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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Bucks42%96107
21Nets58%9978
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.1
32.4
27.5
5
28%
4
4
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
1-5
20%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.6
30.6
23.6
20
58%
3
2
1
1
1
2
0
3
2-3
67%
6-11
5-9
55%
50%
2-5
40%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.8
29.4
34.1
29
88%
10
2
0
1
0
1
0
10
9-10
90%
4-7
6-13
57%
48%
4-5
80%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.0
28.1
31.9
13
48%
7
8
1
1
0
2
1
6
5-6
83%
4-11
5-11
36%
48%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.2
12.6
20.9
2
100%
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
50%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
27.7
16.8
16
61%
2
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-5
40%
4-8
2-5
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.1
25.0
12.0
7
58%
3
4
4
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.1
17.3
19.1
4
67%
3
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
17.0
25.2
9
44%
6
2
1
1
0
1
3
3
1-3
33%
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.8
9.1
5.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.6
6.1
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.9
4.7
14.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.9
29.9
16.9
6
44%
3
0
4
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.1
25.8
29.9
10
37%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
4-6
67%
3-10
5-9
30%
50%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.2
25.6
36.8
9
35%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
3-8
6-13
38%
48%
0-3
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.0
25.0
32.8
10
53%
10
0
0
1
0
2
3
7
4-8
50%
3-6
6-11
50%
54%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.1
14.7
28.1
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.2
25.5
11.5
14
59%
3
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
5-9
1-3
56%
50%
1-2
50%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.6
19.8
25.9
4
33%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
48%
0-4
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.4
19.4
15.3
11
72%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
5-6
83%
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.4
16.9
13.7
2
100%
6
1
0
0
3
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 25.1
16.6
2.1
7
51%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-5
0-1
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.9
14.7
26.9
2
35%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
6.1
4.8
3
61%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.8
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.