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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 31, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pistons23%8573
3Cavaliers77%9579
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.1
34
26
13
6
2
2
1
0
4
0
6
5-5
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
46%
0-3
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.1
33
35
8
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-7
5-11
29%
45%
1-3
33%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.6
28
35
6
10
0
1
1
0
1
4
6
0-0
-
3-9
5-11
33%
49%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.9
27
28
6
7
1
1
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
3-11
4-10
27%
44%
0-3
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.1
22
24
6
9
0
0
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
51%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.5
27
8
9
9
1
0
0
1
1
1
8
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
3-6
50%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.2
20
23
8
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.1
19
22
6
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
3
2-4
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.8
18
18
11
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-3
33%
5-8
3-7
63%
44%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
13
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
15
0
1-2
43%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.9
11
0
1-2
55%
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.2
41
33
25
12
3
3
1
1
1
1
11
7-8
88%
9-22
7-13
41%
54%
0-2
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.3
40
33
11
3
5
0
1
2
0
1
2
2-3
67%
3-9
4-8
33%
51%
1-5
20%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
37
29
11
7
1
2
1
1
1
1
6
3-4
75%
4-5
3-6
80%
53%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.7
36
31
12
3
6
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-1
0%
6-9
3-6
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.8
26
26
4
6
1
0
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-10
5-10
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.7
26
22
4
7
0
0
0
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.1
21
23
8
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
2-3
67%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.1
11
14
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.4
2
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.4
15
0
1-2
45%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.6
5
0
1-1
53%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.0
3
0
0-1
50%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.6
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.9
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.