FinalWin Prob.pScore
358%95
101
1642%92
95
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
107.494101.3
MIA logo MIA
102.29386.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL101
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)101
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)100
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLMagic Rebound99
99.7%
95
0.3%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.4%
95
0.6%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
98.0%
95
2.0%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.2%
95
0.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)99
97.9%
95
2.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)98
97.6%
95
2.4%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (42 PTS)97
95.6%
95
4.4%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (41 PTS)97
96.4%
94
3.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)97
97.1%
93
2.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLMISS Alston 9' Floating Jump Shot97
97.8%
93
2.2%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (40 PTS)97
97.4%
93
2.6%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 297
97.7%
92
2.3%
Q4 - 0:50.0ORLHoward Layup (22 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)97
96.8%
92
3.2%
Q4 - 1:11ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)95
91.8%
92
8.2%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
90.2%
92
9.8%
Q4 - 1:32ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)95
83.6%
92
16.4%
Q4 - 1:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)92
63.7%
92
36.3%
Q4 - 1:46MIAMISS Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot92
59.6%
92
40.4%
Q4 - 2:01ORLChalmers STEAL (5 STL)92
48.7%
92
51.3%
Q4 - 2:16ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
65.2%
92
34.8%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot92
60.3%
92
39.7%
Q4 - 2:31ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)92
48.0%
92
52.0%
Q4 - 2:31ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 291
44.0%
92
56.0%
Q4 - 2:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)91
53.5%
92
46.5%
Q4 - 2:32ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup91
41.0%
92
59.0%
Q4 - 2:51MIAWade Driving Layup (39 PTS)91
53.8%
92
46.2%
Q4 - 3:05ORLAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)91
61.5%
90
38.5%
Q4 - 3:05ORLAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)90
59.1%
90
40.9%
Q4 - 3:13MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)89
54.1%
90
45.9%
Q4 - 3:42ORLLee Layup (10 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)89
70.6%
87
29.4%
Q4 - 3:46ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
62.9%
87
37.1%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup87
59.9%
87
40.1%
Q4 - 4:13ORLTurkoglu 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS)87
52.7%
87
47.3%
Q4 - 4:33MIAWade Driving Layup (37 PTS)85
43.7%
87
56.3%
Q4 - 4:52ORLLewis Reverse Layup (18 PTS)85
52.7%
85
47.3%
Q4 - 5:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)83
45.2%
85
54.8%
Q4 - 5:03MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot83
42.5%
85
57.5%
Q4 - 5:19MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)83
36.6%
85
63.4%
Q4 - 5:20ORLMISS Turkoglu 8' Hook Shot83
39.1%
85
60.9%
Q4 - 5:33MIAWade Dunk (35 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)83
45.1%
85
54.9%
Q4 - 5:37ORLWade STEAL (4 STL)83
53.2%
83
46.8%
Q4 - 5:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)83
61.9%
83
38.1%
Q4 - 5:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)83
63.5%
82
36.5%
Q4 - 5:56MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)83
69.3%
81
30.7%
Q4 - 5:57ORLMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot83
71.5%
81
28.5%
Q4 - 6:11MIAWade Driving Layup (31 PTS)83
75.0%
81
25.0%
Q4 - 6:27ORLPietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)83
80.1%
79
19.9%
Q4 - 6:50MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
68.9%
79
31.1%
Q4 - 6:50MIAMagloire Tip Shot (9 PTS)80
68.9%
79
31.1%
Q4 - 6:52MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)80
74.8%
77
25.2%
Q4 - 6:52MIAMISS Chalmers Tip Shot80
78.7%
77
21.3%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot80
78.7%
77
21.3%
Q4 - 7:12ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P5.T19)80
73.9%
77
26.1%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)80
79.3%
77
20.7%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)80
81.0%
76
19.0%
Q4 - 7:49ORLHoward 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Pietrus 4 AST)80
83.3%
75
16.7%
Q4 - 8:02ORLMagic Rebound78
78.1%
75
21.9%
Q4 - 8:03ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
