FinalWin Prob.pScore
1546%97
88
1954%99
90
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.79295.7
IND logo IND
98.99187.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA88
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound88
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)88
7.0%
90
93.0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot88
6.1%
90
93.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)88
22.4%
90
77.6%
Q4 - 0:25.0INDMISS Granger 3' Jump Shot88
17.5%
90
82.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)88
13.5%
90
86.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)87
12.4%
90
87.6%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)86
7.4%
90
92.6%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
4.6%
90
95.4%
Q4 - 1:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)86
10.5%
90
89.5%
Q4 - 1:03INDMISS Jack 19' Jump Shot86
8.9%
90
91.1%
Q4 - 1:29MIAO'Neal 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)86
8.2%
90
91.8%
Q4 - 1:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)84
6.1%
90
93.9%
Q4 - 1:40INDMISS Ford 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
5.2%
90
94.8%
Q4 - 2:04INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)84
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q4 - 2:06MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
4.5%
90
95.5%
Q4 - 2:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)84
7.0%
90
93.0%
Q4 - 2:16INDMISS Ford 15' Jump Shot84
5.8%
90
94.2%
Q4 - 2:36MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)84
3.6%
90
96.4%
Q4 - 2:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)84
7.1%
90
92.9%
Q4 - 2:47INDMISS Ford 13' Jump Shot84
5.7%
90
94.3%
Q4 - 3:05MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)84
5.0%
90
95.0%
Q4 - 3:05MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)83
4.6%
90
95.4%
Q4 - 3:11MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
3.6%
90
96.4%
Q4 - 3:13INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
3.0%
90
97.0%
Q4 - 3:31MIAO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)82
4.1%
90
95.9%
Q4 - 3:45INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)80
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 4:02INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
5.4%
87
94.6%
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 280
5.7%
87
94.3%
Q4 - 4:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)80
7.2%
87
92.8%
Q4 - 4:02INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)79
5.6%
87
94.4%
Q4 - 4:13INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)79
3.7%
87
96.3%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot79
4.2%
87
95.8%
Q4 - 4:33INDFord 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)79
5.4%
87
94.6%
Q4 - 4:54MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)79
7.4%
85
92.6%
Q4 - 5:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)76
5.6%
85
94.4%
Q4 - 5:03MIAFoster BLOCK (4 BLK)76
4.5%
85
95.5%
Q4 - 5:16INDFord 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS)76
5.5%
85
94.5%
Q4 - 5:29INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)76
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q4 - 5:29MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 276
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q4 - 5:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)76
9.5%
83
90.5%
Q4 - 5:43INDGranger 1' Layup (25 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)75
7.5%
83
92.5%
Q4 - 5:47INDJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
10.0%
81
90.0%
Q4 - 5:48MIAFord BLOCK (1 BLK)75
11.0%
81
89.0%
Q4 - 6:20INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)75
16.3%
81
83.7%
Q4 - 6:20INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)75
16.7%
80
83.3%
Q4 - 6:31MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)75
20.5%
79
79.5%
Q4 - 6:45INDRush Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)75
26.2%
79
73.8%
Q4 - 6:51INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
20.5%
79
79.5%
Q4 - 6:52MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup75
22.1%
79
77.9%
Q4 - 7:02INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)75
27.8%
79
72.2%
Q4 - 7:20INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
39.7%
76
60.3%
Q4 - 7:21MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot75
41.9%
76
58.1%
Q4 - 7:38INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)75
47.1%
76
52.9%
Q4 - 7:38INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)75
48.0%
75
52.0%
Q4 - 7:52INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
53.6%
74
46.4%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Head 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
55.9%
74
44.1%
Q4 - 7:57MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
61.0%
74
39.0%
Q4 - 7:59MIAGranger BLOCK (2 BLK)75
55.9%
74
44.1%
Q4 - 8:19INDFord 10' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)75
