FinalWin Prob.pScore
1440%94
96
1060%97
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
111.68684.8
DAL logo DAL
112.68789.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound96
1.7%
98
98.3%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot96
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)96
1.7%
98
98.3%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P3.T10)96
5.7%
97
94.3%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
39.6%
97
60.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
30.1%
97
69.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)96
20.0%
97
80.0%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)95
17.5%
97
82.5%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
14.8%
97
85.2%
Q4 - 0:55.0DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot94
12.8%
97
87.2%
Q4 - 1:14DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)94
10.8%
97
89.2%
Q4 - 1:16MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot94
13.1%
97
86.9%
Q4 - 1:32DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)94
21.0%
97
79.0%
Q4 - 1:32DALMAVERICKS Rebound94
12.6%
97
87.4%
Q4 - 1:33DALMISS Nowitzki 29' 3PT Jump Shot94
18.1%
97
81.9%
Q4 - 1:56DALBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)94
13.9%
97
86.1%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup94
16.0%
97
84.0%
Q4 - 2:14DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)94
23.6%
97
76.4%
Q4 - 2:14DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)94
24.5%
96
75.5%
Q4 - 2:34DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)94
29.2%
95
70.8%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 294
31.3%
95
68.7%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 294
38.5%
95
61.5%
Q4 - 2:35MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)94
46.1%
95
53.9%
Q4 - 2:36MIABass BLOCK (1 BLK)94
34.0%
95
66.0%
Q4 - 2:50DALNowitzki Driving Layup (28 PTS)94
46.3%
95
53.7%
Q4 - 3:16MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)94
52.8%
93
47.2%
Q4 - 3:38MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
34.4%
93
65.6%
Q4 - 3:40DALMISS Terry 9' Jump Shot91
31.6%
93
68.4%
Q4 - 3:50MIAHoward STEAL (3 STL)91
25.6%
93
74.4%
Q4 - 4:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)91
34.1%
93
65.9%
Q4 - 4:14DALMISS Kidd 3PT Jump Shot91
31.3%
93
68.7%
Q4 - 4:21DALBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)91
25.3%
93
74.7%
Q4 - 4:23DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
31.2%
93
68.8%
Q4 - 4:34MIAHoward STEAL (2 STL)91
25.2%
93
74.8%
Q4 - 4:53DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)91
34.0%
93
66.0%
Q4 - 4:59DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)91
52.4%
90
47.6%
Q4 - 5:03MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot91
53.8%
90
46.2%
Q4 - 5:27DALKidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)91
60.0%
90
40.0%
Q4 - 5:42MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS)91
74.5%
87
25.5%
Q4 - 5:54DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
67.9%
87
32.1%
Q4 - 5:54DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)89
69.2%
86
30.8%
Q4 - 6:01DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
71.5%
85
28.5%
Q4 - 6:02MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot89
73.4%
85
26.6%
Q4 - 6:25MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
77.6%
85
22.4%
Q4 - 6:27DALMISS Barea 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
75.9%
85
24.1%
Q4 - 6:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)89
71.7%
85
28.3%
Q4 - 6:52MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
58.3%
85
41.7%
Q4 - 6:54DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
55.9%
85
44.1%
Q4 - 6:59DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
50.4%
85
49.6%
Q4 - 7:01DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot86
54.5%
85
45.5%
Q4 - 7:19MIACook 5' Turnaround Bank Shot (10 PTS)86
49.3%
85
50.7%
Q4 - 7:42DALBarea Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Kidd 11 AST)84
42.9%
85
57.1%
Q4 - 7:44DALMAVERICKS Rebound84
49.4%
83
50.6%
Q4 - 7:44DALMISS Wright Driving Layup84
54.6%
83
45.4%
Q4 - 8:08MIAWade Driving Reverse Layup (18 PTS)84
49.3%
83
50.7%
Q4 - 8:30DALBarea 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS)82
42.6%
83
57.4%
Q4 - 8:50MIAChalmers Free Throw 3 of 3 (18 PTS)82
49.3%
81
50.7%
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 381
48.0%
81
52.0%
Q4 - 8:50MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 3 (17 PTS)81
53.0%
81
47.0%
