FinalWin Prob.pScore
2427%91
85
1273%99
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
89.59593.2
MIA logo MIA
106.39697.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA85
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAHEAT Rebound85
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0MILMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot85
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MILMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIABeasley 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17MILAlexander 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)83
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49MILMbah a Moute Driving Layup (6 PTS)83
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54MIAQuinn Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16MILAlexander Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26MILBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MILMISS Elson 13' Jump Shot81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05MIAO'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26MILAlexander 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46MIAWade Dunk (27 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51MILMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 3:59MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 4:08MILWade STEAL (3 STL)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)79
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 4:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)79
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 4:23MILWade STEAL (2 STL)79
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 4:37MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)79
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 4:58MILAlexander 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sessions 8 AST)79
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 5:06MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 5:07MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot77
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 5:24MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 5:25MILMISS Sessions 5' Jump Shot77
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 5:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)77
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 5:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)77
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 5:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 5:44MILMISS Gadzuric 20' Jump Shot77
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 6:11MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)77
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 6:38MILGadzuric 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Sessions 7 AST)77
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q4 - 6:58MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)75
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 7:13MILHaslem STEAL (2 STL)75
4.0%
84
96.0%
Q4 - 7:28MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)75
5.3%
84
94.7%
Q4 - 7:40MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)75
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q4 - 7:40MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)74
6.4%
82
93.6%
Q4 - 7:52MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q4 - 8:08MILJefferson 16' Jump Shot (32 PTS)73
4.7%
82
95.3%
Q4 - 8:24MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q4 - 8:25MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 2 of 271
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q4 - 8:25MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 1 of 271
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q4 - 8:36MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)71
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q4 - 8:48MIAHEAT Rebound71
6.0%
79
94.0%
Q4 - 8:49MILMISS Alexander 4' Jump Shot71
6.4%
79
93.6%
Q4 - 9:00MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
7.5%
79
92.5%
Q4 - 9:01MIAMISS Magloire Layup71
8.0%
79
92.0%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)71
6.9%
79
93.1%
Q4 - 9:06MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup71
8.0%
79
92.0%
Q4 - 9:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
6.9%
79
93.1%
Q4 - 9:20MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 2 of 271
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q4 - 9:20MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)71
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q4 - 9:31MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
6.8%
79
93.2%
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Jump Shot70
6.3%
79
93.7%
Q4 - 9:48MILElson 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)70
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q4 - 10:08MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Beasley Layup68
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q4 - 10:23MILJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)68
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q4 - 10:50MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Head 2 AST)65
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q4 - 10:56MIAHead REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q4 - 10:58MILJones BLOCK (1 BLK)65
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 11:03MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)65
4.4%
77
95.6%
Q4 - 11:11MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q4 - 11:12MILMISS Alexander 19' Jump Shot65
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q4 - 11:21MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Beasley 6' Running Hook Shot65
4.1%
77
95.9%
Q4 - 11:45MILMbah a Moute Dunk (4 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)65
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA63
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound63
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 32' 3PT Jump Shot63