59.9%
74
40.1%
Q4 - 8:39MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)75
66.2%
72
33.8%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 274
65.0%
72
35.0%
Q4 - 8:41INDHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)74
66.0%
72
34.0%
Q4 - 8:57INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
60.1%
72
39.9%
Q4 - 8:58MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot74
62.0%
72
38.0%
Q4 - 9:14INDFord 10' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)74
64.9%
72
35.1%
Q4 - 9:30MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)74
70.4%
70
29.6%
Q4 - 9:30MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)73
69.4%
70
30.6%
Q4 - 9:47INDRush 19' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)72
64.9%
70
35.1%
Q4 - 10:01MIABeasley 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Head 3 AST)72
69.0%
68
31.0%
Q4 - 10:11MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
63.9%
68
36.1%
Q4 - 10:13INDMISS Jack 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
62.3%
68
37.7%
Q4 - 10:26INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
58.6%
68
41.4%
Q4 - 10:27MIAMISS Head 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
60.3%
68
39.7%
Q4 - 10:48MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)70
63.9%
68
36.1%
Q4 - 10:49INDMISS Jack 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
62.4%
68
37.6%
Q4 - 11:08MIAHead Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)70
58.0%
68
42.0%
Q4 - 11:23INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)68
52.5%
68
47.5%
Q4 - 11:23INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 268
54.2%
67
45.8%
Q4 - 11:41INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)68
52.8%
67
47.2%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
54.3%
67
45.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
57.8%
67
42.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDFord 20' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
57.8%
67
42.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)68
62.4%
65
37.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)67
61.5%
65
38.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
57.0%
65
43.0%
Q3 - 0:28.0INDMISS Ford 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
55.6%
65
44.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAHead 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)66
52.5%
65
47.5%
Q3 - 1:00INDNesterovic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)63
41.8%
65
58.2%
Q3 - 1:14INDJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
37.5%
65
62.5%
Q3 - 1:15INDMISS Rush 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
40.4%
65
59.6%
Q3 - 1:21INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
37.5%
65
62.5%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot63
38.8%
65
61.2%
Q3 - 1:44MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
41.8%
65
58.2%
Q3 - 1:44INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 263
41.2%
65
58.8%
Q3 - 1:44INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)63
37.6%
65
62.4%
Q3 - 2:05MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)63
42.1%
64
57.9%
Q3 - 2:16MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
37.5%
64
62.5%
Q3 - 2:17INDMISS Ford 3PT Jump Shot61
36.2%
64
63.8%
Q3 - 2:31INDBaston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
33.3%
64
66.7%
Q3 - 2:32MIABaston BLOCK (1 BLK)61
34.5%
64
65.5%
Q3 - 2:34MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
37.5%
64
62.5%
Q3 - 2:35MIAMISS Beasley Layup61
34.5%
64
65.5%
Q3 - 2:43MIAMoon Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)61
37.5%
64
62.5%
Q3 - 2:55INDGranger 17' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)60
33.2%
64
66.8%
Q3 - 3:11INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
37.9%
62
62.1%
Q3 - 3:11MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 260
38.5%
62
61.5%
Q3 - 3:11MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)60
41.4%
62
58.6%
Q3 - 3:25INDGranger 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)59
38.1%
62
61.9%
Q3 - 3:33INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)59
42.2%
60
57.8%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
43.6%
60
56.4%
Q3 - 3:46INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
46.9%
60
53.1%
Q3 - 3:46INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
47.5%
59
52.5%
Q3 - 3:51INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)59
51.1%
58
48.9%
Q3 - 3:52MIAMISS Moon 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
52.6%
58
47.4%
Q3 - 4:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
55.7%
58
44.3%
Q3 - 4:15INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
54.2%
58
45.8%
Q3 - 4:19INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
50.6%
58
49.4%
Q3 - 4:20INDMISS Jack Layup59
54.2%
58
45.8%
Q3 - 4:23INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
50.6%
58
49.4%
