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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Suns30%10199
5Jazz70%108104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.1
45.2
30.4
20
45%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
4-11
5-9
36%
52%
3-10
30%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 36.5
43.4
29.5
19
48%
8
5
3
1
1
3
3
5
3-4
75%
8-17
4-8
47%
52%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.1
32.6
27.4
14
41%
10
3
2
1
0
2
2
8
2-2
100%
3-8
3-5
38%
50%
2-8
25%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 37.1
32.5
26.9
16
53%
10
1
4
0
0
2
5
5
4-5
80%
6-13
6-10
46%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.2
30.6
32.5
4
18%
2
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
50%
0-4
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.7
29.1
21.8
15
58%
8
0
0
1
0
2
3
5
1-2
50%
4-8
2-4
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.3
13.6
11.4
4
50%
3
0
0
0
2
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.3
13.6
16.4
2
23%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-3
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
12.9
16.3
3
31%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.0
6.7
8.3
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.1
4.9
11.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 26.3
7.5
0
1-2
51%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.0
41.8
29.0
12
47%
7
5
2
2
0
3
2
5
2-4
50%
5-11
5-8
45%
57%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.8
40.3
27.2
26
76%
11
3
1
1
2
3
1
10
3-5
60%
7-11
4-8
64%
51%
3-4
75%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.8
39.6
36.1
21
58%
5
13
0
1
0
7
0
5
9-9
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
53%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.4
27.7
34.5
14
58%
10
2
1
1
0
3
2
8
0-0
-
7-12
8-15
58%
54%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
19.6
17.5
2
17%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
0-3
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.1
36.0
23.0
7
43%
6
3
0
1
1
1
0
6
4-5
80%
0-4
3-6
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.1
16.9
29.0
9
48%
9
0
0
1
0
2
4
5
7-10
70%
1-5
5-10
20%
55%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.8
15.7
3.7
8
50%
4
0
2
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.0
14.1
26.4
3
50%
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.4
13.4
10.1
2
26%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.3
6.0
0
1-1
56%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.3
3.3
0
0-1
44%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.8
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.1
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.