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)63
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)62
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)61
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0MILMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot61
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)61
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0MILMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot61
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)61
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q3 - 1:07MILGadzuric Dunk (16 PTS)61
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 1:08MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)59
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 1:09MILMISS Alexander 15' Jump Shot59
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 1:21MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot59
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 1:26MIAHEAT Rebound59
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 1:27MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot59
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 1:49MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 1:50MILMISS Ridnour 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 2:05MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)59
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 2:06MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot59
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 2:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 2:28MILMISS Alexander 9' Jump Shot59
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 2:45MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)59
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 2:46MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot59
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 3:02MILJefferson Layup (27 PTS)59
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 3:07MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot57
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 3:30MILGadzuric Dunk (14 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 2 AST)57
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 3:37MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)55
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 3:38MIAMISS Head 3PT Jump Shot55
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 3:55MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)55
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 3:55MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)54
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 4:00MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 4:01MIAMISS Wade 10' Running Jump Shot53
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 4:25MILJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)53
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 4:40MIAWade Tip Shot (19 PTS)50
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 4:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot50
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 5:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)50
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 5:04MILMISS Villanueva 19' Jump Shot50
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 5:15MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Wade 13' Running Jump Shot50
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 5:32MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 5:33MILO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)50
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 5:49MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)50
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 6:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 6:09MILMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 6:10MILSessions REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 6:11MILMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot50
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 6:18MILSessions REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 6:19MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot50
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 6:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)50
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 6:31MILMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot50
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 6:52MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)50
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 7:09MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)50
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q3 - 7:09MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)49
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q3 - 7:17MIAMoon Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)48
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q3 - 7:22MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 7:24MILMISS Jefferson 4' Running Jump Shot48
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q3 - 7:40MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)48
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q3 - 7:49MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 7:49MILMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 247
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 7:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)47
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 247
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 8:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)47
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 8:18MILMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 8:32MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)47
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 8:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
2.6%
65
97.4%
Q3 - 8:54MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot47
