FinalWin Prob.pScore
946%87
86
1054%89
90
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
101.28587.1
NOH
105.98583.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS86
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0NOHPaul Free Throw 3 of 3 (26 PTS)86
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 0:07.0NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 3 (25 PTS)86
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 0:07.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 3 (24 PTS)86
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)86
17.0%
87
83.0%
Q4 - 0:24.0NOHButler Foul Turnover (P1.T10)83
4.3%
87
95.7%
Q4 - 0:25.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)83
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 0:29.0NOHButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 0:29.0NOHButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)80
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 0:32.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)80
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot80
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 0:38.0NOHWest 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)80
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
9.7%
83
90.3%
Q4 - 1:00SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
11.8%
83
88.2%
Q4 - 1:18SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
20.9%
83
79.1%
Q4 - 1:19NOHMISS Paul 15' Jump Shot80
18.0%
83
82.0%
Q4 - 1:41SASPaul STEAL (2 STL)80
14.7%
83
85.3%
Q4 - 1:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)80
23.4%
83
76.6%
Q4 - 1:44NOHMISS West 15' Jump Shot80
20.6%
83
79.4%
Q4 - 2:05NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)80
14.6%
83
85.4%
Q4 - 2:06SASMISS Duncan 11' Hook Shot80
17.3%
83
82.7%
Q4 - 2:23NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)80
25.4%
83
74.6%
Q4 - 2:44SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)80
14.2%
83
85.8%
Q4 - 2:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)80
25.6%
83
74.4%
Q4 - 2:48NOHMISS Paul 14' Jump Shot80
21.5%
83
78.5%
Q4 - 3:03NOHHORNETS Rebound80
16.7%
83
83.3%
Q4 - 3:06NOHMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
23.2%
83
76.8%
Q4 - 3:11NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)80
16.6%
83
83.4%
Q4 - 3:12NOHMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
23.2%
83
76.8%
Q4 - 3:40SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)80
21.3%
83
78.7%
Q4 - 3:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)77
11.3%
83
88.7%
Q4 - 3:50NOHMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
10.1%
83
89.9%
Q4 - 4:03NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)77
7.6%
83
92.4%
Q4 - 4:04SASMISS Duncan Layup77
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q4 - 4:16NOHPaul Free Throw 3 of 3 (23 PTS)77
11.0%
83
89.0%
Q4 - 4:16NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 3 (22 PTS)77
11.5%
82
88.5%
Q4 - 4:16NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 3 (21 PTS)77
12.1%
81
87.9%
Q4 - 4:37SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
20.5%
80
79.5%
Q4 - 4:37SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)76
19.3%
80
80.7%
Q4 - 5:05NOHPaul 23' Jump Shot (20 PTS)75
18.3%
80
81.7%
Q4 - 5:33SASDuncan 6' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)75
23.5%
78
76.5%
Q4 - 5:37SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
18.1%
78
81.9%
Q4 - 5:38SASMISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot73
14.8%
78
85.2%
Q4 - 5:47SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
18.1%
78
81.9%
Q4 - 5:48NOHMISS West 11' Jump Shot73
16.5%
78
83.5%
Q4 - 6:10NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)73
16.0%
78
84.0%
Q4 - 6:11SASMISS Parker 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
17.3%
78
82.7%
Q4 - 6:18SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
20.6%
78
79.4%
Q4 - 6:19SASMISS Ginobili Layup73
17.3%
78
82.7%
Q4 - 6:42NOHWright Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)73
20.5%
78
79.5%
Q4 - 7:00NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)73
25.6%
76
74.4%
Q4 - 7:01SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
29.0%
76
71.0%
Q4 - 7:17NOHPaul Layup (18 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)73
33.5%
76
66.5%
Q4 - 7:20SASArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)73
39.4%
74
60.6%
Q4 - 7:28SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
46.8%
74
53.2%
Q4 - 7:29NOHMISS Armstrong Layup73
44.5%
74
55.5%
Q4 - 7:45SASUdoka 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)73
39.4%
74
60.6%
Q4 - 8:14NOHWright Dunk (7 PTS)71
34.3%
74
65.7%