Q4 - 9:13DALBarea Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)80
42.7%
81
57.3%
Q4 - 9:20DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
37.2%
81
62.8%
Q4 - 9:22MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot80
38.8%
81
61.2%
Q4 - 9:32DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)80
42.7%
81
57.3%
Q4 - 9:46MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)80
37.2%
81
62.8%
Q4 - 9:58DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)80
42.7%
81
57.3%
Q4 - 9:58DALBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
43.4%
80
56.6%
Q4 - 10:10MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)80
48.3%
79
51.7%
Q4 - 10:10MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)79
47.1%
79
52.9%
Q4 - 10:22DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Barea 3 AST)78
42.5%
79
57.5%
Q4 - 10:28DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
54.0%
76
46.0%
Q4 - 10:30MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
59.4%
76
40.6%
Q4 - 10:30MIAMISS Chalmers Layup78
55.6%
76
44.4%
Q4 - 10:32MIAMISS Beasley 6' Jump Shot78
55.7%
76
44.3%
Q4 - 10:49DALWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)78
59.5%
76
40.5%
Q4 - 11:01MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)78
68.4%
73
31.6%
Q4 - 11:20DALBass Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)75
58.2%
73
41.8%
Q4 - 11:47MIABeasley 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS)75
63.7%
71
36.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA73
58.3%
71
41.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound73
58.3%
71
41.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cook 56' 3PT Jump Shot73
54.8%
71
45.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
57.1%
71
42.9%
Q3 - 0:07.0DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot73
55.8%
71
44.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
52.7%
71
47.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot73
54.1%
71
45.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)73
57.2%
71
42.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)73
67.3%
68
32.7%
Q3 - 1:10DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)71
61.1%
68
38.9%
Q3 - 1:10DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)71
61.6%
67
38.4%
Q3 - 1:27MIAHoward STEAL (1 STL)71
66.1%
66
33.9%
Q3 - 1:45DALBass Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Kidd 10 AST)71
70.0%
66
30.0%
Q3 - 2:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)71
72.5%
64
27.5%
Q3 - 2:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 270
71.8%
64
28.2%
Q3 - 2:11DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)70
72.5%
64
27.5%
Q3 - 2:11DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)70
73.2%
63
26.8%
Q3 - 2:31MIABeasley 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)70
76.2%
62
23.8%
Q3 - 2:52DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)68
72.7%
62
27.3%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)68
74.7%
60
25.3%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMoon Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)67
74.2%
60
25.8%
Q3 - 3:13DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)66
71.5%
60
28.5%
Q3 - 3:23DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
67.4%
60
32.6%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot66
68.7%
60
31.3%
Q3 - 3:39DALBass Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)66
71.5%
60
28.5%
Q3 - 3:45DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
74.8%
58
25.2%
Q3 - 3:47MIAHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)66
75.9%
58
24.1%
Q3 - 4:08DALTerry 6' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
77.4%
58
22.6%
Q3 - 4:19MIAWade Driving Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Moon 2 AST)66
79.8%
56
20.2%
Q3 - 4:38DALNowitzki 10' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)64
77.4%
56
22.6%
Q3 - 5:00MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)64
79.9%
54
20.1%
Q3 - 5:15DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)62
75.8%
54
24.2%
Q3 - 5:36MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
81.2%
51
18.8%
Q3 - 5:36MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
80.6%
51
19.4%
Q3 - 5:56DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)60
78.9%
51
21.1%
Q3 - 5:56DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 260
79.8%
50
20.2%
Q3 - 6:05MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
77.3%
50
22.7%
Q3 - 6:05MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