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q3 - 9:09MILJefferson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)47
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q3 - 9:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
2.3%
65
97.7%
Q3 - 9:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q3 - 9:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)45
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 9:38MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
2.8%
63
97.2%
Q3 - 9:54MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T10)45
3.1%
63
96.9%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 10:09MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot45
3.0%
63
97.0%
Q3 - 10:17MILSessions REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
3.3%
63
96.7%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Moon 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
3.2%
63
96.8%
Q3 - 10:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMISS O'Neal Layup45
3.2%
63
96.8%
Q3 - 10:41MILGadzuric Putback Dunk (12 PTS)45
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 10:42MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)43
2.5%
63
97.5%
Q3 - 10:43MILMISS Villanueva 7' Jump Shot43
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q3 - 11:11MIAHaslem 10' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)43
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 11:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)43
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q3 - 11:24MILMISS Villanueva 8' Jump Hook Shot43
3.2%
61
96.8%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMoon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)43
3.5%
61
96.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
4.5%
58
95.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILWade STEAL (1 STL)43
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
5.4%
58
94.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
5.5%
57
94.5%
Q2 - 0:07.0MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
6.3%
56
93.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
6.2%
56
93.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
5.4%
56
94.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
5.2%
56
94.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0MILJefferson 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)41
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q2 - 1:08MIAWade Driving Layup (16 PTS)39
4.3%
56
95.7%
Q2 - 1:21MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)39
5.1%
54
94.9%
Q2 - 1:48MIAWade Driving Layup (14 PTS)39
5.6%
54
94.4%
Q2 - 2:02MILVillanueva 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
6.5%
52
93.5%
Q2 - 2:20MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)37
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q2 - 2:34MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)37
7.4%
49
92.6%
Q2 - 2:34MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
7.0%
49
93.0%
Q2 - 2:35MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)35
6.6%
49
93.4%
Q2 - 2:36MILMISS Villanueva Layup35
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q2 - 2:46MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
6.6%
49
93.4%
Q2 - 2:47MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Running Hook Shot35
6.3%
49
93.7%
Q2 - 3:12MILGadzuric Dunk (8 PTS) (Sessions 6 AST)35
5.9%
49
94.1%
Q2 - 3:21MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
5.3%
49
94.7%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q2 - 3:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
4.6%
49
95.4%
Q2 - 3:34MILMISS Villanueva 9' Jump Shot33
4.8%
49
95.2%
Q2 - 3:49MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
5.3%
49
94.7%
Q2 - 3:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 233
5.2%
49
94.8%
Q2 - 3:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)33
4.8%
49
95.2%
Q2 - 4:05MILVillanueva 7' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)33
5.4%
48
94.6%
Q2 - 4:23MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)31
4.8%
48
95.2%
Q2 - 4:28MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
6.0%
45
94.0%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot31
6.6%
45
93.4%
Q2 - 4:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
6.0%
45
94.0%
Q2 - 4:49MILMISS Villanueva 20' Jump Shot31
6.3%
45
93.7%
Q2 - 5:11MIAWade Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)31
7.0%
45
93.0%
Q2 - 5:26MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)31
7.9%
43
92.1%
Q2 - 5:26MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)30
7.7%
43
92.3%
Q2 - 5:32MILSessions REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
7.0%
43
93.0%
Q2 - 5:33MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot29
6.8%
43
93.2%
Q2 - 5:46MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
6.3%
43
93.7%
Q2 - 5:47MILMISS Gadzuric 18' Jump Shot29
6.5%
43
93.5%
Q2 - 6:18MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)29
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 6:27MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
8.1%
41
91.9%
Q2 - 6:28MILMISS Gadzuric 17' Jump Shot29
8.4%
41
91.6%
Q2 - 6:38MIAHead Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)29
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q2 - 6:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
8.1%
41
91.9%
Q2 - 6:43MIAMISS Magloire Layup29
8.8%
41
91.2%
Q2 - 6:51MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
8.1%
41
91.9%
Q2 - 6:54MILMISS Sessions Driving Layup29
8.4%
41
91.6%
Q2 - 7:08MIAHead 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)29
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q2 - 7:15MILHead STEAL (1 STL)29
11.1%
38
88.9%
Q2 - 7:18MIAHead Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)29
12.3%
38
87.7%
Q2 - 7:32MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
11.1%
38
88.9%
Q2 - 7:34MILMISS Jefferson Reverse Layup29
11.5%
38
88.5%
Q2 - 7:49MILBucks Rebound29
12.4%
38
87.6%
Q2 - 7:50MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 1 of 129
