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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies31%99114
22Warriors69%106109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.4
42.0
30.5
24
61%
3
10
2
1
0
3
0
3
6-8
75%
6-10
4-9
60%
48%
2-6
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
41.4
34.9
21
50%
5
2
2
1
5
4
1
4
5-7
71%
8-16
6-13
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.5
35.9
33.7
21
59%
6
6
4
1
0
2
1
5
4-4
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
3-7
43%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.2
26.6
31.7
14
74%
4
3
1
1
0
4
1
3
6-8
75%
4-6
5-9
67%
54%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
13.0
16.3
0
0%
7
0
1
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.7
19.8
22.1
16
85%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-1
0%
8-9
4-8
89%
52%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.9
18.3
17.1
2
35%
2
0
0
1
2
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-2
0%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.3
12.1
12.4
5
36%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.8
10.8
12.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.5
10.4
14.6
1
27%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.9
9.8
7.2
10
89%
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
6
4-6
67%
3-3
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
3.6
0
1-1
48%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.9
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.4
42.9
34.2
29
46%
3
5
1
1
0
5
1
2
5-5
100%
12-27
8-14
44%
53%
0-2
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.0
40.4
25.7
26
54%
5
4
3
1
2
0
0
5
5-5
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
5-14
36%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.7
38.1
24.7
8
82%
12
2
0
1
3
2
3
9
2-2
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
51%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
31.9
33.9
14
66%
4
0
0
1
1
3
1
3
6-6
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.2
28.8
22.0
8
40%
9
2
1
0
2
1
4
5
0-0
-
4-10
2-4
40%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
34.6
28.8
10
50%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
2-5
40%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 24.1
12.4
9.0
7
70%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
1-2
50%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
11.0
21.4
7
72%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.0
21.0
1
3-6
47%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
13.5
0
3-5
56%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.4
12.1
0
2-4
51%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
6.5
0
1-1
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.0
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.