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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 31, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Thunder18%8696
5Spurs82%9895
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.5
44.5
34.0
31
69%
8
2
1
1
0
2
0
8
6-8
75%
11-17
7-14
65%
48%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
42.3
34.8
16
43%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
5-16
5-10
31%
46%
1-1
100%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.4
37.5
32.2
16
45%
3
10
2
1
0
2
2
1
4-6
67%
6-14
5-12
43%
42%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.9
29.5
28.4
2
50%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.7
24.9
22.4
16
73%
8
0
0
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
8-11
4-8
73%
47%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.6
19.0
15.2
5
51%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
17.4
26.2
2
33%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.1
16.3
19.8
6
104%
2
0
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
0-0
1-3
-
50%
2-2
100%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.4
8.7
14.7
2
35%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
38%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.8
7.7
0
1-2
44%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.2
4.5
0
0-1
41%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.3
4.5
0
0-1
50%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
36.0
28.2
21
70%
12
4
0
1
2
1
5
7
3-7
43%
9-12
7-12
75%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.9
34.8
32.1
11
56%
4
4
1
1
0
4
0
4
3-4
75%
4-7
9-17
57%
54%
0-1
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.1
34.6
28.7
14
44%
5
4
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
48%
4-10
40%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
33.0
23.2
9
64%
1
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
55%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.7
29.0
23.1
17
61%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
53%
1-5
20%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
29.4
25.7
10
44%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
1-6
17%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.6
13.7
21.4
7
70%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
13.2
6.5
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
9.1
17.3
4
33%
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
7.2
19.0
2
100%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.9
11.7
0
1-3
47%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.8
10.9
0
0-1
44%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.0
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.