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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 29, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bulls43%99129
20Raptors57%101134
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.0
44.4
36.4
37
64%
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
5-7
71%
13-21
5-11
62%
47%
2-5
40%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.5
42.4
29.6
23
74%
3
9
1
1
0
4
0
3
5-6
83%
9-13
6-11
69%
49%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
36.3
32.6
11
43%
5
2
1
1
4
1
1
4
3-4
75%
4-11
5-11
36%
46%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.3
30.6
38.5
10
63%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
5-10
20%
50%
2-2
100%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
20.7
30.6
16
80%
6
1
1
1
1
0
4
2
0-0
-
8-10
3-6
80%
53%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.2
36.3
28.6
9
51%
4
4
3
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.0
35.9
26.4
14
64%
10
5
0
1
1
3
3
7
2-2
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.1
13.1
7.5
5
42%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.8
5.3
2.8
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.3
2.8
0
0-1
51%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.3
2.6
0
0-0
39%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.1
2.3
0
0-0
45%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.0
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.0
43.6
34.4
31
60%
15
2
1
1
0
3
4
11
11-11
100%
10-20
8-15
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
40.0
29.8
22
86%
1
19
3
1
0
4
0
1
4-4
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
55%
2-3
67%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.8
39.2
29.6
7
51%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.4
38.3
26.6
28
62%
6
2
0
0
0
3
0
6
5-6
83%
7-14
4-8
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.9
37.0
32.9
16
74%
5
1
1
1
2
3
2
3
2-2
100%
7-10
6-11
70%
54%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
23.1
12.7
13
64%
4
0
1
0
0
2
3
1
3-5
60%
5-8
2-3
63%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.2
16.5
21.5
7
51%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
14.3
18.0
4
100%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.3
13.0
16.8
6
38%
2
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
49%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.4
7.6
0
1-2
45%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.8
7.3
0
1-2
52%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.9
4.9
0
0-1
44%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.4
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.