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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 29, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1576ers52%9297
19Pistons48%91101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.2
44.1
38.7
27
62%
7
5
2
2
0
3
2
5
6-6
100%
9-14
5-10
64%
51%
1-5
20%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.8
38.7
36.1
22
69%
8
3
1
1
0
1
4
4
2-2
100%
10-14
7-13
71%
54%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.0
33.0
33.7
13
42%
4
6
2
1
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
5-12
5-10
42%
50%
0-2
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.7
23.0
21.5
7
58%
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
1-1
100%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
7.3
24.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.9
23.5
7.1
9
67%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
3-5
0-1
60%
49%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.4
21.3
25.3
10
51%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
45%
1-2
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.9
17.5
17.6
5
43%
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.3
14.9
12.1
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.7
13.2
12.7
2
17%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-5
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.9
3.4
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
3.4
0
0-0
43%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.1
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.1
38.1
34.8
21
88%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
5-7
5-11
71%
47%
3-4
75%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.6
36.0
35.7
8
54%
6
3
0
1
1
2
3
3
0-1
0%
4-7
6-11
57%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.1
31.1
23.5
14
53%
4
7
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-3
33%
5-8
5-10
63%
48%
1-4
25%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.9
26.1
30.0
16
58%
3
5
3
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
7-12
5-11
58%
46%
0-1
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.1
22.1
25.9
13
60%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
7-11
64%
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.2
22.0
24.1
12
56%
5
4
0
1
0
3
0
5
4-4
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
0-0
-
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.8
21.1
16.8
8
37%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.1
19.2
23.3
4
67%
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
56%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.9
18.8
7.5
5
91%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
1-1
1-1
100%
57%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
5.6
15.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-1
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
20.4
1
2-3
46%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.5
8.1
0
1-2
48%
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.