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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 1, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Kings28%105141
21Warriors72%113143
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
51.3
32.1
18
44%
6
9
1
1
0
2
0
6
6-6
100%
6-16
4-8
38%
49%
0-2
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.2
46.1
38.8
50
75%
3
3
2
1
0
5
1
2
23-26
88%
6-11
5-10
55%
47%
5-11
45%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.7
35.3
29.4
14
53%
19
1
2
1
2
1
8
11
2-3
67%
6-12
5-9
50%
52%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.3
25.4
29.4
12
54%
6
0
0
1
1
2
0
6
4-7
57%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.9
21.5
32.5
11
55%
6
1
0
1
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
1-7
5-10
14%
50%
3-3
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.2
44.8
29.5
22
77%
4
5
3
1
2
2
1
3
5-5
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
50%
3-4
75%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.5
38.2
20.4
14
43%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
3-5
60%
4-10
3-6
40%
47%
1-4
25%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.1
2.5
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.9
4.9
0
0-1
44%
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.7
4.2
0
0-1
47%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
2.3
0
0-1
46%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
2.3
0
0-1
46%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.7
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 36.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.4
48.9
36.8
42
52%
9
9
2
2
1
4
1
8
10-12
83%
16-34
9-17
47%
55%
0-1
0%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
46.6
32.4
27
57%
13
3
1
1
1
0
2
11
2-4
50%
11-19
4-8
58%
53%
1-3
33%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.0
40.6
31.6
15
49%
3
7
3
1
0
2
1
2
6-10
60%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
1-4
25%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.2
32.3
24.5
12
85%
13
2
0
1
2
2
1
12
6-7
86%
3-4
3-5
75%
54%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.7
19.4
29.4
17
82%
10
1
1
1
0
2
5
5
3-3
100%
7-9
5-10
78%
53%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.0
34.5
17.1
7
51%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
33.3
30.3
15
69%
2
1
0
1
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
5-5
3-7
100%
52%
1-5
20%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 24.1
5.2
10.7
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.4
4.3
9.7
6
77%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.0
15.6
1
2-5
49%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
10.0
0
2-4
57%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
6.2
0
1-1
52%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.