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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 4, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Magic55%9588
15Hawks45%9382
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.3
40.7
31.9
21
61%
23
5
3
1
4
2
7
16
9-12
75%
6-12
7-11
50%
58%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.0
36.4
33.6
12
41%
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
4
4-6
67%
4-9
3-7
44%
46%
0-3
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.5
35.4
26.2
8
31%
4
2
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
50%
2-8
25%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.7
34.4
29.8
16
49%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
4-5
80%
3-4
3-5
75%
50%
2-10
20%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.7
28.7
28.7
14
60%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
43%
2-3
67%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.8
24.3
9.5
11
61%
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
46%
3-5
60%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.5
19.3
15.1
4
33%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
13.6
15.3
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.1
7.3
15.6
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
55%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
25.4
1
2-3
51%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.1
5.1
0
0-1
48%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.9
5.0
0
0-1
44%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.1
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.3
44.8
35.3
19
55%
11
4
1
1
2
3
2
9
3-5
60%
8-14
6-12
57%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.9
44.0
35.9
12
43%
4
5
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
45%
2-7
29%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.8
41.3
37.9
21
45%
9
3
1
1
0
0
0
9
8-8
100%
5-12
6-12
42%
47%
1-8
13%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
38.2
32.4
13
52%
13
1
0
1
2
2
2
11
1-1
100%
6-12
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.4
27.0
26.6
5
38%
3
0
0
1
0
1
3
0
3-6
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
30.7
29.6
12
51%
2
2
3
1
0
4
0
2
4-4
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.7
6.8
6.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.1
6.2
18.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-2
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
1.0
8.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.9
3.3
0
0-1
46%
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.2
2.3
0
0-0
46%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.3
2.0
0
0-0
46%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.2
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.9
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.