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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Pistons55%9598
25Wizards45%9396
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.1
38.1
11.9
31
48%
4
3
0
0
0
3
0
4
4-7
57%
6-20
2-5
30%
50%
5-9
56%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.6
37.1
35.8
8
50%
11
3
2
1
2
2
1
10
0-0
-
4-8
6-12
50%
53%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.1
34.8
35.4
19
73%
1
3
1
1
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
5-10
6-12
50%
49%
3-3
100%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.9
31.0
29.7
13
60%
5
6
0
1
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
5-9
5-11
56%
47%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.1
25.7
26.7
0
0%
11
1
1
1
1
2
3
8
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.1
25.6
21.5
10
73%
7
2
0
0
2
1
5
2
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
58%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.2
17.0
29.3
9
51%
1
4
1
1
0
5
0
1
3-4
75%
3-7
6-12
43%
49%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
13.7
16.9
6
75%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
52%
2-2
100%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
9.9
27.2
2
35%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.9
7.1
6.5
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
59%
0-0
-
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.8
23.9
1
5-10
48%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.5
7.9
0
1-2
49%
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
42.5
35.3
21
70%
5
0
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
6-10
7-14
60%
49%
3-5
60%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
39.8
35.4
9
48%
8
2
3
1
2
1
3
5
1-1
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
45%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.0
35.0
10.1
11
36%
10
2
2
0
0
2
1
9
3-5
60%
4-11
2-4
36%
49%
0-2
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.6
33.6
31.1
15
51%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
6-13
5-11
46%
49%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.2
29.4
27.7
15
48%
3
10
0
1
0
1
1
2
7-8
88%
1-7
3-7
14%
45%
2-5
40%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.8
23.7
26.4
13
71%
2
3
2
1
1
1
0
2
5-5
100%
4-5
4-8
80%
48%
0-2
0%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.2
18.6
26.4
4
29%
5
7
2
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
48%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.2
17.4
18.2
8
93%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
2-3
67%
3-3
3-6
100%
50%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.1
13.0
0
2-4
51%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.3
10.1
0
1-2
49%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.3
9.1
0
1-2
52%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.5
7.0
0
1-2
45%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.8
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.0
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.