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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pacers38%100106
17Bulls62%104112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.2
41.4
30.8
7
39%
18
2
1
1
1
1
7
11
1-2
50%
3-8
3-5
38%
52%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.9
41.1
33.5
32
58%
4
2
3
1
0
1
0
4
8-8
100%
6-15
5-12
40%
47%
4-9
44%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
40.8
34.5
10
36%
2
9
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-12
5-10
42%
49%
0-2
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
39.2
34.2
29
75%
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
4
1-1
100%
11-15
3-6
73%
44%
2-4
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.3
19.9
15.4
6
30%
7
2
1
0
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-10
3-6
30%
51%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.0
33.5
28.2
14
54%
7
6
0
1
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
5-11
5-11
45%
47%
1-1
100%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.8
17.1
13.5
6
60%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
4.7
10.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.8
2.4
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
57%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.9
18.0
0
1-3
49%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.1
8.4
0
0-1
45%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.1
6.5
0
1-2
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.5
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.2
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.0
41.5
34.4
25
66%
5
5
3
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
9-15
5-10
60%
49%
2-3
67%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.3
39.8
39.3
22
69%
2
0
1
1
1
5
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
51%
4-7
57%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.5
33.3
27.4
16
41%
9
8
0
1
0
2
1
8
2-3
67%
7-18
5-10
39%
50%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
33.1
29.9
8
75%
7
2
1
1
2
1
2
5
2-3
67%
3-4
3-6
75%
54%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
32.0
33.9
18
71%
8
1
0
1
7
0
2
6
4-6
67%
7-10
5-11
70%
47%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.0
30.9
24.2
17
62%
6
3
3
1
1
0
0
6
5-6
83%
6-10
3-7
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.2
23.5
32.2
6
36%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
47%
1-3
33%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.1
6.0
7.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.3
3.0
0
0-0
40%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.8
2.8
0
0-1
48%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.3
2.6
0
0-1
53%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.1
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.