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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 31, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Hawks45%9485
1676ers55%9598
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.8
42.2
38.1
11
51%
2
7
0
1
0
3
2
0
4-4
100%
2-7
6-13
29%
47%
1-2
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.3
40.6
34.8
33
98%
5
1
2
1
2
4
0
5
4-4
100%
10-12
6-11
83%
50%
3-3
100%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.9
31.9
37.1
7
35%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
4-8
50%
46%
1-7
14%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.4
31.0
26.2
5
30%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-5
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
23.0
33.9
4
40%
8
0
0
1
3
3
2
6
0-0
-
2-5
5-9
40%
52%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
32.3
28.0
19
54%
5
6
3
1
0
3
2
3
8-8
100%
4-12
4-8
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.1
29.1
20.1
6
51%
8
2
0
1
0
2
3
5
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
7.4
7.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.7
1.3
4.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.8
1.3
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.1
2.2
0
0-0
49%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.2
1.8
0
0-0
47%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.9
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.2
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.2
43.4
39.8
19
58%
3
8
2
2
0
1
1
2
6-8
75%
5-8
6-11
63%
51%
1-5
20%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.0
41.5
32.7
18
50%
4
10
2
1
0
1
2
2
6-7
86%
6-13
5-10
46%
50%
0-2
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.7
31.4
22.0
15
83%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
6-7
3-6
86%
48%
1-2
50%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
30.3
18.2
6
61%
7
0
0
0
1
1
3
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.8
9.8
36.3
6
34%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
3-8
7-13
38%
54%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.7
25.4
13.0
16
54%
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
4-4
100%
6-12
3-5
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.9
20.1
17.4
8
58%
6
0
2
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.4
18.6
23.6
4
29%
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
45%
0-1
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.0
10.4
13.6
4
100%
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.3
9.2
13.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.9
4.4
0
0-1
47%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
3.1
0
0-0
42%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.