Q3 - 4:24MIAFoster BLOCK (3 BLK)59
52.2%
58
47.8%
Q3 - 4:42INDJack 19' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)59
55.7%
58
44.3%
Q3 - 5:02MIAGranger STEAL (3 STL)59
58.4%
56
41.6%
Q3 - 5:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
62.9%
56
37.1%
Q3 - 5:16INDMISS Jack 12' Jump Shot59
61.6%
56
38.4%
Q3 - 5:40MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)59
58.5%
56
41.5%
Q3 - 5:45MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
54.9%
56
45.1%
Q3 - 5:46INDMISS Foster 1' Layup57
53.5%
56
46.5%
Q3 - 5:48INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)57
50.2%
56
49.8%
Q3 - 5:49INDMISS Hibbert 2' Layup57
53.5%
56
46.5%
Q3 - 6:11MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)57
50.2%
56
49.8%
Q3 - 6:18MIAHeat Rebound55
46.5%
56
53.5%
Q3 - 6:18MIAFoster BLOCK (2 BLK)55
43.5%
56
56.5%
Q3 - 6:34INDRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
46.4%
56
53.6%
Q3 - 6:34INDRush Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)55
47.6%
55
52.4%
Q3 - 6:58MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)55
50.2%
54
49.8%
Q3 - 7:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
46.0%
54
54.0%
Q3 - 7:13INDMISS Hibbert 20' Jump Shot53
44.8%
54
55.2%
Q3 - 7:27MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)53
42.1%
54
57.9%
Q3 - 7:49INDHibbert Layup (6 PTS)51
38.5%
54
61.5%
Q3 - 8:15MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)51
41.9%
52
58.1%
Q3 - 8:34INDJack 19' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)49
38.6%
52
61.4%
Q3 - 8:41MIAGranger STEAL (2 STL)49
42.0%
50
58.0%
Q3 - 9:01INDGranger 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)49
45.9%
50
54.1%
Q3 - 9:13MIAMoon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)49
49.5%
48
50.5%
Q3 - 9:17INDHibbert Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)49
53.3%
48
46.7%
Q3 - 9:32INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
49.5%
48
50.5%
Q3 - 9:34MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
50.6%
48
49.4%
Q3 - 9:53MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
53.3%
48
46.7%
Q3 - 9:55INDMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
52.1%
48
47.9%
Q3 - 10:10INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)49
49.3%
48
50.7%
Q3 - 10:11MIAMISS Moon 19' Jump Shot49
50.4%
48
49.6%
Q3 - 10:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
52.9%
48
47.1%
Q3 - 10:31INDMISS Foster 3' Layup49
51.8%
48
48.2%
Q3 - 10:45INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)49
49.3%
48
50.7%
Q3 - 10:46MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot49
50.4%
48
49.6%
Q3 - 10:52MIAHeat Rebound49
52.9%
48
47.1%
Q3 - 10:52INDMISS Jack 1' Layup49
51.8%
48
48.2%
Q3 - 10:57INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)49
49.3%
48
50.7%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot49
50.4%
48
49.6%
Q3 - 11:16MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
52.9%
48
47.1%
Q3 - 11:17INDMISS Hibbert 4' Jump Shot49
51.8%
48
48.2%
Q3 - 11:24INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
49.2%
48
50.8%
Q3 - 11:26MIAGranger BLOCK (1 BLK)49
50.4%
48
49.6%
Q3 - 11:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
52.9%
48
47.1%
Q3 - 11:46INDMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
51.8%
48
48.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
49.2%
48
50.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound49
52.9%
48
47.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 44' 3PT Jump Shot49
50.4%
48
49.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDJack 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)49
52.3%
48
47.7%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
59.8%
45
40.2%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
59.1%
45
40.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0INDFord 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
55.7%
45
44.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAMoon 2' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)47
59.7%
43
40.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)45
55.7%
43
44.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
53.1%
43
46.9%
Q2 - 1:00MIAHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)45
53.9%
43
46.1%
Q2 - 1:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
55.5%
43
44.5%
Q2 - 1:10INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
54.7%
43
45.3%
Q2 - 1:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
53.1%
43
46.9%
Q2 - 1:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
52.4%
43
47.6%
Q2 - 1:28MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
48.9%
43
51.1%
Q2 - 1:29INDMISS Hibbert 3' Layup43
48.2%
43
51.8%
Q2 - 1:37INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
46.5%
43
53.5%
Q2 - 1:39MIAMISS Jones 23' Jump Shot43
47.2%
43
52.8%
Q2 - 1:56INDRush Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)43
48.9%
43
51.1%
Q2 - 2:17MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)43