75.1%
75
24.9%
Q4 - 8:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)78
78.1%
75
21.9%
Q4 - 8:10MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Floating Jump Shot78
76.8%
75
23.2%
Q4 - 8:29MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
73.6%
75
26.4%
Q4 - 8:30ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 278
74.3%
75
25.7%
Q4 - 8:30ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 278
76.8%
75
23.2%
Q4 - 8:42MIAChalmers 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)78
78.2%
75
21.8%
Q4 - 9:04ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (14 PTS)78
81.3%
73
18.7%
Q4 - 9:18MIABeasley Driving Layup (6 PTS)76
77.2%
73
22.8%
Q4 - 9:35MIAHEAT Rebound76
81.4%
71
18.6%
Q4 - 9:36ORLMISS Battie 12' Turnaround Jump Shot76
82.4%
71
17.6%
Q4 - 10:03MIACook 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)76
83.6%
71
16.4%
Q4 - 10:18ORLHoward 7' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)76
86.5%
69
13.5%
Q4 - 10:32ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
83.6%
69
16.4%
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS Head 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
82.7%
69
17.3%
Q4 - 10:50ORLTurkoglu 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)74
80.4%
69
19.6%
Q4 - 11:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)72
75.6%
69
24.4%
Q4 - 11:23MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot72
74.4%
69
25.6%
Q4 - 11:41ORLTurkoglu Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)72
71.7%
69
28.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
66.9%
69
33.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
62.2%
69
37.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)70
63.4%
69
36.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAJones 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)70
66.2%
69
33.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
71.1%
67
28.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0ORLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)70
72.3%
67
27.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMagloire Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)70
74.7%
67
25.3%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
77.9%
65
22.1%
Q3 - 1:04ORLMISS Lewis 19' Jump Shot70
78.8%
65
21.2%
Q3 - 1:23MIABeasley 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)70
80.9%
65
19.1%
Q3 - 1:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
84.0%
63
16.0%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 270
86.0%
63
14.0%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 270
84.7%
63
15.3%
Q3 - 1:39MIAHEAT Rebound70
84.0%
63
16.0%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Head 10' Running Jump Shot70
85.6%
63
14.4%
Q3 - 2:01ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)70
83.0%
63
17.0%
Q3 - 2:20MIAWade Driving Layup (29 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)67
77.1%
63
22.9%
Q3 - 2:26ORLChalmers STEAL (4 STL)67
80.3%
61
19.7%
Q3 - 2:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)67
83.1%
61
16.9%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot67
82.2%
61
17.8%
Q3 - 2:49MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
80.3%
61
19.7%
Q3 - 2:50ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
81.2%
61
18.8%
Q3 - 2:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)67
83.1%
61
16.9%
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot67
82.3%
61
17.7%
Q3 - 3:24ORLAlston Driving Layup (11 PTS)67
79.9%
61
20.1%
Q3 - 3:34MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (27 PTS)65
77.0%
61
23.0%
Q3 - 3:57ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)65
79.9%
59
20.1%
Q3 - 4:07MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS)62
73.4%
59
26.6%
Q3 - 4:34ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)62
76.1%
57
23.9%
Q3 - 4:57MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS)59
69.9%
57
30.1%
Q3 - 5:12MIAHEAT Rebound59
72.2%
55
27.8%
Q3 - 5:13MIAMISS Chalmers 23' Jump Shot59
74.7%
55
25.3%
Q3 - 5:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
72.2%
55
27.8%
Q3 - 5:25ORLMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
73.3%
55
26.7%
Q3 - 5:42MIAChalmers 12' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)59
75.9%
55
24.1%
Q3 - 5:44MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
78.4%
53
21.6%
Q3 - 5:45MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot59
80.6%
53
19.4%
Q3 - 5:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
78.4%
53
21.6%
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS Moon 20' Jump Shot59
80.6%
53
19.4%
Q3 - 6:18ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)59
