2-3
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.0
10.6
5.0
3
52%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
61%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
9.1
11.0
4
41%
6
0
0
0
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.9
8.2
14.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
2.0
2.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.4
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.7
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.