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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 29, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Suns58%107118
26Kings42%105126
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.1
41.7
33.8
31
71%
4
14
0
1
0
5
1
3
2-2
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
54%
5-8
63%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.2
40.8
30.4
16
54%
8
2
1
1
1
1
1
7
2-4
50%
1-4
4-8
25%
52%
4-9
44%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 36.5
38.3
32.5
19
62%
6
3
1
1
2
0
3
3
1-1
100%
9-15
5-10
60%
54%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 37.1
35.0
27.5
24
61%
9
3
0
1
1
2
3
6
6-15
40%
9-12
6-11
75%
60%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.1
21.6
28.0
4
29%
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
52%
0-2
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.7
26.6
23.3
17
61%
11
1
3
1
0
5
6
5
2-2
100%
6-9
2-4
67%
53%
1-4
25%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.4
10.9
12.0
3
39%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
9.3
14.9
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.3
8.8
15.1
2
33%
3
0
2
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
57%
0-0
-
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.1
4.2
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.0
2.7
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 26.3
7.4
0
1-2
54%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.2
37.1
36.0
17
45%
4
4
1
1
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
4-11
5-10
36%
49%
2-6
33%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.7
35.6
31.5
21
58%
8
1
1
1
1
2
4
4
5-9
56%
8-14
5-9
57%
53%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.9
33.1
30.1
20
63%
10
1
1
1
2
0
4
6
0-0
-
10-14
4-9
71%
51%
0-2
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.3
32.4
21.7
19
80%
9
1
0
0
3
3
2
7
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
48%
3-6
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
31.8
31.9
16
66%
7
7
2
1
1
2
1
6
4-5
80%
6-8
4-8
75%
50%
0-2
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.2
25.4
34.3
19
66%
4
2
3
1
1
1
2
2
3-3
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.5
23.9
13.4
12
61%
2
5
2
1
0
0
2
0
4-4
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 36.0
16.2
23.0
2
17%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-1
0%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.9
4.3
8.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.1
11.8
0
1-2
49%
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.7
8.8
0
1-2
48%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
2.3
0
0-1
48%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.