78.1%
53
21.9%
Q3 - 6:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)56
72.3%
53
27.7%
Q3 - 6:25ORLMISS Alston Driving Layup56
69.9%
53
30.1%
Q3 - 6:38MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)56
72.3%
53
27.7%
Q3 - 6:52ORLLee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)56
78.1%
50
21.9%
Q3 - 7:00ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
72.3%
50
27.7%
Q3 - 7:01MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot53
70.5%
50
29.5%
Q3 - 7:25ORLLee 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)53
68.2%
50
31.8%
Q3 - 7:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)50
61.4%
50
38.6%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 250
62.1%
49
37.9%
Q3 - 7:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
61.2%
49
38.8%
Q3 - 7:58ORLMISS Lewis 19' Jump Shot50
62.4%
49
37.6%
Q3 - 8:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)50
64.8%
49
35.2%
Q3 - 8:03ORLMISS Lee Driving Layup50
62.2%
49
37.8%
Q3 - 8:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
64.8%
49
35.2%
Q3 - 8:17MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot50
63.7%
49
36.3%
Q3 - 8:37ORLChalmers STEAL (3 STL)50
61.0%
49
39.0%
Q3 - 8:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
64.8%
49
35.2%
Q3 - 8:52MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot50
63.7%
49
36.3%
Q3 - 9:20ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (8 PTS)50
61.2%
49
38.8%
Q3 - 9:35ORLLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
57.8%
49
42.2%
Q3 - 9:36ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
55.2%
49
44.8%
Q3 - 9:58MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)48
57.8%
49
42.2%
Q3 - 10:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
61.3%
47
38.7%
Q3 - 10:05ORLO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)48
62.3%
47
37.7%
Q3 - 10:20MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)48
64.7%
47
35.3%
Q3 - 10:41ORLHoward Dunk (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)48
61.3%
47
38.7%
Q3 - 10:58MIAO'Neal Driving Dunk (10 PTS)46
57.9%
47
42.1%
Q3 - 11:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
61.5%
45
38.5%
Q3 - 11:16ORLMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
62.6%
45
37.4%
Q3 - 11:43MIAO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)46
64.9%
45
35.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL46
67.8%
43
32.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
70.4%
43
29.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup46
69.8%
43
30.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
68.3%
43
31.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
67.8%
43
32.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
64.6%
43
35.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 3 of 344
64.3%
43
35.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 344
62.1%
43
37.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 344
59.5%
43
40.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0ORLAlston Driving Layup (9 PTS)44
62.2%
43
37.8%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)42
58.4%
43
41.6%
Q2 - 1:05MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
65.4%
40
34.6%
Q2 - 1:06MIAMISS Magloire Tip Shot42
66.9%
40
33.1%
Q2 - 1:07MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
65.4%
40
34.6%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Jump Shot42
66.9%
40
33.1%
Q2 - 1:11MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
65.4%
40
34.6%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot42
66.9%
40
33.1%
Q2 - 1:35ORLPietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)42
65.4%
40
34.6%
Q2 - 1:48MIAWade 15' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)39
58.4%
40
41.6%
Q2 - 1:53ORLChalmers STEAL (2 STL)39
62.4%
38
37.6%
Q2 - 2:11MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)39
65.0%
38
35.0%
Q2 - 2:28ORLAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
70.5%
35
29.5%
Q2 - 2:28ORLAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
69.9%
35
30.1%
Q2 - 2:39MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)37
67.9%
35
32.1%
Q2 - 2:52ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)37
70.5%
33
29.5%
Q2 - 2:52ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
69.6%
33
30.4%
Q2 - 3:02MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)35
68.1%
33
31.9%
Q2 - 3:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
64.9%
33
35.1%
Q2 - 3:11ORLMISS Pietrus Driving Finger Roll Layup35
65.9%
33
34.1%
Q2 - 3:29MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)35
68.1%
33
31.9%
Q2 - 3:44ORLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)35
64.9%
33
35.1%