76.8%
50
23.2%
Q3 - 6:26DALNowitzki 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)58
74.6%
50
25.4%
Q3 - 6:46MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
77.4%
48
22.6%
Q3 - 6:46MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 257
76.8%
48
23.2%
Q3 - 6:59MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
77.6%
48
22.4%
Q3 - 7:02DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Turnaround Jump Shot57
75.0%
48
25.0%
Q3 - 7:13DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
72.9%
48
27.1%
Q3 - 7:15MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot57
73.9%
48
26.1%
Q3 - 7:34DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)57
76.0%
48
24.0%
Q3 - 7:52MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)57
73.0%
48
27.0%
Q3 - 8:06DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)55
69.2%
48
30.8%
Q3 - 8:09DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
65.6%
48
34.4%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot55
66.7%
48
33.3%
Q3 - 8:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
69.2%
48
30.8%
Q3 - 8:25DALMISS Wright 14' Jump Shot55
68.1%
48
31.9%
Q3 - 8:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)55
65.6%
48
34.4%
Q3 - 8:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)54
65.0%
48
35.0%
Q3 - 8:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
62.4%
48
37.6%
Q3 - 8:49DALMISS Howard 22' Jump Shot53
61.3%
48
38.7%
Q3 - 9:05MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)53
58.2%
48
41.8%
Q3 - 9:22DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
54.6%
48
45.4%
Q3 - 9:22DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)51
55.3%
47
44.7%
Q3 - 9:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
58.2%
46
41.8%
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Turnaround Jump Shot51
59.3%
46
40.7%
Q3 - 9:55DALDampier Foul Turnover (P1.T6)51
61.9%
46
38.1%
Q3 - 10:13MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
57.4%
46
42.6%
Q3 - 10:13MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 250
56.7%
46
43.3%
Q3 - 10:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)50
57.5%
46
42.5%
Q3 - 10:35DALMISS Howard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot50
56.4%
46
43.6%
Q3 - 10:52DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
54.0%
46
46.0%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup50
55.0%
46
45.0%
Q3 - 11:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
57.0%
46
43.0%
Q3 - 11:06DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
55.9%
46
44.1%
Q3 - 11:28MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)50
53.4%
46
46.6%
Q3 - 11:34MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
46.7%
46
53.3%
Q3 - 11:37DALMISS Wright 12' Jump Shot47
45.5%
46
54.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
43.0%
46
57.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
46.7%
46
53.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot47
45.2%
46
54.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
43.5%
46
56.5%
Q2 - 0:09.0DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot47
45.2%
46
54.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)47
43.5%
46
56.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAO'Neal Putback Layup (9 PTS)47
43.5%
46
56.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade Layup45
37.7%
46
62.3%
Q2 - 0:44.0DALNowitzki 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)45
39.4%
46
60.6%
Q2 - 1:07MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)45
43.4%
44
56.6%
Q2 - 1:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
36.3%
44
63.7%
Q2 - 1:15DALMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot42
35.6%
44
64.4%
Q2 - 1:21DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
34.1%
44
65.9%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot42
34.7%
44
65.3%
Q2 - 1:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
36.2%
44
63.8%
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot42
34.7%
44
65.3%
Q2 - 2:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
36.6%
44
63.4%
Q2 - 2:07DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
35.6%
44
64.4%
Q2 - 2:10DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
33.6%
44
66.4%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot42
34.5%
44
65.5%
Q2 - 2:19DALKidd Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)42
36.6%
44
63.4%
Q2 - 2:33DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
33.6%
44
66.4%
