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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 1, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bobcats27%86109
5Celtics73%94111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.8
49.0
37.2
14
35%
4
12
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
7-19
4-10
37%
42%
0-1
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.5
48.8
33.4
12
42%
4
5
3
1
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
43%
1-4
25%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.5
42.9
31.8
12
60%
10
3
2
1
2
3
4
6
0-0
-
6-10
5-9
60%
52%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.0
41.6
36.5
17
65%
7
8
1
1
0
4
3
4
0-0
-
4-9
5-9
44%
50%
3-4
75%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.7
36.9
38.1
20
51%
10
0
4
2
1
1
4
6
4-4
100%
8-16
5-9
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
20.5
15.7
10
71%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
2-3
67%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.4
18.5
20.2
14
70%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
42%
4-4
100%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.2
14.9
11.0
4
41%
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0-2
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.1
12.0
4.5
6
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
4
0
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
5.0
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.0
3.0
0
0-1
44%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.6
2.9
0
0-1
46%
Dontell Jefferson
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.3
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.9
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.4
48.4
29.0
4
67%
12
3
0
0
5
7
5
7
0-0
-
2-3
4-6
67%
60%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.5
47.2
36.1
32
63%
6
4
2
1
2
3
1
5
11-12
92%
9-14
6-11
64%
50%
1-6
17%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.7
46.3
29.4
22
53%
4
2
3
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
52%
5-13
38%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.1
43.8
29.6
21
59%
4
9
4
2
0
5
0
4
2-4
50%
8-13
5-9
62%
52%
1-3
33%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.2
39.5
32.1
5
38%
8
1
0
1
0
2
4
4
3-6
50%
1-4
5-9
25%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.9
32.1
20.3
18
90%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
46%
4-7
57%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 32.1
17.4
17.1
5
87%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.4
12.8
23.0
4
100%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
57%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.5
2.6
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.2
15.9
1
2-4
52%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
8.7
0
2-4
54%
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 23.0
3.3
0
0-1
46%
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.2
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.