Q2 - 4:00MIACook Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)35
68.1%
33
31.9%
Q2 - 4:12ORLAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)35
70.3%
31
29.7%
Q2 - 4:28ORLMagic Rebound35
73.0%
31
27.0%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
72.2%
31
27.8%
Q2 - 4:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
70.3%
31
29.7%
Q2 - 4:43ORLMISS Lewis 14' Jump Shot35
71.2%
31
28.8%
Q2 - 4:57ORLRedick Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)35
73.0%
31
27.0%
Q2 - 5:11MIAWade Running Dunk (14 PTS)34
70.4%
31
29.6%
Q2 - 5:13ORLWade STEAL (3 STL)34
72.9%
29
27.1%
Q2 - 5:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
75.1%
29
24.9%
Q2 - 5:23MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot34
74.5%
29
25.5%
Q2 - 5:35ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
72.9%
29
27.1%
Q2 - 5:35ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
72.1%
29
27.9%
Q2 - 5:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
70.4%
29
29.6%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot32
69.7%
29
30.3%
Q2 - 6:03ORLBattie Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)32
67.3%
29
32.7%
Q2 - 6:22ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
70.3%
29
29.7%
Q2 - 6:23MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot32
69.4%
29
30.6%
Q2 - 6:39ORLRedick Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)32
67.4%
29
32.6%
Q2 - 6:44ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
70.3%
29
29.7%
Q2 - 6:45MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot32
69.4%
29
30.6%
Q2 - 7:04ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)32
67.7%
29
32.3%
Q2 - 7:14MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)32
70.2%
29
29.8%
Q2 - 7:24MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
72.4%
27
27.6%
Q2 - 7:25ORLMISS Redick 20' Jump Shot32
73.1%
27
26.9%
Q2 - 7:42MIAWade Layup (12 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)32
74.7%
27
25.3%
Q2 - 7:46ORLCook STEAL (1 STL)32
76.7%
25
23.3%
Q2 - 7:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)32
78.7%
25
21.3%
Q2 - 7:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)32
79.1%
24
20.9%
Q2 - 8:05ORLWade STEAL (2 STL)32
80.0%
23
20.0%
Q2 - 8:12MIABeasley Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)32
81.7%
23
18.3%
Q2 - 8:33ORLGortat Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)32
83.4%
21
16.6%
Q2 - 8:47MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P4.T6)30
81.8%
21
18.2%
Q2 - 8:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
80.1%
21
19.9%
Q2 - 8:54ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
80.6%
21
19.4%
Q2 - 9:17MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)30
81.3%
21
18.7%
Q2 - 9:30ORLRedick Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)30
79.6%
21
20.4%
Q2 - 9:33ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
81.3%
21
18.7%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot30
80.8%
21
19.2%
Q2 - 9:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
79.6%
21
20.4%
Q2 - 9:45ORLO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)30
80.2%
21
19.8%
Q2 - 9:53MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
81.3%
21
18.7%
Q2 - 10:05ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
79.2%
21
20.8%
Q2 - 10:05ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
78.9%
21
21.1%
Q2 - 10:23ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
77.5%
21
22.5%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
76.9%
21
23.1%
Q2 - 10:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
75.6%
21
24.4%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot28
76.9%
21
23.1%
Q2 - 10:44ORLGortat Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)28
75.6%
21
24.4%
Q2 - 10:52ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
73.7%
21
26.3%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
73.0%
21
27.0%
Q2 - 11:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
71.1%
21
28.9%
Q2 - 11:08ORLMISS Gortat 13' Jump Shot26
71.7%
21
28.3%
Q2 - 11:23ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw Technical26
73.2%
21
26.8%
Q2 - 11:29ORLMagic Rebound26
73.2%
21
26.8%
Q2 - 11:30ORLCook BLOCK (1 BLK)26
71.8%
21
28.2%
Q2 - 11:39ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
73.2%
21
26.8%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot26
72.6%
21
27.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
71.1%
21
28.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
71.1%
21
28.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
70.8%
21
29.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
68.3%
21
31.7%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot24