Q4 - 8:14NOHWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
40.6%
72
59.4%
Q4 - 8:15NOHMISS Daniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
44.8%
72
55.2%
Q4 - 8:36SASGooden Layup (9 PTS) (Udoka 2 AST)71
40.6%
72
59.4%
Q4 - 8:39SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
34.3%
72
65.7%
Q4 - 8:42SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
30.4%
72
69.6%
Q4 - 8:54SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
34.2%
72
65.8%
Q4 - 8:55NOHMISS Paul 20' Jump Shot69
32.5%
72
67.5%
Q4 - 9:13SASBonner 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
30.3%
72
69.7%
Q4 - 9:29NOHWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)67
25.2%
72
74.8%
Q4 - 9:34NOHDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
21.1%
72
78.9%
Q4 - 9:35SASArmstrong BLOCK (2 BLK)67
22.3%
72
77.7%
Q4 - 9:56NOHPaul Driving Layup (16 PTS)67
25.1%
72
74.9%
Q4 - 10:07SASParker 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)67
31.0%
70
69.0%
Q4 - 10:20NOHArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)65
26.3%
70
73.7%
Q4 - 10:20NOHArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)65
27.7%
69
72.3%
Q4 - 10:39NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
31.0%
68
69.0%
Q4 - 10:40SASMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot65
32.4%
68
67.6%
Q4 - 10:49SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
35.9%
68
64.1%
Q4 - 10:50NOHMISS West 12' Jump Shot65
34.4%
68
65.6%
Q4 - 11:16SASParker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)65
31.9%
68
68.1%
Q4 - 11:26SASSpurs Rebound63
27.1%
68
72.9%
Q4 - 11:27NOHMISS West 16' Jump Shot63
25.9%
68
74.1%
Q4 - 11:45NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)63
23.3%
68
76.7%
Q4 - 11:47SASMISS Mason Jr. 23' Jump Shot63
24.4%
68
75.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH63
27.1%
68
72.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)63
23.3%
68
76.7%
Q3 - 0:24.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
27.7%
68
72.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0NOHMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
26.7%
68
73.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0NOHDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
24.3%
68
75.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
25.3%
68
74.7%
Q3 - 0:50.0NOHDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
27.7%
68
72.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0NOHDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)63
28.4%
67
71.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0SASPaul STEAL (1 STL)63
32.5%
66
67.5%
Q3 - 1:10NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
36.7%
66
63.3%
Q3 - 1:10NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)63
37.3%
65
62.7%
Q3 - 1:16NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)63
41.8%
64
58.2%
Q3 - 1:17SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
43.2%
64
56.8%
Q3 - 1:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)63
46.2%
64
53.8%
Q3 - 1:33NOHMISS West 16' Fadeaway Jumper63
44.9%
64
55.1%
Q3 - 1:48NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
41.9%
64
58.1%
Q3 - 1:49SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
43.2%
64
56.8%
Q3 - 1:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)63
46.3%
64
53.7%
Q3 - 1:54SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
43.2%
64
56.8%
Q3 - 2:10SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
46.3%
64
53.7%
Q3 - 2:11NOHMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot63
44.9%
64
55.1%
Q3 - 2:15NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)63
41.7%
64
58.3%
Q3 - 2:16NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)63
41.7%
64
58.3%
Q3 - 2:16NOHMISS Marks Dunk63
44.9%
64
55.1%
Q3 - 2:18NOHMISS Paul Layup63
44.9%
64
55.1%
Q3 - 2:20NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
41.7%
64
58.3%
Q3 - 2:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)63
46.3%
64
53.7%
Q3 - 2:21SASMISS Duncan Layup63
43.1%
64
56.9%
Q3 - 2:26SASMISS Ginobili 8' Jump Shot63
43.1%
64
56.9%
Q3 - 2:47NOHMarks Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)63
46.3%
64
53.7%
Q3 - 3:05NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)63
50.7%
62
49.3%
Q3 - 3:06SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
52.2%
62
47.8%
Q3 - 3:30NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)63
55.5%
62
44.5%
Q3 - 3:30NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)63
56.0%
61
44.0%
Q3 - 3:45NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)63
59.6%
60
40.4%
Q3 - 3:46NOHMISS West 9' Jump Shot63
62.8%
60
37.2%
Q3 - 3:55NOHWest Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)63
