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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 29, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Lakers58%10076
13Hawks42%9786
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.7
39.5
38.1
21
73%
11
0
0
1
2
0
4
7
7-10
70%
7-10
7-14
70%
55%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.6
37.2
36.0
17
41%
8
4
1
1
0
4
2
6
2-4
50%
6-13
8-16
46%
50%
1-6
17%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.4
33.7
33.5
9
29%
9
4
3
1
2
3
4
5
3-4
75%
3-11
5-9
27%
53%
0-3
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.6
30.2
27.4
8
35%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
28.8
30.6
7
32%
6
2
1
2
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
54%
1-5
20%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.1
20.5
15.1
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.2
16.9
10.0
3
26%
6
2
0
0
1
1
2
4
3-4
75%
0-4
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.0
16.3
15.9
6
75%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.3
11.1
18.5
3
75%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
1-1
100%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.2
5.9
7.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.7
3.4
0
0-1
40%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.3
3.3
0
0-1
46%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.4
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.9
42.2
35.9
21
66%
5
3
1
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
2-9
4-8
22%
46%
5-6
83%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.7
40.2
38.4
10
27%
3
8
1
1
0
4
2
1
1-1
100%
3-14
7-14
21%
48%
1-4
25%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.3
34.4
36.3
9
35%
11
3
1
1
2
2
3
8
3-4
75%
3-10
6-12
30%
50%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
32.8
35.8
4
29%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-6
5-10
17%
52%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.4
27.8
26.0
13
72%
6
0
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
31.7
26.6
14
50%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.1
22.4
18.6
11
56%
13
3
1
1
1
3
5
8
1-2
50%
5-9
2-4
56%
49%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
6.2
6.9
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.7
2.3
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.1
2.3
0
0-0
46%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.8
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.2
1.9
0
0-0
49%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.2
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.9
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.