67.9%
21
32.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0ORLPietrus 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
66.7%
21
33.3%
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
64.0%
21
36.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot22
63.5%
21
36.5%
Q1 - 1:01ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)22
62.5%
21
37.5%
Q1 - 1:07ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
59.5%
21
40.5%
Q1 - 1:08MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot20
59.0%
21
41.0%
Q1 - 1:25ORLJohnson Layup (2 PTS) (Pietrus 2 AST)20
57.9%
21
42.1%
Q1 - 1:29MIAHead Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)18
54.8%
21
45.2%
Q1 - 1:48MIAHEAT Rebound18
53.2%
21
46.8%
Q1 - 1:49ORLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)18
53.7%
21
46.3%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMoon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)18
54.8%
21
45.2%
Q1 - 2:12MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
60.1%
18
39.9%
Q1 - 2:13ORLMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
60.7%
18
39.3%
Q1 - 2:37MIAWade Layup (8 PTS)18
61.9%
18
38.1%
Q1 - 2:40ORLWade STEAL (1 STL)18
64.5%
16
35.5%
Q1 - 2:44ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
66.2%
16
33.8%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper18
65.7%
16
34.3%
Q1 - 3:12ORLAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST)18
64.5%
16
35.5%
Q1 - 3:23ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
60.2%
16
39.8%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper15
59.5%
16
40.5%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
58.0%
16
42.0%
Q1 - 3:42ORLMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 215
58.3%
16
41.7%
Q1 - 3:42ORLMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 215
59.7%
16
40.3%
Q1 - 3:48ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
60.2%
16
39.8%
Q1 - 3:49MIAMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot15
59.5%
16
40.5%
Q1 - 4:07ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)15
58.0%
16
42.0%
Q1 - 4:16ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
53.7%
16
46.3%
Q1 - 4:17MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot12
53.0%
16
47.0%
Q1 - 4:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
51.4%
16
48.6%
Q1 - 4:27ORLMISS Turkoglu 9' Running Jump Shot12
52.1%
16
47.9%
Q1 - 4:41MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T2)12
53.7%
16
46.3%
Q1 - 4:58ORLHoward 3' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)12
51.4%
16
48.6%
Q1 - 5:14MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)10
49.4%
16
50.6%
Q1 - 5:30ORLLewis 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
51.2%
14
48.8%
Q1 - 5:43ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
49.4%
14
50.6%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot8
48.6%
14
51.4%
Q1 - 6:02ORLPietrus Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)8
47.5%
14
52.5%
Q1 - 6:14ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
49.6%
14
50.4%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS Haslem 9' Turnaround Jump Shot8
49.0%
14
51.0%
Q1 - 6:29ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)8
47.4%
14
52.6%
Q1 - 6:41MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)8
49.6%
14
50.4%
Q1 - 6:56ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T3)8
51.6%
12
48.4%
Q1 - 7:05MIAO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)8
54.1%
12
45.9%
Q1 - 7:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
55.9%
10
44.1%
Q1 - 7:23ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot8
56.6%
10
43.4%
Q1 - 7:40MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
58.2%
10
41.8%
Q1 - 7:52ORLLee Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
60.1%
8
39.9%
Q1 - 8:02ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
62.3%
8
37.7%
Q1 - 8:03MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot8
61.7%
8
38.3%
Q1 - 8:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
60.3%
8
39.7%
Q1 - 8:09ORLMISS Alston 3' Jump Shot8
60.9%
8
39.1%
Q1 - 8:10ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
62.3%
8
37.7%
Q1 - 8:11ORLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)8
60.9%
8
39.1%
Q1 - 8:27MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
62.3%
8
37.7%
Q1 - 8:44ORLLewis Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
64.3%
6
35.7%
Q1 - 9:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
62.6%
6
37.4%
Q1 - 9:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 26
63.0%
5
37.0%
Q1 - 9:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
62.8%
5
37.2%
Q1 - 9:26ORLMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
