for complete access.
All Games Thursday, March 26, 2009
FinalWin Prob.pScore
14
Heat
39%95
87
17
Bulls
61%99
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.68488.1
CHI logo CHI
127.78379.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI87
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)87
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0CHIMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot87
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0CHIHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot87
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:51.0CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31CHIMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31CHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44CHINoah REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55MIAHead REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIASalmons BLOCK (1 BLK)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIAHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02CHIMISS Gordon 12' Jump Shot87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Head 5 AST)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29CHIMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44CHISalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10CHIMiller 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rose 7 AST)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32MIAHead Layup (7 PTS)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39CHIMISS Salmons Layup83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20CHINoah Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Head 4 AST)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05CHIGordon 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Rose 6 AST)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Head 9' Jump Shot77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43CHIGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Salmons 5 AST)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 5:59MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot77
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 6:08CHINoah 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T15)77
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 6:28MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Head 3 AST)77
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 6:50CHISalmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)75
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 7:15MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Head 2 AST)75
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 7:24MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 7:26CHIMISS Rose Layup73
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 7:41MIAChalmers Layup (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)73
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 7:45CHIMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)71
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 8:03MIAHead 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)71
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 8:14CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 8:14CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 8:15MIAGordon STEAL (1 STL)68
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 8:16CHIGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)68
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 8:25CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 8:27MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot68
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 8:57CHIMiller 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)68
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 9:15CHINoah Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 9:15CHINoah Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 9:27CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 9:29MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot68
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 9:47CHIGordon 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rose 5 AST)68
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 9:56MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q4 - 9:56MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)67
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q4 - 10:11CHIRose 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)66
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q4 - 10:31CHIBULLS Rebound66
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 10:44CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q4 - 10:44CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)66
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q4 - 10:51CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)66
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 266
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 10:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)66
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q4 - 11:01MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q4 - 11:02CHIMISS Hinrich 3PT Jump Shot65
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q4 - 11:22MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (30 PTS)65
