for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 29, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Mavericks27%9174
2Cavaliers73%99102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.8
37.1
34.3
20
40%
7
4
0
1
2
1
0
7
5-5
100%
6-20
8-16
30%
48%
1-3
33%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.0
36.5
19.4
9
60%
7
8
0
1
1
2
1
6
1-1
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
41%
2-3
67%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
34.6
35.2
10
36%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
3-7
5-9
43%
50%
1-6
17%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.1
30.7
29.3
5
50%
3
1
2
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.7
17.1
21.2
10
63%
6
1
0
0
1
2
3
3
0-0
-
5-8
2-3
63%
58%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
25.9
15.1
7
36%
12
1
0
0
2
0
5
7
1-4
25%
3-8
2-3
38%
50%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.8
25.5
27.1
4
29%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
44%
0-2
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.2
11.8
16.6
6
56%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.7
10.9
22.5
3
39%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.9
5.1
14.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.6
4.8
2.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.9
9.9
0
2-3
46%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.4
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.3
35.6
32.5
22
58%
3
5
2
1
0
2
0
3
6-7
86%
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
2-7
29%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
31.3
35.6
24
50%
6
12
1
2
2
0
1
5
4-5
80%
7-18
7-13
39%
54%
2-4
50%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.7
29.2
33.4
3
25%
1
5
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
28.9
30.3
10
83%
5
0
1
1
2
0
0
5
0-0
-
5-6
4-7
83%
53%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.8
27.6
25.5
14
47%
9
0
0
0
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
7-14
5-10
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.7
27.5
18.3
12
64%
13
3
0
0
1
0
4
9
3-3
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
49%
1-1
100%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.1
25.6
21.5
5
36%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
1-3
33%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.1
15.6
11.8
4
34%
5
0
2
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.4
5.6
20.2
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.4
5.6
12.3
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.6
4.8
4.1
4
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.0
2.6
2.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.9
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.