FinalWin Prob.pScore
254%95
88
1546%93
82
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
95.79292.1
ATL logo ATL
91.19089.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL88
100%
82
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)88
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 288
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)88
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLMagic Rebound87
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)87
99.2%
82
0.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)86
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)85
98.3%
82
1.7%
Q4 - 0:13.0ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)85
98.7%
81
1.3%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 285
99.4%
80
0.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 285
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)85
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 0:57.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
99.4%
78
0.6%
Q4 - 0:58.0ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.3%
78
0.7%
Q4 - 1:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)85
98.6%
78
1.4%
Q4 - 1:07ORLMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
98.8%
78
1.2%
Q4 - 1:28ATLJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)85
98.8%
78
1.2%
Q4 - 1:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)85
99.4%
75
0.6%
Q4 - 1:38ORLMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot85
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 1:55ATLMurray 1' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)85
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q4 - 1:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)85
99.7%
73
0.3%
Q4 - 2:01ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Running Jump Shot85
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 2:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:15)85
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 285
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 2:21ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)85
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 2:32ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)85
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 2:32ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)84
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 2:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:14)83
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 2:44ATLMISS Murray 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 2:54ORLAlston 9' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)83
99.3%
72
0.7%
Q4 - 3:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:13)81
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 3:07ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
98.8%
72
1.2%
Q4 - 3:26ORLTurkoglu 15' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)81
98.4%
72
1.6%
Q4 - 3:50ATLJohnson 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)79
95.8%
72
4.2%
Q4 - 3:57ORLMurray STEAL (3 STL)79
97.1%
70
2.9%
Q4 - 4:06ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
98.1%
70
1.9%
Q4 - 4:08ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
97.8%
70
2.2%
Q4 - 4:28ORLAlston 28' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 5 AST)79
97.2%
70
2.8%
Q4 - 4:51ATLJohnson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)76
94.3%
70
5.7%
Q4 - 5:04ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)76
93.9%
68
6.1%
Q4 - 5:05ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 276
94.2%
68
5.8%
Q4 - 5:05ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 276
95.3%
68
4.7%
Q4 - 5:21ATLBibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)76
95.7%
68
4.3%
Q4 - 5:34ORLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)76
97.7%
65
2.3%
Q4 - 5:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:12)76
98.4%
65
1.6%
Q4 - 5:45ATLMISS Johnson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot76
98.2%
65
1.8%
Q4 - 5:58ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)76
97.8%
65
2.2%
Q4 - 5:59ORLMISS Redick 19' Jump Shot76
98.0%
65
2.0%
Q4 - 6:10ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
97.7%
65
2.3%
Q4 - 6:11ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot76
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q4 - 6:33ORLJohnson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)76
96.8%
65
3.2%
Q4 - 6:39ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
95.8%
65
4.2%
Q4 - 6:41ATLMISS Smith Running Slam Dunk74
95.4%
65
4.6%
Q4 - 6:48ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)74
94.4%
65
5.6%
Q4 - 6:49ORLMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot74
94.9%
65
5.1%
Q4 - 7:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:11)74
94.8%
65
5.2%
Q4 - 7:05ATLMISS Horford 4' Turnaround Jump Shot74
94.4%
65
5.6%
Q4 - 7:26ATLHAWKS Rebound74
93.2%
65
6.8%
Q4 - 7:26ORLMISS Lee 29' 3PT Jump Shot74
93.8%
65
6.2%
Q4 - 7:56ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)74
94.9%
65
5.1%
Q4 - 8:07ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)74
92.2%
65
7.8%
Q4 - 8:10ATLMISS Johnson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot74
93.4%
65
6.6%
Q4 - 8:37ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)74
92.3%
65
7.7%
Q4 - 9:02ATLMurray 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)71
86.2%
65
13.8%
Q4 - 9:21ORLLee 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)71
89.0%
63
11.0%
Q4 - 9:52ATLHorford Dunk (13 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)69
86.3%
63
13.7%
Q4 - 10:13ORLHoward 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)69
87.8%
61
12.2%
Q4 - 10:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)67
85.2%
61
14.8%
Q4 - 10:25ATLMISS Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
84.3%
61
15.7%
Q4 - 10:57ORLBattie 17' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)67
82.2%
61
17.8%
Q4 - 11:19ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
77.4%
61
22.6%
Q4 - 11:20ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 265
76.9%
61
23.1%
Q4 - 11:20ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 265