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q4 - 11:35CHIMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)63
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q4 - 11:49MIAMagloire Foul Turnover (P1.T13)63
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA63
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 0:23.0CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)63
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot63
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q3 - 0:39.0CHIMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0CHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIASalmons STEAL (2 STL)63
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q3 - 1:11CHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)63
5.1%
77
94.9%
Q3 - 1:16CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)63
7.4%
74
92.6%
Q3 - 1:18CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)63
7.4%
74
92.6%
Q3 - 1:18CHIMISS Miller Tip Shot63
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q3 - 1:20CHIMISS Salmons 20' Jump Shot63
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q3 - 1:36CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
7.4%
74
92.6%
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS Moon 3PT Jump Shot63
7.8%
74
92.2%
Q3 - 1:55CHISalmons Layup (24 PTS)63
8.7%
74
91.3%
Q3 - 2:11MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T11)63
11.2%
72
88.8%
Q3 - 2:26CHIHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Salmons 4 AST)63
13.2%
72
86.8%
Q3 - 2:40CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)63
18.1%
69
81.9%
Q3 - 2:41MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
19.0%
69
81.0%
Q3 - 3:03CHISalmons Layup (22 PTS)63
21.7%
69
78.3%
Q3 - 3:25CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)63
24.6%
67
75.4%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot63
25.7%
67
74.3%
Q3 - 3:46CHISalmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)63
28.3%
67
71.7%
Q3 - 4:03MIAWade Driving Layup (28 PTS)63
35.7%
64
64.3%
Q3 - 4:09MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
32.4%
64
67.6%
Q3 - 4:11CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
31.1%
64
68.9%
Q3 - 4:18MIAChalmers Layup (4 PTS)61
28.1%
64
71.9%
Q3 - 4:21CHIMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)59
25.3%
64
74.7%
Q3 - 4:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)59
21.6%
64
78.4%
Q3 - 4:55CHIRose 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)56
16.7%
64
83.3%
Q3 - 5:00CHIBULLS Rebound56
18.8%
62
81.2%
Q3 - 5:00CHIMISS Thomas Layup56
21.1%
62
78.9%
Q3 - 5:20MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)56
19.3%
62
80.7%
Q3 - 5:22MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
22.3%
62
77.7%
Q3 - 5:24CHIMISS Salmons Layup56
21.4%
62
78.6%
Q3 - 5:34CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)56
19.2%
62
80.8%
Q3 - 5:35MIAMISS Chalmers 23' Jump Shot56
20.1%
62
79.9%
Q3 - 5:49CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
22.3%
62
77.7%
Q3 - 5:49CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 256
22.8%
61
77.2%
Q3 - 5:56MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)56
22.0%
61
78.0%
Q3 - 6:16CHISalmons Layup (17 PTS)56
25.6%
61
74.4%
Q3 - 6:36CHIBULLS Rebound56
28.5%
59
71.5%
Q3 - 6:36MIAThomas BLOCK (3 BLK)56
29.6%
59
70.4%
Q3 - 7:01CHINoah Slam Dunk (6 PTS)56
32.0%
59
68.0%
Q3 - 7:22MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)56
35.4%
57
64.6%
Q3 - 7:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
32.1%
57
67.9%
Q3 - 7:25MIAThomas BLOCK (2 BLK)54
29.7%
57
70.3%
Q3 - 7:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
32.1%
57
67.9%
Q3 - 7:34CHIMISS Gordon Layup54
31.0%
57
69.0%
Q3 - 7:45MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
28.7%
57
71.3%
Q3 - 7:45MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 253
28.0%
57
72.0%
Q3 - 7:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
28.8%
57
71.2%
Q3 - 7:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)53
28.8%
57
71.2%
Q3 - 7:45MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot53
26.6%
57
73.4%
Q3 - 7:48MIAMISS Moon 3PT Jump Shot53
26.6%
57
73.4%
Q3 - 8:05CHIThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)53
28.9%
57
71.1%
Q3 - 8:20CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)53
25.7%
57
74.3%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 253
26.1%
57
73.9%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 253
28.1%
57
71.9%
Q3 - 8:40CHIThomas 9' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)53
28.9%
57
71.1%
Q3 - 9:00CHISalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
31.8%
55
68.2%
Q3 - 9:02MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot53
33.0%
55
67.0%
Q3 - 9:13CHIThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
35.4%
55
64.6%
Q3 - 9:13CHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
36.1%
54
63.9%
Q3 - 9:13MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)53
38.7%
53
61.3%
Q3 - 9:17CHISalmons Driving Layup (15 PTS)53
42.4%
53
57.6%
Q3 - 9:35MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
45.9%
51
54.1%
Q3 - 9:35MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
45.2%
51
54.8%
Q3 - 9:58CHISalmons 11' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Noah 4 AST)51
42.4%
51
57.6%