Q2 - 2:35DALMISS Bass 15' Jump Shot42
35.6%
44
64.4%
Q2 - 2:50DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
33.6%
44
66.4%
Q2 - 2:51MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 242
34.0%
44
66.0%
Q2 - 2:51MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
35.9%
44
64.1%
Q2 - 3:09MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
33.9%
44
66.1%
Q2 - 3:11DALMISS Dampier 9' Jump Shot41
32.9%
44
67.1%
Q2 - 3:22DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
30.7%
44
69.3%
Q2 - 3:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
33.9%
44
66.1%
Q2 - 3:23MIAMISS O'Neal Putback Layup41
31.6%
44
68.4%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS O'Neal Layup41
31.6%
44
68.4%
Q2 - 3:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
33.9%
44
66.1%
Q2 - 3:37DALMISS Terry 9' Jump Shot41
32.9%
44
67.1%
Q2 - 3:43DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
30.7%
44
69.3%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
31.6%
44
68.4%
Q2 - 4:01MIAHeat Rebound41
33.7%
44
66.3%
Q2 - 4:03DALMISS Bass 19' Jump Shot41
32.8%
44
67.2%
Q2 - 4:22DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
30.8%
44
69.2%
Q2 - 4:23MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot41
31.7%
44
68.3%
Q2 - 4:51DALWright 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)41
33.7%
44
66.3%
Q2 - 5:07DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
39.4%
41
60.6%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot41
40.2%
41
59.8%
Q2 - 5:24MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
42.1%
41
57.9%
Q2 - 5:26DALMISS Dampier Driving Layup41
41.3%
41
58.7%
Q2 - 5:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
39.3%
41
60.7%
Q2 - 5:34MIAWade Putback Dunk (9 PTS)41
39.3%
41
60.7%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot39
34.6%
41
65.4%
Q2 - 5:42MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
36.5%
41
63.5%
Q2 - 5:44MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
34.6%
41
65.4%
Q2 - 5:59DALBass 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)39
36.5%
41
63.5%
Q2 - 6:14MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
38.9%
39
61.1%
Q2 - 6:14MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
38.4%
39
61.6%
Q2 - 6:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
36.7%
39
63.3%
Q2 - 6:28DALMISS Nowitzki 6' Turnaround Jump Shot37
35.8%
39
64.2%
Q2 - 6:47MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
33.6%
39
66.4%
Q2 - 6:47MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
33.2%
39
66.8%
Q2 - 7:08DALNowitzki 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)35
31.4%
39
68.6%
Q2 - 7:19DALMAVERICKS Rebound35
33.8%
37
66.2%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
34.6%
37
65.4%
Q2 - 7:27DALBarea Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
36.5%
37
63.5%
Q2 - 7:41MIAO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)35
33.8%
37
66.2%
Q2 - 7:54DALHollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
31.4%
37
68.6%
Q2 - 7:54DALHollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
32.2%
36
67.8%
Q2 - 7:54DALHollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
33.8%
35
66.2%
Q2 - 7:54DALMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot33
35.6%
35
64.4%
Q2 - 8:19MIAChalmers 6' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
33.9%
35
66.1%
Q2 - 8:44DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)31
31.5%
35
68.5%
Q2 - 8:44DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)31
31.7%
34
68.3%
Q2 - 9:10MIACook 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)31
33.7%
33
66.3%
Q2 - 9:25MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot29
29.8%
33
70.2%
Q2 - 9:54DALBarea 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)29
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q2 - 10:04DALHollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
33.9%
31
66.1%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot29
34.6%
31
65.4%
Q2 - 10:33DALTerry Running Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)29
36.3%
31
63.7%
Q2 - 10:48MIABeasley 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
38.7%
29
61.3%
Q2 - 11:08DALBarea 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)27
36.3%
29
63.7%
Q2 - 11:32MIAWright STEAL (1 STL)27
41.1%
26
58.9%
Q2 - 11:35MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
43.7%
26
56.3%
Q2 - 11:38DALMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot27
42.9%
26
57.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
