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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 31, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Jazz38%96104
8Trail Blazers62%100125
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.8
35.6
37.1
16
50%
2
8
0
1
0
1
0
2
7-7
100%
3-10
6-12
30%
51%
1-3
33%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.8
31.4
26.4
6
34%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
0-4
4-8
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.0
28.1
33.5
14
62%
6
4
1
2
0
0
1
5
1-3
33%
5-8
5-9
63%
55%
1-2
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.4
24.2
34.3
20
83%
3
1
0
1
0
6
2
1
0-0
-
10-12
7-13
83%
52%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
15.3
17.8
6
52%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.0
31.0
22.8
12
77%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.1
24.9
19.5
12
44%
7
3
2
1
1
2
5
2
4-4
100%
4-12
2-5
33%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.1
24.2
26.6
9
61%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-3
33%
4-6
4-8
67%
52%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.4
11.7
9.3
4
67%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.8
6.9
9.7
5
87%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.3
3.9
3.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.8
2.6
2.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.3
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.7
38.4
33.6
25
77%
6
11
2
1
1
2
1
5
3-5
60%
8-11
6-13
73%
51%
2-3
67%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.3
35.4
17.0
17
85%
5
2
1
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
53%
3-5
60%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.7
34.5
35.5
26
70%
5
2
0
1
1
1
1
4
6-6
100%
10-16
7-15
63%
50%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.1
29.2
31.2
10
102%
0
9
2
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
2-2
100%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.5
25.3
25.3
1
27%
9
1
2
0
1
1
1
8
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
59%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.5
26.4
26.2
17
58%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
5-11
4-7
45%
48%
1-2
50%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.8
18.8
14.1
8
50%
1
4
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
2-6
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.9
12.1
7.1
4
100%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.2
11.3
18.8
12
73%
8
0
0
0
2
1
4
4
4-5
80%
4-6
3-5
67%
56%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.6
3.3
5.4
5
102%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32.2
2.6
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.3
2.6
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.0
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.