52.3%
41
47.7%
Q2 - 2:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
49.2%
41
50.8%
Q2 - 2:29INDMISS Granger 1' Layup41
48.2%
41
51.8%
Q2 - 2:43INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
45.9%
41
54.1%
Q2 - 2:44MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot41
46.9%
41
53.1%
Q2 - 2:59INDGranger Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)41
49.2%
41
50.8%
Q2 - 3:03INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)41
52.0%
39
48.0%
Q2 - 3:04MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot41
53.1%
39
46.9%
Q2 - 3:13MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
55.6%
39
44.4%
Q2 - 3:14INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
54.5%
39
45.5%
Q2 - 3:29MIAHaslem 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)41
52.0%
39
48.0%
Q2 - 3:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
49.4%
39
50.6%
Q2 - 3:44MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot39
46.8%
39
53.2%
Q2 - 4:04INDFoster Foul Turnover (P1.T6)39
49.0%
39
51.0%
Q2 - 4:31INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
45.8%
39
54.2%
Q2 - 4:31MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 239
46.2%
39
53.8%
Q2 - 4:31MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
48.2%
39
51.8%
Q2 - 4:43INDFoster 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)38
46.0%
39
54.0%
Q2 - 4:45INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)38
48.8%
37
51.2%
Q2 - 4:46INDMISS Foster 1' Layup38
51.1%
37
48.9%
Q2 - 5:08INDPACERS Rebound38
49.1%
37
50.9%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot38
50.0%
37
50.0%
Q2 - 5:17INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)38
52.0%
37
48.0%
Q2 - 5:27INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
49.1%
37
50.9%
Q2 - 5:28MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot38
49.9%
37
50.1%
Q2 - 5:50INDGranger Foul Turnover (P2.T4)38
51.9%
37
48.1%
Q2 - 5:53INDBaston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
49.1%
37
50.9%
Q2 - 5:55INDMISS Jack 10' Jump Shot38
51.1%
37
48.9%
Q2 - 6:19MIABeasley 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)38
48.6%
37
51.4%
Q2 - 6:39MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
46.2%
37
53.8%
Q2 - 6:40INDMISS Granger 16' Jump Shot36
45.2%
37
54.8%
Q2 - 7:01MIAO'Neal 3' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)36
43.1%
37
56.9%
Q2 - 7:11MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
40.4%
37
59.6%
Q2 - 7:12INDMISS Foster 20' Jump Shot34
39.6%
37
60.4%
Q2 - 7:31INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)34
37.6%
37
62.4%
Q2 - 7:32MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot34
38.5%
37
61.5%
Q2 - 7:44MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
40.4%
37
59.6%
Q2 - 7:44INDMISS Baston Free Throw 2 of 234
40.1%
37
59.9%
Q2 - 7:44INDBaston Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
38.4%
37
61.6%
Q2 - 7:54INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)34
40.3%
36
59.7%
Q2 - 7:55MIAMISS Beasley 1' Layup34
41.2%
36
58.8%
Q2 - 8:10INDRush 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Baston 1 AST)34
43.2%
36
56.8%
Q2 - 8:20INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)34
45.9%
34
54.1%
Q2 - 8:22INDMISS Graham 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
47.8%
34
52.2%
Q2 - 8:49MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Head 2 AST)34
46.0%
34
54.0%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)32
43.2%
34
56.8%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot32
41.3%
34
58.7%
Q2 - 9:11INDFord 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)32
43.0%
34
57.0%
Q2 - 9:21MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)32
45.7%
32
54.3%
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 231
45.1%
32
54.9%
Q2 - 9:35INDFoster 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)31
45.7%
32
54.3%
Q2 - 9:37INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
48.3%
30
51.7%
Q2 - 9:38INDMISS Rush 13' Jump Shot31
50.2%
30
49.8%
Q2 - 9:51MIAHead 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
48.3%
30
51.7%
Q2 - 10:07INDFord 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
45.7%
30
54.3%
Q2 - 10:10INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
48.3%
28
51.7%
Q2 - 10:12MIAFoster BLOCK (1 BLK)29
49.1%
28
50.9%
Q2 - 10:14MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
51.0%
28
49.0%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Head 10' Jump Shot29
49.1%
28
50.9%
Q2 - 10:30MIAHeat Rebound29
51.0%
28
49.0%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot29
49.1%
28
50.9%
Q2 - 10:41INDGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
51.0%
28
49.0%
Q2 - 10:41INDMISS Graham Free Throw 1 of 229
51.4%
27
48.6%
Q2 - 10:50MIABeasley 3' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
50.9%
27
49.1%
Q2 - 11:11MIAHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
48.2%
27
51.8%