Q3 - 10:03CHINoah REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)51
45.5%
49
54.5%
Q3 - 10:05CHIMISS Thomas Layup51
48.0%
49
52.0%
Q3 - 10:24CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)51
45.5%
49
54.5%
Q3 - 10:26MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot51
46.6%
49
53.4%
Q3 - 10:34CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)51
49.1%
49
50.9%
Q3 - 10:51MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)51
45.5%
49
54.5%
Q3 - 11:05CHISalmons Foul Turnover (P3.T8)49
41.9%
49
58.1%
Q3 - 11:14CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)49
38.4%
49
61.6%
Q3 - 11:15CHIMISS Gordon 16' Jump Shot49
40.8%
49
59.2%
Q3 - 11:30CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
38.4%
49
61.6%
Q3 - 11:31MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot49
39.5%
49
60.5%
Q3 - 11:50CHIGordon 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Noah 3 AST)49
41.9%
49
58.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI49
45.1%
47
54.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)49
45.1%
47
54.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
46.2%
47
53.8%
Q2 - 0:15.0CHISalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)49
48.0%
47
52.0%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAWade Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)49
45.4%
47
54.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMoon Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)48
42.1%
47
57.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0CHIHinrich Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)46
38.2%
47
61.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS)46
35.7%
47
64.3%
Q2 - 1:08CHIRose 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
32.1%
47
67.9%
Q2 - 1:29MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)44
35.8%
45
64.2%
Q2 - 1:30MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
38.0%
45
62.0%
Q2 - 1:31MIAMISS Chalmers 13' Jump Shot44
36.5%
45
63.5%
Q2 - 1:55CHISalmons 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)44
38.0%
45
62.0%
Q2 - 2:14MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)44
41.2%
43
58.8%
Q2 - 2:28MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
44.4%
43
55.6%
Q2 - 2:29CHIMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot44
43.4%
43
56.6%
Q2 - 2:50MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)44
41.3%
43
58.7%
Q2 - 3:22CHIThomas 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)41
35.4%
43
64.6%
Q2 - 3:41MIAMoon 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)41
37.8%
41
62.2%
Q2 - 3:57CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
35.4%
41
64.6%
Q2 - 3:57CHIMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 239
35.9%
40
64.1%
Q2 - 4:25MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)39
34.9%
40
65.1%
Q2 - 4:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
32.4%
40
67.6%
Q2 - 4:37CHIMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot37
31.5%
40
68.5%
Q2 - 4:42CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
29.6%
40
70.4%
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot37
30.4%
40
69.6%
Q2 - 5:05CHIHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Noah 2 AST)37
32.5%
40
67.5%
Q2 - 5:09CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
38.0%
37
62.0%
Q2 - 5:11CHIMISS Noah Layup37
39.9%
37
60.1%
Q2 - 5:13CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)37
38.0%
37
62.0%
Q2 - 5:15CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
39.9%
37
60.1%
Q2 - 5:41MIAWade Dunk (15 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)37
38.0%
37
62.0%
Q2 - 5:46CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)35
35.1%
37
64.9%
Q2 - 6:01CHIBULLS Rebound35
32.3%
37
67.7%
Q2 - 6:01CHIMISS Salmons Layup35
34.4%
37
65.6%
Q2 - 6:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)35
32.3%
37
67.7%
Q2 - 6:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)34
31.9%
37
68.1%
Q2 - 6:35CHIRose 18' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST)33
30.3%
37
69.7%
Q2 - 6:59MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
32.4%
35
67.6%
Q2 - 7:16CHIGordon 12' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
35.1%
35
64.9%
Q2 - 7:52CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
37.6%
33
62.4%
Q2 - 7:53MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot33
38.5%
33
61.5%
Q2 - 8:14CHIGordon Foul Turnover (P1.T4)33
40.1%
33
59.9%
Q2 - 8:22MIABeasley 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
37.6%
33
62.4%
Q2 - 8:45CHISalmons Dunk (9 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)31
35.0%
33
65.0%
Q2 - 8:49MIASalmons STEAL (1 STL)31
37.6%
31
62.4%
Q2 - 9:04CHISalmons Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)31
39.8%
31
60.2%
Q2 - 9:09CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
37.3%
31
62.7%
Q2 - 9:12CHIMISS Salmons 10' Jump Shot31
39.0%
31
61.0%
Q2 - 9:39MIABeasley Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Head 1 AST)31
37.3%
31
62.7%
Q2 - 9:57CHIThomas Layup (6 PTS)29
34.8%
31
65.2%
Q2 - 9:59CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)29
37.3%
29
62.7%
Q2 - 10:00CHIMISS Thomas Layup29
39.1%
29
60.9%
Q2 - 10:23MIAHead 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
37.3%
29
62.7%
Q2 - 10:29MIAHeat Rebound27
34.9%
29
65.1%
