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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 1, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers66%102104
24Bucks34%9798
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.7
42.9
39.4
15
59%
6
2
2
1
2
2
1
5
5-6
83%
5-10
8-14
50%
55%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.6
38.7
35.5
30
65%
8
4
3
1
0
4
1
7
9-9
100%
9-17
8-16
53%
50%
1-2
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.4
38.4
34.2
20
53%
10
2
1
1
0
5
4
6
6-9
67%
7-14
5-9
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.6
21.9
29.6
4
34%
2
1
3
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.8
20.2
28.2
12
68%
2
0
2
2
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
3-4
3-6
75%
53%
1-3
33%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.3
26.1
14.2
5
42%
1
0
1
1
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.1
23.3
15.8
14
124%
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
5
6-6
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
2-2
100%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.0
13.8
19.0
0
0%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.2
9.6
12.0
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.3
5.1
5.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.3
4.5
0
1-1
46%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.7
3.3
0
0-1
40%
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.4
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.8
43.0
31.5
29
73%
2
4
2
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
7-12
6-12
58%
47%
4-6
67%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.6
39.5
26.0
13
33%
7
1
1
1
1
2
0
7
0-0
-
5-14
5-10
36%
49%
1-6
17%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.0
35.2
29.8
16
48%
10
16
2
1
0
4
3
7
4-4
100%
6-14
5-11
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.1
28.2
28.8
5
31%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
1-4
25%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.2
19.1
17.7
14
83%
5
0
1
1
0
1
3
2
0-1
0%
7-8
2-5
88%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
22.9
20.9
9
45%
3
1
2
0
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
20.3
21.9
6
75%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.1
19.1
18.2
6
60%
5
1
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.1
12.8
17.2
0
0%
1
5
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.9
11.2
0
0-1
45%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.8
7.4
0
1-2
45%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.6
6.8
0
0-1
38%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.