Q2 - 11:12INDMISS Ford 11' Jump Shot27
47.4%
27
52.6%
Q2 - 11:31MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Head 1 AST)27
45.6%
27
54.4%
Q2 - 11:34MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
40.7%
27
59.3%
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Head Layup24
38.9%
27
61.1%
Q2 - 11:48MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
40.7%
27
59.3%
Q2 - 11:49INDMISS McRoberts 1' Layup24
39.9%
27
60.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
38.2%
27
61.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
40.7%
27
59.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 45' 3PT Jump Shot24
38.9%
27
61.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0INDNesterovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
40.3%
27
59.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0INDMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 224
40.9%
26
59.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)24
40.9%
26
59.1%
Q1 - 0:42.0INDJack 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
38.0%
26
62.0%
Q1 - 1:10MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)22
41.2%
24
58.8%
Q1 - 1:17MIAHeat Rebound20
38.3%
24
61.7%
Q1 - 1:17MIANesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)20
37.2%
24
62.8%
Q1 - 1:29INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
38.2%
24
61.8%
Q1 - 1:44INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
36.7%
24
63.3%
Q1 - 1:45MIAMISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
37.2%
24
62.8%
Q1 - 2:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
38.7%
24
61.3%
Q1 - 2:02INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
38.1%
24
61.9%
Q1 - 2:09INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
36.9%
24
63.1%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot20
37.4%
24
62.6%
Q1 - 2:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
38.6%
24
61.4%
Q1 - 2:28INDMISS Jack 8' Jump Shot20
38.1%
24
61.9%
Q1 - 2:46MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)20
36.9%
24
63.1%
Q1 - 3:15INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)18
34.7%
24
65.3%
Q1 - 3:25INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
39.0%
21
61.0%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot18
39.6%
21
60.4%
Q1 - 3:49INDNesterovic Tip Shot (4 PTS)18
41.1%
21
58.9%
Q1 - 3:50INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
43.4%
19
56.6%
Q1 - 3:51INDMISS Jack 2' Layup18
44.9%
19
55.1%
Q1 - 3:59MIAFoster STEAL (1 STL)18
43.4%
19
56.6%
Q1 - 4:18INDNesterovic 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)18
45.5%
19
54.5%
Q1 - 4:27INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
47.6%
17
52.4%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot18
48.3%
17
51.7%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
49.9%
17
50.1%
Q1 - 4:41INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot18
49.2%
17
50.8%
Q1 - 5:00MIAO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)18
47.6%
17
52.4%
Q1 - 5:12MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
45.5%
17
54.5%
Q1 - 5:13INDMISS Rush 20' Jump Shot16
44.7%
17
55.3%
Q1 - 5:26MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)16
43.0%
17
57.0%
Q1 - 5:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
41.2%
17
58.8%
Q1 - 5:43INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot14
40.5%
17
59.5%
Q1 - 6:01MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
39.0%
17
61.0%
Q1 - 6:01MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
38.6%
17
61.4%
Q1 - 6:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
37.1%
17
62.9%
Q1 - 6:11INDMISS Hibbert 2' Layup12
36.4%
17
63.6%
Q1 - 6:20INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
35.0%
17
65.0%
Q1 - 6:21MIAMISS Moon 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
35.6%
17
64.4%
Q1 - 6:37INDJack 11' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rush 2 AST)12
37.1%
17
62.9%
Q1 - 6:55MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
39.0%
15
61.0%
Q1 - 7:16INDJack Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
37.1%
15
62.9%
Q1 - 7:23INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
34.9%
15
65.1%
Q1 - 7:24MIAMISS Wade Layup10
35.6%
15
64.4%
Q1 - 7:29INDRush Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)10
37.1%
15
62.9%
Q1 - 7:34MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)10
34.9%
15
65.1%
Q1 - 7:43INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)8
33.2%
15
66.8%
Q1 - 7:43INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)8
33.4%
14
66.6%
Q1 - 8:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
35.1%
13
64.9%
Q1 - 8:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
34.7%
13
65.3%
Q1 - 8:18INDJack 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)6
33.1%
13
66.9%
Q1 - 8:24MIAGranger STEAL (1 STL)6
35.1%
11
64.9%
Q1 - 8:42INDHibbert 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)6
37.0%
11
