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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 2, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers79%100101
25Wizards21%90109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.3
40
35
19
6
5
0
1
0
0
2
4
2-4
50%
4-6
4-8
67%
52%
3-9
33%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.3
38
36
31
9
6
0
2
0
6
1
8
5-7
71%
7-10
8-14
70%
55%
4-8
50%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.7
35
32
14
1
7
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
7-11
3-6
64%
51%
0-3
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.8
32
26
9
6
0
0
0
4
1
2
4
3-4
75%
3-9
5-10
33%
51%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
31
32
10
7
1
0
1
2
0
1
6
0-0
-
5-7
4-7
71%
55%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.4
19
7
2
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.1
17
22
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
2-6
33%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.1
16
13
8
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
2-4
50%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.7
8
23
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.4
4
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.6
4
0
1-1
56%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.0
3
0
0-1
52%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.9
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.1
40
34
25
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
11-11
100%
7-13
5-12
54%
46%
0-3
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
35
30
7
10
5
0
1
0
2
1
9
1-1
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
43%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.2
33
12
11
6
10
0
0
1
0
0
6
5-8
63%
3-9
1-3
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
32
38
19
5
3
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
8-17
7-14
47%
47%
1-2
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.3
32
16
12
10
1
0
0
0
0
4
6
2-2
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.8
26
27
10
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-6
4-8
83%
46%
0-3
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.1
24
11
17
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
4
5-6
83%
6-8
2-3
75%
49%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.6
13
27
4
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
5-10
50%
47%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.2
6
12
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.3
34
1
4-8
45%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.3
5
0
0-1
46%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.5
5
0
0-1
42%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.8
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.0
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.