41.1%
26
58.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound27
43.7%
26
56.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Terry 32' 3PT Jump Shot27
42.9%
26
57.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIATerry STEAL (2 STL)27
41.1%
26
58.9%
Q1 - 0:23.0DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)27
42.9%
26
57.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIABeasley 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)27
41.1%
26
58.9%
Q1 - 0:50.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
38.2%
26
61.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
38.4%
25
61.6%
Q1 - 1:11MIAMagloire Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)25
41.1%
24
58.9%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
38.1%
24
61.9%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot23
37.1%
24
62.9%
Q1 - 1:35DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Singleton 1 AST)23
38.1%
24
61.9%
Q1 - 1:39DALSingleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
43.4%
21
56.6%
Q1 - 1:41DALMISS Singleton 3PT Jump Shot23
44.5%
21
55.5%
Q1 - 1:58DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
43.4%
21
56.6%
Q1 - 1:59MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup23
43.9%
21
56.1%
Q1 - 2:13MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
45.0%
21
55.0%
Q1 - 2:16DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
44.4%
21
55.6%
Q1 - 2:25MIAKidd STEAL (1 STL)23
43.1%
21
56.9%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
45.0%
21
55.0%
Q1 - 2:42DALMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot23
44.4%
21
55.6%
Q1 - 2:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)23
43.2%
21
56.8%
Q1 - 2:58MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
38.3%
21
61.7%
Q1 - 3:00DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
37.8%
21
62.2%
Q1 - 3:17MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)20
36.3%
21
63.7%
Q1 - 3:23DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
32.2%
21
67.8%
Q1 - 3:36DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
30.3%
21
69.7%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot17
30.8%
21
69.2%
Q1 - 3:51MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
32.2%
21
67.8%
Q1 - 3:53DALMISS Howard Driving Layup17
31.6%
21
68.4%
Q1 - 4:09MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)17
30.2%
21
69.8%
Q1 - 4:30DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)17
32.2%
21
67.8%
Q1 - 4:42MIATerry STEAL (1 STL)17
36.1%
18
63.9%
Q1 - 4:59DALHoward 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
38.3%
18
61.7%
Q1 - 5:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
40.1%
16
59.9%
Q1 - 5:22MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)17
40.8%
16
59.2%
Q1 - 5:40DALHoward 9' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
42.4%
16
57.6%
Q1 - 5:52DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
44.3%
14
55.7%
Q1 - 5:52MIADampier BLOCK (2 BLK)17
45.0%
14
55.0%
Q1 - 5:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
46.7%
14
53.3%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
45.0%
14
55.0%
Q1 - 6:12DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
46.2%
14
53.8%
Q1 - 6:12DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
46.4%
13
53.6%
Q1 - 6:28MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)17
48.3%
12
51.7%
Q1 - 6:53DALDampier Layup (4 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)15
46.3%
12
53.7%
Q1 - 7:18MIAMoon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)15
48.0%
10
52.0%
Q1 - 7:41DALHoward Layup (4 PTS)12
44.0%
10
56.0%
Q1 - 8:02MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
45.9%
8
54.1%
Q1 - 8:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
41.7%
8
58.3%
Q1 - 8:12DALMISS Wright Driving Reverse Layup9
41.1%
8
58.9%
Q1 - 8:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
39.7%
8
60.3%
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot9
40.3%
8
59.7%
Q1 - 8:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
41.7%
8
58.3%
Q1 - 8:30DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot9
41.1%
8
58.9%
Q1 - 8:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
39.7%
8
60.3%
Q1 - 8:34DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 19
41.4%
8
58.6%
Q1 - 8:40DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
43.8%
6
56.2%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot9
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 9:01DALNowitzki 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