11.3%
38
88.7%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMagloire Tip Shot (4 PTS)27
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot27
12.2%
36
87.8%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Beasley 8' Running Hook Shot27
12.2%
36
87.8%
Q2 - 8:20MILGadzuric 7' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Sessions 5 AST)27
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q2 - 8:34MIAHead Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)25
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 8:42MIAHead REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q2 - 8:43MILMISS Gadzuric Tip Shot25
9.6%
36
90.4%
Q2 - 8:44MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 8:45MILMISS Ridnour Layup25
9.6%
36
90.4%
Q2 - 9:00MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 9:00MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
10.5%
35
89.5%
Q2 - 9:20MILSessions Driving Layup (3 PTS)25
11.4%
34
88.6%
Q2 - 9:36MIAHead Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)23
10.4%
34
89.6%
Q2 - 9:46MIAHead REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
11.4%
32
88.6%
Q2 - 9:47MILMISS Mbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot23
11.8%
32
88.2%
Q2 - 9:55MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Head 15' Jump Shot23
12.2%
32
87.8%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
11.7%
32
88.3%
Q2 - 10:07MILMISS Mbah a Moute 20' Jump Shot23
12.0%
32
88.0%
Q2 - 10:12MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
12.9%
32
87.1%
Q2 - 10:13MILMISS Sessions 20' Jump Shot23
12.0%
32
88.0%
Q2 - 10:36MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
12.8%
32
87.2%
Q2 - 10:36MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)23
13.0%
31
87.0%
Q2 - 10:47MILJones STEAL (1 STL)23
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q2 - 11:04MIAMagloire Layup (2 PTS)23
15.6%
30
84.4%
Q2 - 11:23MILAlexander 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)23
17.0%
28
83.0%
Q2 - 11:34MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Head Layup23
18.0%
28
82.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL23
17.0%
28
83.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot23
17.4%
28
82.6%
Q1 - 0:21.0MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
18.3%
28
81.7%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot23
17.9%
28
82.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0MILJefferson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)23
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)21
15.8%
27
84.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0MILMISS Sessions 21' Jump Shot21
17.5%
26
82.5%
Q1 - 1:04MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)21
18.4%
26
81.6%
Q1 - 1:25MILJefferson Layup (10 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)21
21.9%
23
78.1%
Q1 - 1:45MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
19.8%
23
80.2%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot19
19.5%
23
80.5%
Q1 - 2:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)19
18.8%
23
81.2%
Q1 - 2:08MILMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot19
19.2%
23
80.8%
Q1 - 2:22MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Head 1 AST)19
20.0%
23
80.0%
Q1 - 2:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
21.8%
21
78.2%
Q1 - 2:34MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
22.2%
21
77.8%
Q1 - 2:40MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
23.1%
21
76.9%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMISS Head Tip Shot19
22.7%
21
77.3%
Q1 - 2:42MIAHead REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
21.8%
21
78.2%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot19
22.7%
21
77.3%
Q1 - 2:49MIAHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
21.8%
21
78.2%
Q1 - 2:50MILMISS Jefferson Driving Layup19
22.2%
21
77.8%
Q1 - 3:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)19
23.1%
21
76.9%
Q1 - 3:11MILHaslem STEAL (1 STL)19
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 3:22MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
28.3%
18
71.7%
Q1 - 3:40MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 3:40MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
29.9%
16
70.1%
Q1 - 3:48MILSessions REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
28.3%
16
71.7%
Q1 - 3:49MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
27.1%
16
72.9%
Q1 - 3:56MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
28.3%
16
71.7%
Q1 - 3:57MIAMISS Moon 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
27.8%
16
72.2%
Q1 - 4:15MILJefferson Dunk (6 PTS) (Sessions 4 AST)17
26.1%
16
73.9%
Q1 - 4:21MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
24.5%
16
75.5%
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS Moon Reverse Layup15
24.0%
16
76.0%
Q1 - 4:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)15
22.8%
16
77.2%
Q1 - 4:33MILMISS Villanueva Layup15
23.3%
16
76.7%
Q1 - 4:45MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T6)15
24.5%
16
75.5%
Q1 - 4:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
22.8%
16
77.2%
Q1 - 4:54MILMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot15
23.3%
16
76.7%
Q1 - 5:09MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)15
24.6%
16
75.4%
Q1 - 5:20MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
26.1%
14
73.9%
Q1 - 5:21MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
26.6%
14
73.4%
Q1 - 5:32MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)15
28.0%
14
72.0%
Q1 - 5:44MILGadzuric 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)15
26.0%
14
74.0%
Q1 - 6:00MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)13
24.6%
14
75.4%
Q1 - 6:09MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 6:10MILMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot13
23.1%
14
76.9%
Q1 - 6:24MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
24.2%
14
75.8%
Q1 - 6:34MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)13