59.6%
60
40.4%
Q3 - 4:02SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
63.0%
59
37.0%
Q3 - 4:02SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)62
62.5%
59
37.5%
Q3 - 4:14NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)61
59.6%
59
40.4%
Q3 - 4:14NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)61
60.1%
58
39.9%
Q3 - 4:15NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)61
63.0%
57
37.0%
Q3 - 4:16SASMarks BLOCK (2 BLK)61
64.4%
57
35.6%
Q3 - 4:19NOHWest Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)61
67.6%
57
32.4%
Q3 - 4:44SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)61
63.1%
57
36.9%
Q3 - 5:01NOHPaul Foul Turnover (P2.T6)58
54.4%
57
45.6%
Q3 - 5:04NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
49.8%
57
50.2%
Q3 - 5:05SASMISS Duncan Layup58
51.2%
57
48.8%
Q3 - 5:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)58
54.4%
57
45.6%
Q3 - 5:07SASMarks BLOCK (1 BLK)58
51.2%
57
48.8%
Q3 - 5:29NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)58
54.5%
57
45.5%
Q3 - 5:57SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)58
49.8%
57
50.2%
Q3 - 6:22NOHWright 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)55
42.1%
57
57.9%
Q3 - 6:30SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
45.7%
55
54.3%
Q3 - 6:30SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
45.2%
55
54.8%
Q3 - 6:46NOHWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)53
42.1%
55
57.9%
Q3 - 6:53NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
49.7%
52
50.3%
Q3 - 6:54NOHMISS Paul 11' Jump Shot53
52.8%
52
47.2%
Q3 - 7:09NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
49.3%
52
50.7%
Q3 - 7:10SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot53
50.5%
52
49.5%
Q3 - 7:34NOHWest Driving Slam Dunk (16 PTS)53
53.4%
52
46.6%
Q3 - 7:45NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
57.0%
50
43.0%
Q3 - 7:46SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot53
58.2%
50
41.8%
Q3 - 7:58SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
61.0%
50
39.0%
Q3 - 7:59NOHMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot53
59.8%
50
40.2%
Q3 - 8:16SASParker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)53
56.5%
50
43.5%
Q3 - 8:40SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
53.1%
50
46.9%
Q3 - 8:41NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
51.8%
50
48.2%
Q3 - 8:53SASButler STEAL (1 STL)51
49.0%
50
51.0%
Q3 - 9:06NOHPaul Layup (12 PTS)51
52.8%
50
47.2%
Q3 - 9:23SASParker Driving Layup (12 PTS)51
56.4%
48
43.6%
Q3 - 9:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
52.8%
48
47.2%
Q3 - 9:35SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot49
50.2%
48
49.8%
Q3 - 9:55NOHButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
52.9%
48
47.1%
Q3 - 9:55NOHButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
53.6%
47
46.4%
Q3 - 10:00SASWright STEAL (2 STL)49
56.4%
46
43.6%
Q3 - 10:14NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)49
59.5%
46
40.5%
Q3 - 10:21SASDuncan Driving Layup (17 PTS)49
66.1%
43
33.9%
Q3 - 10:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
62.9%
43
37.1%
Q3 - 10:36NOHMISS Armstrong 8' Hook Shot47
61.9%
43
38.1%
Q3 - 10:59SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)47
59.5%
43
40.5%
Q3 - 11:07SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
62.6%
43
37.4%
Q3 - 11:08NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot47
61.5%
43
38.5%
Q3 - 11:28NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
59.1%
43
40.9%
Q3 - 11:28SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot47
60.2%
43
39.8%
Q3 - 11:45SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
62.6%
43
37.4%
Q3 - 11:46NOHMISS West 10' Jump Shot47
61.5%
43
38.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS47
59.1%
43
40.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
61.7%
43
38.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Paul 20' Jump Shot47
61.0%
43
39.0%
Q2 - 0:13.0NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
59.3%
43
40.7%
Q2 - 0:14.0SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot47
60.1%
43
39.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0NOHPaul 20' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)47
61.8%
43
38.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)47
65.6%
41
34.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)46
64.7%
41
35.3%
Q2 - 0:55.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)45
61.8%
41
38.2%
Q2 - 0:55.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)45
62.2%
40
37.8%
Q2 - 1:05NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
65.2%
39
34.8%