45.5%
6
54.5%
Q1 - 9:18MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)9
47.7%
4
52.3%
Q1 - 9:23MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
43.6%
4
56.4%
Q1 - 9:25DALMISS Howard Driving Layup6
43.0%
4
57.0%
Q1 - 9:38MIAWade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)6
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 9:54DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 10:03DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
37.8%
4
62.2%
Q1 - 10:05MIADampier BLOCK (1 BLK)4
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 10:25DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)4
39.6%
4
60.4%
Q1 - 10:41MIAWade Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)4
41.3%
2
58.7%
Q1 - 10:54MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 10:57DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot2
39.1%
2
60.9%
Q1 - 11:13MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 11:35DALHoward 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 11:42DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 11:45MIAMISS Moon 5' Turnaround Jump Shot0
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. O'Neal: Tip to Chalmers0
39.2%
0
60.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.7%
DAL
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
24
42%
DAL
7
12
58%
Midrange
MIA
15
33
45%
DAL
17
34
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
DAL
9
13.5
26
35%
52%
Free Throws
MIA
25
32
78%
DAL
23
26
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2352%11.5 / 22
M. Chalmers1875%9.0 / 12
M. Beasley1757%8.5 / 15
D. Cook1381%6.5 / 8
J. O'Neal1233%6.0 / 18
U. Haslem650%3.0 / 6
J. Moon563%2.5 / 4
J. Magloire2100%1.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3068%15.0 / 22
J. Howard2067%10.0 / 15
J. Terry1343%6.5 / 15
B. Bass1071%5.0 / 7
J. Barea990%4.5 / 5
A. Wright638%3.0 / 8
E. Dampier550%2.5 / 5
J. Kidd330%1.5 / 5
R. Hollins2100%1.0 / 1
J. Singleton0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+12
-10
88
DAL
76
+9
-11
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.7%
DAL
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
110.3
MIA 111.6
DAL 112.6 +1.0
Pace
90.2
91.7
MIA 84.8
DAL 89.7 +4.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.0
MIA 17.0
DAL 16.1 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.4%
MIA 48.6%
DAL 52.1% +3.5%
TO %
13.1%
13.2%
MIA 10.3% +2.3%
DAL 12.6%
ORB %
24.6%
26.6%
MIA 25.0% +5.6%
DAL 19.4%
FTrt
28.2
27.4
MIA 43.8 +7.7
DAL 36.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
56.9%
MIA 56.3%
DAL 63.6% +7.3%
STL %
8.7%
7.8%
MIA 10.5% +2.5%
DAL 8.0%
BLK %
9.2%
8.0%
MIA 4.3%
DAL 8.8% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
53.6%
MIA 52.7%
DAL 57.6% +4.9%
Rim FG%
59.5%
57.7%
MIA 41.7%
DAL 58.3% +16.6%
Mid FG%
41.8%
44.9%
MIA 45.5%
DAL 50.0% +4.5%
3P %
35.7%
35.0%
MIA 43.8% +9.2%
DAL 34.6%
FT %
75.4%
81.9%
MIA 78.1%
DAL 88.5% +10.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
28.9%
MIA 32.9% +16.2%
DAL 16.7%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
47.0%
MIA 45.2% +2.0%
DAL 47.2%
3P Att. %
24.5%
24.1%
MIA 21.9%
DAL 36.1% +14.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes24.423.3
Points9698
Rebounds3937
Assists1821
Steals97
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)30 (1)
Field Goals32-7333-72
At-the-Rim FG10-247-12
Midrange FG15-3317-34
2-Point FG25-5724-46
3-Point FG7-169-26
Free Throws25-3223-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
39.1
23
52%
3
6
1
1
4
2
1
2
5-6
83%
9-19
47%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
37.0
18
75%
6
5
1
0
3
3
3
3
7-9
78%
1-4
25%
3-4
75%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
35.8
6
50%
7
0
1
0
0
5
0
7
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
24.4
12
33%
7
2
0
0
1
1
4
3
4-6
67%
4-15
27%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 205 · 29
21.6
5
63%
4
2
1
0
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
31.8
13
81%
4
0
2
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
27.8
17
57%
4
1
3
0
1
1
0
4
7-9
78%
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
11.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
7.9
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
3.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G · 6'3" 185 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
53%
39
18
9
2
10
0
10
29
25-32
78%
25-57
44%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.