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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bucks42%96106
20Raptors58%99115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.0
31.3
24.2
18
65%
1
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
8-13
4-9
62%
47%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
29.3
29.5
6
33%
8
1
0
1
1
1
5
3
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.8
28.8
33.3
22
57%
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
2-3
67%
10-16
5-11
63%
48%
0-2
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.6
26.6
32.4
8
36%
4
3
1
1
1
3
3
1
0-0
-
4-9
6-13
44%
50%
0-2
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.1
25.8
20.2
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.0
33.8
16.0
20
63%
6
7
2
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
46%
4-9
44%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.9
19.5
22.9
9
75%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
3-5
60%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.2
18.4
7.8
8
68%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.6
13.0
3.9
12
75%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
4-7
57%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
9.0
14.5
3
39%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.7
4.5
9.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.1
24.6
1
3-6
45%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.0
40.4
34.7
18
73%
15
5
2
1
2
1
4
11
8-10
80%
5-7
8-16
71%
51%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.9
39.1
30.0
17
57%
9
1
2
1
1
2
1
8
7-9
78%
5-11
5-10
45%
54%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.8
37.8
32.8
18
72%
7
1
0
1
0
2
1
6
7-8
88%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
3-5
60%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
37.5
31.0
19
74%
1
11
1
1
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
55%
3-5
60%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.4
33.3
21.0
23
59%
2
2
0
0
2
3
1
1
6-6
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
3-8
38%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.1
22.7
20.4
14
84%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
3-4
75%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.4
11.2
10.0
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.3
10.5
15.0
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
7.0
20.8
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.5
0.6
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.8
4.4
0
1-1
52%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.9
2.9
0
0-1
44%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.