63.0%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMoon 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)6
39.0%
9
61.0%
Q1 - 9:16INDRush 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)4
37.6%
9
62.4%
Q1 - 9:39MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
41.6%
6
58.4%
Q1 - 9:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.5%
6
60.5%
Q1 - 9:48INDMISS Jack 11' Jump Shot2
39.0%
6
61.0%
Q1 - 9:56INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
37.7%
6
62.3%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot2
38.3%
6
61.7%
Q1 - 10:15INDGranger 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)2
40.1%
6
59.9%
Q1 - 10:27INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
42.4%
4
57.6%
Q1 - 10:48INDGranger 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)2
43.7%
4
56.3%
Q1 - 10:52INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
45.4%
2
54.6%
Q1 - 10:53INDMISS Rush 15' Jump Shot2
46.8%
2
53.2%
Q1 - 11:08INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
45.3%
2
54.7%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot2
45.8%
2
54.2%
Q1 - 11:30INDHibbert 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
47.0%
2
53.0%
Q1 - 11:31INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
48.6%
0
51.4%
Q1 - 11:32INDMISS Granger Layup2
49.8%
0
50.2%
Q1 - 11:38MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
48.6%
0
51.4%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Foster vs. O'Neal: Tip to Chalmers0
47.0%
0
53.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.6%
IND
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
5
18
28%
IND
15
29
52%
Midrange
MIA
23
48
48%
IND
15
31
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
17
18%
26%
IND
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
Free Throws
MIA
23
29
79%
IND
15
20
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2135%10.5 / 30
U. Haslem1875%9.0 / 12
J. O'Neal1343%6.5 / 15
M. Beasley1045%5.0 / 11
M. Chalmers750%3.5 / 7
J. Jones758%3.5 / 6
L. Head750%3.5 / 7
J. Moon536%2.5 / 7
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 1
D. Cook0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger2861%14.0 / 23
T. Ford2063%10.0 / 16
J. Jack1341%6.5 / 16
B. Rush1146%5.5 / 12
R. Hibbert638%3.0 / 8
J. Foster536%2.5 / 7
R. Nesterovic583%2.5 / 3
M. Baston150%0.5 / 1
S. Graham125%0.5 / 2
J. McRoberts0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+15
-7
100
IND
79
+10
-12
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.6%
IND
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
108.1
MIA 95.7
IND 98.9 +3.2
Pace
90.2
96.5
MIA 95.7 +8.1
IND 87.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.5
MIA 15.0 +1.4
IND 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.1%
MIA 39.2%
IND 47.5% +8.3%
TO %
13.1%
14.4%
MIA 6.8% +5.2%
IND 12.0%
ORB %
24.6%
25.5%
MIA 18.4%
IND 22.2% +3.8%
FTrt
28.2
26.7
MIA 34.9 +9.6
IND 25.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
55.1%
MIA 77.4% +43.1%
IND 34.3%
STL %
8.7%
7.2%
MIA 6.5% +2.1%
IND 4.4%
BLK %
9.2%
8.1%
MIA 8.3%
IND 15.2% +6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
53.2%
MIA 43.6%
IND 50.6% +7.0%
Rim FG%
59.5%
56.5%
MIA 27.8%
IND 51.7% +23.9%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.6%
MIA 47.9%
IND 48.4% +0.5%
3P %
35.7%
37.8%
MIA 17.6%
IND 26.3% +8.7%
FT %
75.4%
80.7%
MIA 79.3% +4.3%
IND 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
35.1%
MIA 21.7%
IND 36.7% +15.0%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
40.6%
MIA 57.8%
IND 39.2% +18.6%
3P Att. %
24.5%
24.4%
MIA 20.5%
IND 24.1% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points8890
Rebounds4450
Assists2412
Steals64
Blocks510
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (6)10 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)40 (1)
Field Goals31-8335-79
At-the-Rim FG5-1815-29
Midrange FG23-4815-31
2-Point FG28-6630-60
3-Point FG3-175-19
Free Throws23-2915-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
38.5
21
35%
4
8
4
0
2
1
0
4
10-12
83%
4-18
22%
1-6
17%
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
37.0
7
50%
6
7
2
1
1
1
2
4
7-8
88%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
36.8
18
75%
14
1
0
0
1
1
2
12
0-0
-
9-12
75%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
31.1
13
43%
2
0
0
3
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 205 · 29
27.9
5
36%
4
1
0
0
2
3
0
4
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
20.1
10
45%
8
1
0
0
1
2
1
7
2-4
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
18.6
7
58%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 185 · 26
15.9
7
50%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
7.8
0
0%
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
#15 · C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · C · 6'9" 245 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
44%
44
24
6
5
7
0
9
35
23-29
79%
28-66
42%
3-17
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.