Q2 - 10:30MIAThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)27
33.2%
29
66.8%
Q2 - 10:44CHISalmons Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)27
34.9%
29
65.1%
Q2 - 10:50CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
39.7%
26
60.3%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Head Layup27
40.5%
26
59.5%
Q2 - 11:16MIAHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
42.2%
26
57.8%
Q2 - 11:17CHIMISS Salmons 16' Jump Shot27
41.4%
26
58.6%
Q2 - 11:33MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
39.7%
26
60.3%
Q2 - 11:33MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
39.2%
26
60.8%
Q2 - 11:47CHIMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)25
37.3%
26
62.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI25
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWade Layup (11 PTS)25
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0CHIThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)23
32.3%
26
67.7%
Q1 - 0:24.0CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
30.7%
26
69.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0CHIMISS Hinrich 17' Jump Shot23
31.8%
26
68.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
30.7%
26
69.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot23
31.2%
26
68.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
32.3%
26
67.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
30.7%
26
69.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0CHIMISS Thomas Tip Shot23
31.8%
26
68.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0CHIMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot23
31.8%
26
68.2%
Q1 - 1:02CHIBULLS Rebound23
31.0%
26
69.0%
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot23
31.4%
26
68.6%
Q1 - 1:11MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
32.4%
26
67.6%
Q1 - 1:14CHIMISS Salmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
32.0%
26
68.0%
Q1 - 1:37MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)23
31.0%
26
69.0%
Q1 - 2:00CHIHinrich 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)23
32.4%
26
67.6%
Q1 - 2:16CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
37.2%
23
62.8%
Q1 - 2:17CHIMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot23
38.5%
23
61.5%
Q1 - 2:27CHIBULLS Rebound23
37.2%
23
62.8%
Q1 - 2:27CHIMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot23
38.5%
23
61.5%
Q1 - 2:37MIAWade Putback Layup (9 PTS)23
37.2%
23
62.8%
Q1 - 2:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)21
34.7%
23
65.3%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot21
33.6%
23
66.4%
Q1 - 3:04CHIThomas Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)21
34.9%
23
65.1%
Q1 - 3:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
37.0%
21
63.0%
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 220
36.6%
21
63.4%
Q1 - 3:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
37.0%
21
63.0%
Q1 - 3:18MIAHinrich BLOCK (1 BLK)20
35.5%
21
64.5%
Q1 - 3:32CHIMiller Layup (4 PTS)20
37.0%
21
63.0%
Q1 - 3:33CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
39.2%
19
60.8%
Q1 - 3:34CHIMISS Miller Layup20
40.7%
19
59.3%
Q1 - 3:43CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
39.2%
19
60.8%
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS Moon 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
39.8%
19
60.2%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
41.0%
19
59.0%
Q1 - 4:07CHIMISS Salmons Free Throw 1 of 120
40.7%
19
59.3%
Q1 - 4:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
43.0%
17
57.0%
Q1 - 4:21MIAWade Putback Layup (6 PTS)20
43.0%
17
57.0%
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Wade Layup18
39.4%
17
60.6%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
41.0%
17
59.0%
Q1 - 4:39CHIMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 118
40.7%
17
59.3%
Q1 - 5:01MIAO'Neal 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
42.7%
15
57.3%
Q1 - 5:15CHINoah Layup (4 PTS)16
40.9%
15
59.1%
Q1 - 5:16CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
42.7%
13
57.3%
Q1 - 5:17CHIMISS Hinrich 3PT Jump Shot16
44.4%
13
55.6%
Q1 - 5:30MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
42.7%
13
57.3%
Q1 - 5:39CHIJump Ball Gordon vs. Wade: Tip to Moon14
40.9%
13
59.1%
Q1 - 5:39CHIMISS Gordon 8' Jump Shot14
40.2%
13
59.8%
Q1 - 5:50MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)14
38.6%
13
61.4%
Q1 - 6:05CHISalmons 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
40.5%
13
59.5%
Q1 - 6:28MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
42.5%
11
57.5%
Q1 - 6:28MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
42.1%
11
57.9%
Q1 - 6:45CHINoah Layup (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)12
40.5%
11
59.5%
Q1 - 7:01MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)12
42.2%
9
57.8%
Q1 - 7:16CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)10
40.4%
9
59.6%
Q1 - 7:28MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
44.3%
6
55.7%
Q1 - 7:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
42.4%
6
57.6%
Q1 - 7:44CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
41.8%
6
58.2%
Q1 - 7:50CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
40.2%
6
59.8%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot8
40.9%
6
59.1%
Q1 - 7:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
