Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Spurs	46%	87	86	101.2	85	87.1
	10	Hornets	54%	89	90	105.9	85	83.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 27	38.6	20	59%	3	7	0	0	2	3	0	3	4-4	100%	8-14	57%	0-1	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 33	36.1	19	53%	15	2	0	1	2	1	6	9	7-9	78%	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Michael Finley F · 6'7" 225 · 36	33.7	12	50%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 29	22.7	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 29	18.0	7	50%	7	2	1	0	0	4	2	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 32	27.7	17	61%	2	2	1	0	2	5	0	2	5-6	83%	0-2	0%	4-9	44%
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32	22.0	2	17%	5	2	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 28	19.1	9	75%	1	1	0	0	1	3	1	0	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	17.4	0	0%	3	0	1	1	1	5	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 23	4.7	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 38	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jacque Vaughn G · 6'1" 190 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Fabricio Oberto #7 · C · 6'10" 245 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Malik Hairston #1 · G · 6'6" 220 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	86	48%	43	20	5	2	9	0	10	33	17-21	81%	24-48	50%	7-29	24%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

9 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 27	38.6	20	59%	3	7	0	0	2	3	0	3	4-4	100%	8-14	57%	0-1	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 33	36.1	19	53%	15	2	0	1	2	1	6	9	7-9	78%	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Michael Finley F · 6'7" 225 · 36	33.7	12	50%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 29	22.7	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 29	18.0	7	50%	7	2	1	0	0	4	2	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 32	27.7	17	61%	2	2	1	0	2	5	0	2	5-6	83%	0-2	0%	4-9	44%
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32	22.0	2	17%	5	2	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 28	19.1	9	75%	1	1	0	0	1	3	1	0	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	17.4	0	0%	3	0	1	1	1	5	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 23	4.7	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 38	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jacque Vaughn G · 6'1" 190 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Fabricio Oberto #7 · C · 6'10" 245 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Malik Hairston #1 · G · 6'6" 220 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	86	48%	43	20	5	2	9	0	10	33	17-21	81%	24-48	50%	7-29	24%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

10 New Orleans Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Paul G · 6'0" 175 · 24	42.3	26	62%	7	9	2	0	2	3	1	6	9-9	100%	7-16	44%	1-2	50%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 29	42.2	23	50%	16	1	0	0	2	2	2	14	11-11	100%	6-18	33%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler G · 6'7" 215 · 30	39.8	8	36%	2	1	1	0	1	2	0	2	6-6	100%	1-3	33%	0-5	0%
Julian Wright F · 6'8" 225 · 22	31.1	9	50%	2	0	2	0	2	1	1	1	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Hilton Armstrong C · 6'11" 235 · 24	29.0	7	58%	6	1	1	2	1	3	3	3	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Antonio Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 34	20.9	10	100%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34	15.5	4	50%	5	0	0	2	0	4	3	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Devin Brown G · 6'5" 210 · 30	11.1	3	30%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Morris Peterson G · 6'7" 220 · 32	5.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Melvin Ely C-F · 6'10" 260 · 31	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
James Posey F · 6'8" 217 · 32	\| DND - NBA Suspension
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyson Chandler #6 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Peja Stojakovic #16 · F · 6'10" 229 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	51%	44	13	6	4	9	0	10	34	32-33	97%	23-59	39%	4-13	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	NOH
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	NOH

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.96 47.8%

NOH

1.01 50.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

8

16

50%

NOH

10

16

63%

Midrange

SAS

16

32

50%

NOH

13

43

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

7

10.5

29

24%

36%

NOH

4

6.0

13

31%

46%

Free Throws

SAS

17

21

81%

NOH

32

33

97%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Parker	20	59%	10.0 / 17
T. Duncan	19	53%	9.5 / 18
M. Ginobili	17	61%	8.5 / 14
M. Finley	12	50%	6.0 / 12
D. Gooden	9	75%	4.5 / 6
M. Bonner	7	50%	3.5 / 7
I. Udoka	2	17%	1.0 / 6
R. Mason Jr.	0	-	0.0 / 4
K. Thomas	0	-	0.0 / 2
G. Hill	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Paul	26	62%	13.0 / 21
D. West	23	50%	11.5 / 23
A. Daniels	10	100%	5.0 / 5
J. Wright	9	50%	4.5 / 9
R. Butler	8	36%	4.0 / 11
H. Armstrong	7	58%	3.5 / 6
S. Marks	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Brown	3	30%	1.5 / 5
M. Peterson	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. Ely	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 108.3 12 108.6	SAS 101.2 NOH 105.9 +4.7
Pace	26 88.7 28 88.0	SAS 87.1 +3.3 NOH 83.7
Avg. Poss. Time	5 16.5 4 16.8	SAS 16.5 −0.7 NOH 17.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 51.3% 14 50.1%	SAS 44.8% +4.5% NOH 40.3%
TO %	1 12.4% 5 13.3%	SAS 10.4% NOH 10.4%
ORB %	30 22.1% 25 24.5%	SAS 22.7% NOH 23.3% +0.6%
FTrt	30 25.1 22 28.8	SAS 27.3 NOH 45.8 +18.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 57.1% 19 55.3%	SAS 64.5% +16.4% NOH 48.1%
STL %	30 6.5% 10 8.2%	SAS 5.9% NOH 7.1% +1.2%
BLK %	29 6.1% 23 7.2%	SAS 3.4% NOH 8.3% +4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 53.4% 15 53.1%	SAS 47.8% NOH 50.6% +2.8%
Rim FG%	11 58.8% 13 58.6%	SAS 50.0% NOH 62.5% +12.5%
Mid FG%	3 42.7% 4 42.5%	SAS 50.0% +19.8% NOH 30.2%
3P %	3 38.6% 17 36.4%	SAS 24.1% NOH 30.8% +6.7%
FT %	19 76.2% 4 80.7%	SAS 81.0% NOH 97.0% +16.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 30.3% 28 29.0%	SAS 20.8% NOH 22.2% +1.4%
Mid Att. %	21 44.9% 27 47.0%	SAS 41.6% −18.2% NOH 59.7%
3P Att. %	7 24.8% 11 24.0%	SAS 37.7% +19.6% NOH 18.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	NOH
Possessions	85	85
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.4
Points	86	90
Rebounds	43	44
Assists	20	13
Steals	5	6
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	34 (1)
Field Goals	31-77	27-72
At-the-Rim FG	8-16	10-16
Midrange FG	16-32	13-43
2-Point FG	24-48	23-59
3-Point FG	7-29	4-13
Free Throws	17-21	32-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg