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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets46%94101
10Hornets54%9588
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.5
41.1
34.6
26
81%
6
6
1
1
0
1
1
5
7-7
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
5-7
71%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.2
41.1
26.7
6
23%
7
1
1
1
1
0
4
3
0-0
-
3-11
4-8
27%
50%
0-2
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.8
36.3
34.5
29
53%
5
3
2
1
0
3
1
4
8-8
100%
9-20
7-15
45%
48%
1-4
25%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.2
16.6
9.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 23.2
14.9
3.1
5
73%
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
1-1
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
28.6
22.3
9
67%
9
1
2
0
2
0
3
6
3-4
75%
3-4
3-5
75%
54%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
23.3
30.9
16
62%
0
1
2
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
50%
2-6
33%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.8
21.3
18.4
2
20%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
48%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.7
10.3
18.3
2
114%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
3-5
-
54%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.2
6.4
14.3
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
0-2
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.5
25.7
1
4-7
57%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.9
2.2
0
0-1
38%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.6
42.0
38.3
18
42%
8
2
0
1
0
2
2
6
6-6
100%
6-19
8-16
32%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.9
39.5
38.2
19
62%
6
13
2
3
0
6
1
5
9-10
90%
5-10
8-16
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
30.3
38.0
10
71%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.3
24.4
15.9
10
63%
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-2
0%
5-7
2-4
71%
53%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.8
23.7
22.3
9
43%
5
0
0
1
2
0
1
4
1-1
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
54%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.2
30.8
27.3
5
40%
1
0
0
1
1
3
0
1
5-5
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-3
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.6
22.0
13.1
6
75%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
2-3
67%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.6
14.2
14.6
4
53%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
2-4
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 34.0
8.4
8.1
5
87%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.3
4.6
8.8
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.9
4.1
0
1-1
45%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
3.0
0
0-1
44%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.8
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.