42.4%
6
57.6%
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot8
40.9%
6
59.1%
Q1 - 8:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
42.1%
6
57.9%
Q1 - 8:11CHIMISS Gordon 22' Jump Shot8
41.5%
6
58.5%
Q1 - 8:24MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)8
40.1%
6
59.9%
Q1 - 8:40CHIThomas 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)8
42.2%
6
57.8%
Q1 - 8:53CHIBULLS Rebound8
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 8:53CHIMISS Salmons 10' Jump Shot8
45.7%
4
54.3%
Q1 - 9:16MIAO'Neal 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)8
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 9:32CHIHinrich 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
41.9%
4
58.1%
Q1 - 9:40MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
44.1%
2
55.9%
Q1 - 9:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
41.9%
2
58.1%
Q1 - 9:53CHIMISS Noah Layup4
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 10:12CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 10:13MIAMISS Wade 23' Jump Shot4
40.2%
2
59.8%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 10:35CHIMISS Salmons Running Layup4
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 10:57MIAO'Neal 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 11:16CHIGordon Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Noah 1 AST)2
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 11:34MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS)2
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 11:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 11:38MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot0
36.5%
0
63.5%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Noah vs. O'Neal: Tip to Haslem0
37.6%
0
62.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.2%
CHI
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
23
70%
CHI
17
31
55%
Midrange
MIA
15
37
41%
CHI
16
32
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
CHI
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
Free Throws
MIA
16
21
76%
CHI
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3165%15.5 / 24
U. Haslem1365%6.5 / 10
J. O'Neal1250%6.0 / 12
M. Chalmers1063%5.0 / 8
M. Beasley1042%5.0 / 12
L. Head758%3.5 / 6
J. Moon440%2.0 / 5
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 1
D. Cook0-0.0 / 3
J. Jones0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Salmons2761%13.5 / 22
B. Gordon1856%9.0 / 16
T. Thomas1563%7.5 / 12
K. Hinrich1568%7.5 / 11
B. Miller1267%6.0 / 9
J. Noah1083%5.0 / 6
D. Rose956%4.5 / 8
L. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+13
-13
84
CHI
67
+18
-16
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.2%
CHI
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
108.4
MIA 103.6
CHI 127.7 +24.1
Pace
90.2
93.2
MIA 88.1 +8.8
CHI 79.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.1
MIA 16.3 +1.8
CHI 18.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
49.3%
MIA 48.0%
CHI 57.7% +9.7%
TO %
13.1%
14.7%
MIA 14.4% +1.2%
CHI 15.6%
ORB %
24.6%
28.0%
MIA 31.6%
CHI 41.2% +9.6%
FTrt
28.2
30.0
MIA 28.4 +2.8
CHI 25.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
55.4%
MIA 52.9%
CHI 58.5% +5.6%
STL %
8.7%
7.9%
MIA 11.9% +5.9%
CHI 6.0%
BLK %
9.2%
8.3%
MIA 9.5% +1.2%
CHI 8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
52.6%
MIA 51.2%
CHI 60.2% +9.0%
Rim FG%
59.5%
56.2%
MIA 69.6% +14.8%
CHI 54.8%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.7%
MIA 40.5%
CHI 50.0% +9.5%
3P %
35.7%
38.1%
MIA 21.4%
CHI 53.3% +31.9%
FT %
75.4%
79.6%
MIA 76.2%
CHI 80.0% +3.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
35.0%
MIA 31.1%
CHI 39.7% +8.7%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
46.2%
MIA 50.0%
CHI 41.0% +9.0%
3P Att. %
24.5%
18.9%
MIA 18.9%
CHI 19.2% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions8483
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points87106
Rebounds3240
Assists1824
Steals105
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)20 (1)26 (3)
Field Goals34-7441-78
At-the-Rim FG16-2317-31
Midrange FG15-3716-32
2-Point FG31-6033-63
3-Point FG3-148-15
Free Throws16-2116-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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14 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
38.5
31
65%
5
4
1
1
1
3
4
1
6-8
75%
11-18
61%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
36.0
13
65%
6
2
0
1
5
4
2
4
1-2
50%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
35.4
10
63%
4
5
3
1
2
0
0
4
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 29
30.3
4
40%
4
0
2
2
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
23.2
12
50%
3
1
1
1
2
2
2
1
2-4
50%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
24.9
10
42%
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
1
4-4
100%
3-9
33%
0-1
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26
21.3
7
58%
4
5
1
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
10.4
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
9.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Joel Anthony
#50 · C · 6'9" 245 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Mark Blount
#15 · C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
51%
32
18
10
6
13
0
12
20
16-21
76%
31-60
52%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.