Q2 - 1:06SASMISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot45
65.9%
39
34.1%
Q2 - 1:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
67.4%
39
32.6%
Q2 - 1:19NOHMISS Ely 7' Hook Shot45
66.7%
39
33.3%
Q2 - 1:35SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)45
65.3%
39
34.7%
Q2 - 1:59NOHDaniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)43
61.4%
39
38.6%
Q2 - 2:23SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)43
67.1%
36
32.9%
Q2 - 2:23SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)42
66.3%
36
33.7%
Q2 - 2:47NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)41
64.3%
36
35.7%
Q2 - 2:57SASWright STEAL (1 STL)41
69.9%
33
30.1%
Q2 - 3:09NOHWright Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)41
72.2%
33
27.8%
Q2 - 3:18SASDuncan 10' Hook Shot (9 PTS)41
69.2%
33
30.8%
Q2 - 3:39NOHButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
67.0%
33
33.0%
Q2 - 3:39NOHButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
67.5%
32
32.5%
Q2 - 3:56SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)39
69.2%
31
30.8%
Q2 - 4:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
66.2%
31
33.8%
Q2 - 4:11NOHMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot37
65.3%
31
34.7%
Q2 - 4:30NOHDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
63.3%
31
36.7%
Q2 - 4:31SASMISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot37
64.2%
31
35.8%
Q2 - 4:38SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
66.3%
31
33.7%
Q2 - 4:40NOHMISS Marks Layup37
65.4%
31
34.6%
Q2 - 5:00SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)37
63.3%
31
36.7%
Q2 - 5:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
57.3%
31
42.7%
Q2 - 5:02SASMISS Duncan 7' Hook Shot34
55.4%
31
44.6%
Q2 - 5:20NOHJump Ball Daniels vs. Hill: Tip to Finley34
57.3%
31
42.7%
Q2 - 5:32SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)34
54.5%
31
45.5%
Q2 - 5:48NOHArmstrong 6' Hook Shot (5 PTS)32
51.5%
31
48.5%
Q2 - 6:09SASFinley 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)32
53.8%
29
46.2%
Q2 - 6:15SASSpurs Rebound30
51.5%
29
48.5%
Q2 - 6:15SASArmstrong BLOCK (1 BLK)30
49.1%
29
50.9%
Q2 - 6:33NOHDaniels 17' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
51.5%
29
48.5%
Q2 - 6:48NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
53.9%
27
46.1%
Q2 - 6:49SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 230
54.3%
27
45.7%
Q2 - 6:49SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)30
56.0%
27
44.0%
Q2 - 6:59SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
54.4%
27
45.6%
Q2 - 7:00NOHMISS West 11' Jump Shot29
53.3%
27
46.7%
Q2 - 7:11NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
51.1%
27
48.9%
Q2 - 7:12SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
52.0%
27
48.0%
Q2 - 7:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
54.0%
27
46.0%
Q2 - 7:34NOHMISS Brown 10' Jump Shot29
53.1%
27
46.9%
Q2 - 7:57SASDuncan Layup (3 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)29
51.0%
27
49.0%
Q2 - 8:07SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
48.1%
27
51.9%
Q2 - 8:08NOHMISS West Layup27
47.3%
27
52.7%
Q2 - 8:34SASBonner 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)27
45.4%
27
54.6%
Q2 - 8:58NOHDaniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)25
42.7%
27
57.3%
Q2 - 9:05NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
47.8%
24
52.2%
Q2 - 9:06SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot25
48.6%
24
51.4%
Q2 - 9:24NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)25
50.5%
24
49.5%
Q2 - 9:24NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)25
50.8%
23
49.2%
Q2 - 9:42NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
53.2%
22
46.8%
Q2 - 9:43SASMISS Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
54.0%
22
46.0%
Q2 - 10:00NOHBrown 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)25
55.9%
22
44.1%
Q2 - 10:22NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
60.7%
19
39.3%
Q2 - 10:23SASMISS Gooden Layup25
61.5%
19
38.5%
Q2 - 10:37SASGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
63.2%
19
36.8%
Q2 - 10:38SASMISS Mason Jr. 21' Jump Shot25
61.5%
19
38.5%
Q2 - 10:50NOHArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)25
63.2%
19
36.8%
Q2 - 11:16SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)25
60.2%
19
39.8%
Q2 - 11:22SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
62.7%
19
37.3%
Q2 - 11:23NOHMISS Peterson 20' Jump Shot25
62.0%
19
38.0%
Q2 - 11:38NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)25
60.3%
19
39.7%
Q2 - 11:39NOHMISS Brown 15' Jump Shot25
62.0%
19
38.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH25
60.3%
19
39.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound25
