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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Warriors25%101106
9Mavericks75%109128
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
36.6
34.1
11
46%
3
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.4
33.1
35.7
22
51%
4
5
5
1
0
4
0
4
6-6
100%
8-19
8-15
42%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.7
31.2
17.7
10
47%
6
1
2
1
0
1
1
5
2-6
33%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.0
28.2
35.5
12
60%
3
5
0
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
5-11
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.2
19.1
26.1
4
52%
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
36.0
20.1
29
103%
2
1
0
1
0
3
1
1
6-7
86%
7-7
2-5
100%
46%
3-4
75%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
29.9
12.2
10
54%
0
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
19.1
21.8
8
43%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
3-8
4-8
38%
52%
0-0
-
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 24.1
6.7
5.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.4
23.6
1
4-8
48%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.0
14.2
0
1-3
44%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
8.7
0
1-2
46%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.0
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.8
32.6
37.5
26
81%
5
5
0
1
0
2
1
4
9-9
100%
7-10
10-19
70%
52%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
32.1
34.5
26
74%
1
3
2
1
1
2
0
1
5-6
83%
9-13
5-9
69%
54%
1-2
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.0
31.1
35.6
3
38%
6
7
0
2
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.1
29.2
33.0
13
59%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
52%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.7
23.1
12.1
8
103%
10
0
0
0
1
1
0
10
2-2
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
63%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.7
28.7
22.3
20
68%
3
7
4
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
8-11
3-6
73%
49%
0-2
0%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.7
23.2
24.3
8
55%
6
2
1
1
0
2
2
4
2-3
67%
3-5
3-5
60%
59%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.2
18.8
2.9
14
64%
5
1
3
0
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
6-9
0-1
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.9
13.1
18.1
10
65%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
4-6
67%
3-5
3-6
60%
53%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
4.0
13.8
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
57%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.6
4.0
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.9
18.9
1
4-7
51%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.4
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.