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 6:34MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 1 of 212
22.4%
14
77.6%
Q1 - 6:53MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)12
22.7%
14
77.3%
Q1 - 7:05MILGadzuric 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)12
23.8%
12
76.2%
Q1 - 7:19MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)10
22.5%
12
77.5%
Q1 - 7:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
20.9%
12
79.1%
Q1 - 7:23MILMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot10
21.3%
12
78.7%
Q1 - 7:42MIAO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)10
22.5%
12
77.5%
Q1 - 7:58MILVillanueva 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)10
23.8%
10
76.2%
Q1 - 7:59MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 8:01MILO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)8
21.2%
10
78.8%
Q1 - 8:16MIAO'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
22.1%
10
77.9%
Q1 - 8:36MILVillanueva 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)8
23.7%
8
76.3%
Q1 - 9:07MIAHaslem Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
22.2%
8
77.8%
Q1 - 9:10MILChalmers STEAL (1 STL)6
23.7%
6
76.3%
Q1 - 9:21MILSessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
25.1%
6
74.9%
Q1 - 9:22MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
24.1%
6
75.9%
Q1 - 9:30MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
25.1%
6
74.9%
Q1 - 9:34MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
23.7%
6
76.3%
Q1 - 9:34MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
23.5%
6
76.5%
Q1 - 9:55MIAChalmers Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)4
22.2%
6
77.8%
Q1 - 10:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
23.5%
4
76.5%
Q1 - 10:04MILMISS Sessions Driving Layup4
23.9%
4
76.1%
Q1 - 10:24MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)4
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 10:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 10:35MILMISS Gadzuric Layup4
26.7%
2
73.3%
Q1 - 10:36MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
27.8%
2
72.2%
Q1 - 10:38MILMISS Gadzuric Dunk4
26.7%
2
73.3%
Q1 - 10:43MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.8%
2
72.2%
Q1 - 10:45MIAMISS O'Neal Layup4
27.3%
2
72.7%
Q1 - 11:03MILBell 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)4
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 11:15MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 11:40MILJefferson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)2
25.6%
0
74.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Gadzuric: Tip to Bell0
24.4%
0
75.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.86 42.9%
MIA
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
12
28
43%
MIA
14
24
58%
Midrange
MIL
17
42
40%
MIA
15
36
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
2
3.0
14
14%
21%
MIA
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
Free Throws
MIL
21
27
78%
MIA
17
19
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jefferson3257%16.0 / 28
D. Gadzuric1856%9.0 / 16
R. Sessions1042%5.0 / 12
C. Villanueva928%4.5 / 16
J. Alexander643%3.0 / 7
L. Mbah a Moute650%3.0 / 6
C. Bell220%1.0 / 5
F. Elson250%1.0 / 2
L. Ridnour0-0.0 / 2
D. Jones0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2761%13.5 / 22
U. Haslem1689%8.0 / 9
J. Jones1192%5.5 / 6
M. Beasley1139%5.5 / 14
J. O'Neal1042%5.0 / 12
M. Chalmers770%3.5 / 5
D. Cook675%3.0 / 4
J. Moon550%2.5 / 5
L. Head542%2.5 / 6
J. Magloire440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
85
+14
-10
99
MIA
80
+11
-16
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.86 42.9%
MIA
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
107.6
MIL 89.5 +16.8
MIA 106.3
Pace
93.0
90.2
MIL 93.2
MIA 97.9 +4.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.3
MIL 15.5
MIA 14.7 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
50.0%
MIL 38.1%
MIA 53.8% +15.7%
TO %
14.6%
13.1%
MIL 10.3% +5.2%
MIA 15.5%
ORB %
27.9%
24.6%
MIL 24.5% +2.0%
MIA 22.5%
FTrt
30.6
28.2
MIL 32.1 +8.0
MIA 24.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
55.1%
MIL 51.6%
MIA 60.5% +8.9%
STL %
7.9%
8.7%
MIL 6.3%
MIA 8.3% +2.0%
BLK %
6.5%
9.2%
MIL 6.7% +2.4%
MIA 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
52.6%
MIL 42.9%
MIA 56.0% +13.1%
Rim FG%
55.5%
59.5%
MIL 42.9%
MIA 58.3% +15.4%
Mid FG%
40.3%
41.8%
MIL 40.5%
MIA 41.7% +1.2%
3P %
36.3%
35.7%
MIL 14.3%
MIA 47.4% +33.1%
FT %
78.0%
75.4%
MIL 77.8%
MIA 89.5% +11.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
30.3%
MIL 33.3% +3.0%
MIA 30.4%
Mid Att. %
45.9%
45.2%
MIL 50.0%
MIA 45.6% +4.4%
3P Att. %
20.8%
24.5%
MIL 16.7%
MIA 24.1% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points85102
Rebounds4449
Assists1623
Steals68
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)40 (2)
Field Goals31-8438-79
At-the-Rim FG12-2814-24
Midrange FG17-4215-36
2-Point FG29-7029-60
3-Point FG2-149-19
Free Throws21-2717-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 233 · 29
42.8
32
57%
4
1
1
0
2
2
1
3
10-10
100%
8-19
42%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 190 · 23
36.4
10
42%
6
8
1
0
2
2
3
3
6-11
55%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 31
32.9
18
56%
12
0
2
1
0
2
6
6
2-2
100%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 25
23.3
9
28%
7
1
0
0
1
1
1
6
1-2
50%
4-11
36%
0-4
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
20.7
2
20%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
24.8
6
43%
4
0
1
2
3
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 23
23.4
6
50%
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33
15.1
2
50%
1
0
0
1
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
10.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29
7.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 33
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 31
#6 · C · 7'0" 260 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'6" 215 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
43%
44
16
6
4
10
0
13
31
21-27
78%
29-70
41%
2-14
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.