60.3%
19
39.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Brown 33' 3PT Jump Shot25
62.0%
19
38.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)25
59.8%
19
40.2%
Q1 - 0:25.0NOHButler 20' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)22
54.4%
19
45.6%
Q1 - 0:51.0SASParker Layup (8 PTS)22
57.4%
17
42.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0NOHPaul Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)20
54.5%
17
45.5%
Q1 - 1:06NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
52.5%
17
47.5%
Q1 - 1:07SASMISS Parker Layup20
53.0%
17
47.0%
Q1 - 1:16SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
54.1%
17
45.9%
Q1 - 1:17NOHMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot20
53.6%
17
46.4%
Q1 - 1:30SASGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)20
52.5%
17
47.5%
Q1 - 1:30SASMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 219
52.0%
17
48.0%
Q1 - 1:30SASSpurs Rebound19
51.7%
17
48.3%
Q1 - 1:31SASMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot19
50.6%
17
49.4%
Q1 - 1:36SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
51.7%
17
48.3%
Q1 - 1:37NOHMISS Paul 12' Jump Shot19
51.2%
17
48.8%
Q1 - 1:53SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)19
50.1%
17
49.9%
Q1 - 2:13NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
44.9%
17
55.1%
Q1 - 2:13NOHMarks Tip Shot (2 PTS)16
44.9%
17
55.1%
Q1 - 2:14NOHMISS West Layup16
48.9%
15
51.1%
Q1 - 2:33NOHHORNETS Rebound16
47.6%
15
52.4%
Q1 - 2:33SASMISS Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
48.1%
15
51.9%
Q1 - 2:56NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)16
49.4%
15
50.6%
Q1 - 2:56NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)16
49.7%
14
50.3%
Q1 - 3:12SASParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
52.0%
13
48.0%
Q1 - 3:28NOHPaul 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)14
49.7%
13
50.3%
Q1 - 3:41SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
52.0%
11
48.0%
Q1 - 3:41SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 213
51.7%
11
48.3%
Q1 - 4:06NOHWest 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)13
51.6%
11
48.4%
Q1 - 4:21SASGooden 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)13
53.7%
9
46.3%
Q1 - 4:41NOHWest 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)11
51.6%
9
48.4%
Q1 - 4:58NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
53.7%
7
46.3%
Q1 - 4:59SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
54.5%
7
45.5%
Q1 - 5:22NOHWest 20' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)11
55.7%
7
44.3%
Q1 - 5:47NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
57.5%
5
42.5%
Q1 - 5:48SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
58.3%
5
41.7%
Q1 - 6:16NOHArmstrong 8' Hook Shot (3 PTS)11
59.5%
5
40.5%
Q1 - 6:17NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
61.4%
3
38.6%
Q1 - 6:18NOHMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
62.9%
3
37.1%
Q1 - 6:44SASGooden 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)11
61.4%
3
38.6%
Q1 - 6:54SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
59.5%
3
40.5%
Q1 - 6:55NOHMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot9
58.9%
3
41.1%
Q1 - 7:17SASGooden Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)9
57.1%
3
42.9%
Q1 - 7:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
55.3%
3
44.7%
Q1 - 7:22SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
53.7%
3
46.3%
Q1 - 7:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
55.3%
3
44.7%
Q1 - 7:49NOHMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
54.6%
3
45.4%
Q1 - 8:15NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
53.0%
3
47.0%
Q1 - 8:16SASMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot7
53.6%
3
46.4%
Q1 - 8:33SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
55.1%
3
44.9%
Q1 - 8:34NOHMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot7
54.4%
3
45.6%
Q1 - 8:51SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS)7
53.0%
3
47.0%
Q1 - 9:01NOHWest 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)5
50.8%
3
49.2%
Q1 - 9:21SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
52.9%
1
47.1%
Q1 - 9:21SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
52.5%
1
47.5%
Q1 - 9:32SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
50.8%
1
49.2%
Q1 - 9:32NOHMISS Armstrong Free Throw 2 of 23
50.5%
1
49.5%
Q1 - 9:32NOHArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
49.4%
1
50.6%
Q1 - 9:33NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
51.0%
0
49.0%
Q1 - 9:34NOHMISS Wright 8' Jump Shot3
52.2%
0
47.8%
Q1 - 9:47SASFinley 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)3
