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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 4, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Nets36%9894
14Bulls64%103103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.9
40.6
27.7
16
61%
5
8
0
1
1
4
1
4
5-5
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
46%
1-6
17%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.0
35.3
29.5
20
76%
10
1
0
1
2
2
3
7
6-7
86%
7-10
5-10
70%
54%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.1
34.8
31.6
14
56%
8
5
3
1
0
4
0
8
6-8
75%
4-9
5-10
44%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.9
34.0
22.3
17
48%
10
2
2
1
1
2
6
4
4-4
100%
5-10
2-4
50%
46%
1-6
17%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.2
28.3
34.6
4
18%
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-2
0%
2-6
5-11
33%
47%
0-4
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.7
23.1
16.4
14
70%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
4-7
57%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.2
17.3
17.6
9
65%
2
3
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.8
14.0
17.2
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-3
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.4
12.7
15.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-2
0%
0-3
2-4
0%
54%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.1
16.1
0
1-3
47%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.4
11.9
0
1-3
44%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.6
5.0
0
1-1
50%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 25.1
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.3
39.3
23.9
17
50%
5
0
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
52%
2-8
25%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.0
38.2
38.3
18
47%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
10-12
83%
1-8
6-12
13%
49%
2-6
33%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.5
35.0
33.9
15
60%
4
5
2
1
0
2
2
2
1-1
100%
7-12
7-13
58%
51%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
32.3
23.9
12
60%
10
0
4
1
1
2
3
7
6-7
86%
3-7
3-5
43%
55%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
27.9
31.0
9
42%
5
3
1
1
3
1
2
3
5-6
83%
2-8
5-10
25%
48%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.0
28.4
30.1
13
74%
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
5
4-4
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.3
24.1
32.2
7
39%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.1
14.9
16.4
12
104%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.3
2.6
0
0-1
52%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.1
2.2
0
0-0
47%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.3
2.2
0
0-0
41%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.4
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.