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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 31, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bulls47%102105
20Pacers53%103107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.0
43.9
36.8
12
32%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-12
6-12
42%
48%
0-6
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.5
39.8
31.9
24
56%
11
6
0
1
0
0
2
9
0-1
0%
12-21
6-12
57%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.2
39.1
29.6
20
68%
7
7
2
1
0
3
1
6
2-4
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
46%
2-3
67%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
30.8
32.1
20
79%
1
0
2
1
2
3
0
1
6-6
100%
7-10
5-11
70%
46%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
19.9
26.4
4
53%
7
2
0
1
1
2
1
6
4-4
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
54%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.0
37.0
27.7
14
59%
5
8
2
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.1
29.6
9.1
11
80%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
1-1
100%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.3
34.3
1
4-9
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.3
2.6
0
0-1
52%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.3
2.3
0
0-0
41%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.1
2.2
0
0-0
46%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.4
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
44.4
35.2
10
46%
6
8
4
1
1
5
1
5
4-4
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
50%
0-2
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
36.9
33.6
11
69%
3
0
0
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.9
36.8
11.1
15
45%
12
2
1
0
0
2
3
9
4-6
67%
4-10
1-2
40%
50%
1-4
25%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.9
36.7
37.2
31
72%
4
1
1
1
2
3
2
2
5-6
83%
7-9
6-12
78%
48%
4-10
40%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.3
16.9
17.0
6
30%
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-10
4-7
30%
52%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.0
38.9
30.9
22
69%
4
9
1
1
2
1
0
4
2-2
100%
10-14
5-11
71%
48%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.1
18.3
3.2
10
68%
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
2-3
67%
4-6
0-1
67%
52%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.8
11.2
16.5
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
53%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.2
35.1
1
3-6
53%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
10.2
0
1-3
50%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.1
8.5
0
0-1
46%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.8
4.0
0
0-1
57%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.2
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.5
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.