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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 26, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat39%9587
17Bulls61%99106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.2
38.5
35.5
31
63%
5
4
1
2
1
1
4
1
6-8
75%
11-18
9-17
61%
51%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
36.0
31.8
13
66%
6
2
0
1
1
5
2
4
1-2
50%
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.9
35.4
32.8
10
60%
4
5
3
2
1
2
0
4
3-3
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.8
30.3
27.3
4
40%
4
0
2
1
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
52%
0-3
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.5
23.2
30.4
12
51%
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
1
2-4
50%
5-10
5-12
50%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.2
24.9
21.9
10
43%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.3
21.3
16.7
7
58%
4
5
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.8
10.4
14.2
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.9
9.5
12.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.5
8.0
15.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
1.3
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.5
1.3
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.3
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.3
43.0
39.1
27
59%
2
5
2
1
1
3
0
2
1-2
50%
10-18
5-9
56%
51%
2-4
50%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
37.9
32.8
15
61%
12
0
1
1
3
2
5
7
3-3
100%
6-11
5-11
55%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.2
35.5
31.4
15
69%
2
3
1
1
1
4
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
4-7
57%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
35.4
27.5
10
73%
7
4
0
1
0
1
4
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
54%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.0
32.6
36.4
18
57%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
4-10
5-11
40%
49%
2-4
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.5
30.3
25.7
9
57%
5
7
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
4-7
5-10
57%
50%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.0
22.7
25.5
12
65%
7
4
0
1
0
4
4
3
4-5
80%
4-7
3-7
57%
50%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.3
1.3
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.8
1.3
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.1
10.0
0
1-2
47%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.3
2.6
0
0-1
53%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.1
2.1
0
0-0
48%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.