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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 1, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat40%9496
10Mavericks60%9798
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.2
39.1
36.8
23
51%
3
6
1
2
1
4
1
2
5-6
83%
9-19
9-18
47%
52%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.9
37.0
33.7
18
75%
6
5
1
2
0
3
3
3
7-9
78%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
3-4
75%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
35.8
31.8
6
50%
7
0
1
1
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.5
24.4
26.3
12
34%
7
2
0
0
0
1
4
3
4-6
67%
4-15
5-10
27%
47%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.8
21.6
22.6
5
64%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
53%
1-2
50%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.9
31.8
17.2
13
81%
4
0
2
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
41%
3-6
50%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.2
27.8
20.7
17
57%
4
1
3
0
0
1
0
4
7-9
78%
5-9
4-9
56%
49%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.5
11.4
14.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.9
7.9
15.1
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.5
3.3
3.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
4.4
0
0-1
48%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
3.5
0
0-0
44%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.3
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.3
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.8
38.9
33.4
30
70%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
10-10
100%
7-12
8-16
58%
50%
2-5
40%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.0
38.3
27.0
3
30%
4
11
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
1-5
20%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.9
29.4
16.1
20
66%
8
2
3
0
2
2
0
8
7-7
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
1-3
33%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.1
29.0
27.3
6
38%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.7
22.6
21.5
5
47%
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
3
1-3
33%
2-4
2-4
50%
61%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
34.1
32.9
13
44%
1
2
2
1
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
3-8
5-9
38%
53%
2-6
33%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.9
22.4
13.6
10
73%
8
0
0
0
1
0
2
6
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.8
13.2
26.6
9
90%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
8.2
13.3
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.7
3.9
18.7
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
57%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.2
10.5
0
2-4
45%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.6
4.9
0
0-1
43%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.4
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.