51.0%
0
49.0%
Q1 - 10:07SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
48.6%
0
51.4%
Q1 - 10:08NOHMISS Paul 17' Jump Shot1
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 10:28NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
46.7%
0
53.3%
Q1 - 10:29SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 21
46.9%
0
53.1%
Q1 - 10:29SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 10:45SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 10:46NOHMISS West 20' Jump Shot0
46.2%
0
53.8%
Q1 - 10:59NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.9%
0
55.1%
Q1 - 11:00SASMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot0
45.4%
0
54.6%
Q1 - 11:15SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 11:16NOHMISS Paul 12' Jump Shot0
45.9%
0
54.1%
Q1 - 11:41NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.7%
0
55.3%
Q1 - 11:42SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot0
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Armstrong vs. Duncan: Tip to Bonner0
46.4%
0
53.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.96 47.8%
NOH
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
8
16
50%
NOH
10
16
63%
Midrange
SAS
16
32
50%
NOH
13
43
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
29
24%
36%
NOH
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
SAS
17
21
81%
NOH
32
33
97%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2059%10.0 / 17
T. Duncan1953%9.5 / 18
M. Ginobili1761%8.5 / 14
M. Finley1250%6.0 / 12
D. Gooden975%4.5 / 6
M. Bonner750%3.5 / 7
I. Udoka217%1.0 / 6
R. Mason Jr.0-0.0 / 4
K. Thomas0-0.0 / 2
G. Hill0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul2662%13.0 / 21
D. West2350%11.5 / 23
A. Daniels10100%5.0 / 5
J. Wright950%4.5 / 9
R. Butler836%4.0 / 11
H. Armstrong758%3.5 / 6
S. Marks450%2.0 / 4
D. Brown330%1.5 / 5
M. Peterson0-0.0 / 1
M. Ely0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
76
+13
-9
89
NOH
76
+12
-9
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.96 47.8%
NOH
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.3
108.6
SAS 101.2
NOH 105.9 +4.7
Pace
88.7
88.0
SAS 87.1 +3.3
NOH 83.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.8
SAS 16.5 +0.7
NOH 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.3%
50.1%
SAS 44.8% +4.5%
NOH 40.3%
TO %
12.4%
13.3%
SAS 10.4%
NOH 10.4%
ORB %
22.2%
24.6%
SAS 22.7%
NOH 23.3% +0.6%
FTrt
25.1
28.8
SAS 27.3
NOH 45.8 +18.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
55.3%
SAS 64.5% +16.4%
NOH 48.1%
STL %
6.5%
8.2%
SAS 5.9%
NOH 7.1% +1.2%
BLK %
6.1%
7.2%
SAS 3.4%
NOH 8.3% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
53.1%
SAS 47.8%
NOH 50.6% +2.8%
Rim FG%
58.8%
58.6%
SAS 50.0%
NOH 62.5% +12.5%
Mid FG%
42.7%
42.5%
SAS 50.0% +19.8%
NOH 30.2%
3P %
38.6%
36.4%
SAS 24.1%
NOH 30.8% +6.7%
FT %
76.2%
80.7%
SAS 81.0%
NOH 97.0% +16.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
29.0%
SAS 20.8%
NOH 22.2% +1.4%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
47.0%
SAS 41.6% +18.2%
NOH 59.7%
3P Att. %
24.8%
24.0%
SAS 37.7% +19.6%
NOH 18.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASNOH
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes23.424.4
Points8690
Rebounds4344
Assists2013
Steals56
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)34 (1)
Field Goals31-7727-72
At-the-Rim FG8-1610-16
Midrange FG16-3213-43
2-Point FG24-4823-59
3-Point FG7-294-13
Free Throws17-2132-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 27
38.6
20
59%
3
7
0
0
2
3
0
3
4-4
100%
8-14
57%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 33
36.1
19
53%
15
2
0
1
2
1
6
9
7-9
78%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 36
33.7
12
50%
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-6
33%
G · 6'5" 205 · 29
22.7
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 235 · 29
18.0
7
50%
7
2
1
0
0
4
2
5
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
G · 6'6" 205 · 32
27.7
17
61%
2
2
1
0
2
5
0
2
5-6
83%
0-2
0%
4-9
44%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32
22.0
2
17%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-5
0%
F · 6'10" 250 · 28
19.1
9
75%
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
0
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 36
17.4
0
0%
3
0
1
1
1
5
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 23
4.7
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 200 · 38
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C · 6'10" 245 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G · 6'6" 220 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
48%
43
20
5
2
9
0
10
33
17-21
81%
24-48
50%
7-29
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.