63.3%
5
36.7%
Q1 - 9:35ORLMagic Rebound6
64.5%
5
35.5%
Q1 - 9:36ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot6
63.3%
5
36.7%
Q1 - 9:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
64.5%
5
35.5%
Q1 - 9:49MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot6
64.0%
5
36.0%
Q1 - 10:07ORLAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
62.6%
5
37.4%
Q1 - 10:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
64.4%
5
35.6%
Q1 - 10:37ORLAlston 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
67.6%
2
32.4%
Q1 - 10:51MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
66.1%
2
33.9%
Q1 - 11:09ORLLee Layup (2 PTS)4
64.1%
2
35.9%
Q1 - 11:10ORLLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
62.6%
2
37.4%
Q1 - 11:11ORLMISS Lee 8' Running Hook Shot2
61.5%
2
38.5%
Q1 - 11:25MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
62.6%
2
37.4%
Q1 - 11:41ORLHoward Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)2
64.1%
0
35.9%
Q1 - 11:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
62.6%
0
37.4%
Q1 - 11:44ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot0
61.5%
0
38.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Howard: Tip to Alston0
62.6%
0
37.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.22 60.8%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
18
26
69%
MIA
18
23
78%
Midrange
ORL
7
24
29%
MIA
17
51
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
10
15.0
19
53%
79%
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
ORL
21
27
78%
MIA
13
21
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2273%11.0 / 15
R. Lewis2188%10.5 / 12
H. Turkoglu1662%8.0 / 13
R. Alston1343%6.5 / 15
C. Lee1071%5.0 / 7
M. Pietrus857%4.0 / 7
J. Redick550%2.5 / 5
M. Gortat450%2.0 / 4
A. Johnson250%1.0 / 2
T. Battie0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4253%21.0 / 40
M. Chalmers1354%6.5 / 12
J. O'Neal1050%5.0 / 10
J. Magloire964%4.5 / 7
U. Haslem643%3.0 / 7
M. Beasley650%3.0 / 6
D. Cook429%2.0 / 7
J. Moon375%1.5 / 2
J. Jones250%1.0 / 2
L. Head0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
73
+10
-21
83
MIA
84
+12
-9
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.22 60.8%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
107.6
ORL 107.4 +5.3
MIA 102.2
Pace
92.5
90.2
ORL 101.3 +14.6
MIA 86.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.3
ORL 14.2 +2.4
MIA 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
50.0%
ORL 58.0% +10.3%
MIA 47.7%
TO %
14.6%
13.1%
ORL 20.6%
MIA 8.6% +12.0%
ORB %
24.1%
24.6%
ORL 22.6% +0.4%
MIA 22.2%
FTrt
35.1
28.2
ORL 39.1 +14.7
MIA 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
55.1%
ORL 57.1% +8.4%
MIA 48.7%
STL %
7.5%
8.7%
ORL 4.3%
MIA 10.8% +6.5%
BLK %
8.0%
9.2%
ORL 2.7%
MIA 14.0% +11.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
52.6%
ORL 60.8% +11.8%
MIA 49.0%
Rim FG%
60.9%
59.5%
ORL 69.2%
MIA 78.3% +9.1%
Mid FG%
39.3%
41.8%
ORL 29.2%
MIA 33.3% +4.1%
3P %
38.1%
35.7%
ORL 52.6% +19.3%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
71.5%
75.4%
ORL 77.8% +15.9%
MIA 61.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
30.3%
ORL 37.7% +10.9%
MIA 26.7%
Mid Att. %
35.2%
45.2%
ORL 34.8% +24.5%
MIA 59.3%
3P Att. %
33.5%
24.5%
ORL 27.5% +13.6%
MIA 14.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points10195
Rebounds4234
Assists2019
Steals410
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)24 (2)
Field Goals35-6939-86
At-the-Rim FG18-2618-23
Midrange FG7-2417-51
2-Point FG25-5035-74
3-Point FG10-194-12
Free Throws21-2713-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 23
41.2
22
73%
18
1
0
1
5
4
4
14
6-9
67%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 30
38.0
16
62%
4
5
0
0
4
1
0
4
6-7
86%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 30
36.8
21
88%
4
0
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
5-6
83%
G · 6'2" 175 · 33
35.6
13
43%
7
5
1
0
3
3
1
6
4-6
67%
3-8
38%
1-4
25%
G · 6'5" 200 · 23
16.0
10
71%
2
1
0
0
1
6
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
F · 6'6" 215 · 27
31.4
8
57%
3
4
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 195 · 34
12.3
2
50%
0
4
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 33
11.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
10.6
5
50%
0
0
1
0
2
2
0
0
5-5
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
6.8
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 32
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25
#14 · G · 6'0" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · C · 6'10" 270 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
61%
42
20
4
2
21
0
7
35
21-27
78%
25-50
50%
10-19
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.