74.3%
61
25.7%
Q4 - 11:37ORLLee 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)65
73.7%
61
26.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL62
64.3%
61
35.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound62
59.5%
61
40.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 8' Running Jump Shot62
62.9%
61
37.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)62
59.3%
61
40.7%
Q3 - 0:12.0ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
63.6%
61
36.4%
Q3 - 0:14.0ATLMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot62
62.3%
61
37.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0ORLLewis 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)62
59.3%
61
40.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)60
53.7%
61
46.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot60
52.4%
61
47.6%
Q3 - 1:00ORLJohnson 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)60
49.2%
61
50.8%
Q3 - 1:06ATLPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)58
43.8%
61
56.2%
Q3 - 1:17ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
39.4%
61
60.6%
Q3 - 1:18ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
40.7%
61
59.3%
Q3 - 1:26ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
43.8%
61
56.2%
Q3 - 1:28ATLMISS Johnson 8' Running Jump Shot58
42.4%
61
57.6%
Q3 - 1:51ORLMurray STEAL (2 STL)58
39.4%
61
60.6%
Q3 - 2:18ATLSmith 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS)58
44.5%
61
55.5%
Q3 - 2:21ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
49.2%
59
50.8%
Q3 - 2:23ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot58
52.4%
59
47.6%
Q3 - 2:43ORLAlston Foul Turnover (P1.T8)58
49.2%
59
50.8%
Q3 - 2:47ATLMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)58
53.8%
59
46.2%
Q3 - 3:09ORLAlston 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)58
49.8%
59
50.2%
Q3 - 3:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)56
45.6%
59
54.4%
Q3 - 3:20ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
44.1%
59
55.9%
Q3 - 3:36ORLLewis 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)56
40.8%
59
59.2%
Q3 - 3:50ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
36.8%
59
63.2%
Q3 - 4:11ORLAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
41.0%
57
59.0%
Q3 - 4:11ORLAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)53
40.0%
57
60.0%
Q3 - 4:16ORLMagic Rebound52
37.5%
57
62.5%
Q3 - 4:16ORLSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)52
34.2%
57
65.8%
Q3 - 4:35ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
37.5%
57
62.5%
Q3 - 4:38ATLMISS Smith 5' Turnaround Jump Shot52
36.0%
57
64.0%
Q3 - 4:53ORLRedick 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)52
32.9%
57
67.1%
Q3 - 4:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)50
29.7%
57
70.3%
Q3 - 5:00ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot50
28.4%
57
71.6%
Q3 - 5:20ORLLewis 28' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)50
26.6%
57
73.4%
Q3 - 5:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)47
20.9%
57
79.1%
Q3 - 5:27ORLMISS Turkoglu 14' Fadeaway Jumper47
18.8%
57
81.2%
Q3 - 5:45ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
20.9%
57
79.1%
Q3 - 5:45ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
21.3%
56
78.7%
Q3 - 6:05ATLHAWKS Rebound47
24.6%
55
75.4%
Q3 - 6:05ORLMISS Alston 9' Running Jump Shot47
25.6%
55
74.4%
Q3 - 6:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)47
27.9%
55
72.1%
Q3 - 6:15ATLSmith Putback Layup (16 PTS)47
27.9%
55
72.1%
Q3 - 6:16ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot47
33.7%
53
66.3%
Q3 - 6:23ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)47
31.0%
53
69.0%
Q3 - 6:27ORLMISS Howard 7' Turnaround Jump Shot47
32.2%
53
67.8%
Q3 - 6:39ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
34.8%
53
65.2%
Q3 - 6:41ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
31.0%
53
69.0%
Q3 - 6:41ATLMISS Evans Putback Dunk47
33.6%
53
66.4%
Q3 - 6:44ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
33.6%
53
66.4%
Q3 - 7:08ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)47
31.8%
53
68.2%
Q3 - 7:08ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)46
30.7%
53
69.3%
Q3 - 7:12ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
28.7%
53
71.3%
Q3 - 7:14ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot45
27.7%
53
72.3%
Q3 - 7:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)45
25.5%
53
74.5%
Q3 - 7:34ORLMISS Lee 29' 3PT Jump Shot45
26.4%
53
73.6%
Q3 - 8:09ATLEvans 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)45
29.2%
53
70.8%
Q3 - 8:20ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
32.1%
51
67.9%
Q3 - 8:21ORLMISS Turkoglu 29' 3PT Jump Shot45
33.2%
51
66.8%
Q3 - 8:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)45
35.8%
51
64.2%
Q3 - 8:27ORLHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)45
33.2%
51
66.8%
Q3 - 8:49ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)45
35.8%
51
64.2%
Q3 - 9:14ORLAlston 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)45
43.2%
48
56.8%
Q3 - 9:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)43
39.7%
48
60.3%
Q3 - 9:23ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot43
38.6%
48
61.4%
Q3 - 9:37ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)43
36.1%
48
63.9%
Q3 - 9:49ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
29.7%
48
70.3%
Q3 - 9:51ATLMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
28.7%
48
71.3%
Q3 - 9:59ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)40
26.6%
48
73.4%
Q3 - 10:00ORLMISS Lee 18' Jump Shot40
27.5%
48
72.5%
Q3 - 10:22ATLEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)40
30.5%
48
69.5%
Q3 - 10:22ATLEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)40
31.0%
47
69.0%
Q3 - 10:25ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
33.5%
46
66.5%
Q3 - 10:26ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
34.5%
46
65.5%
Q3 - 10:41ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
36.8%
46
63.2%
Q3 - 10:44ATLMISS Johnson 12' Fadeaway Jumper40
35.8%
46
64.2%
Q3 - 11:00ATLHAWKS Rebound40
33.5%
46
66.5%
Q3 - 11:02ORLMISS Lee 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
35.4%
46
64.6%
Q3 - 11:17ATLBibby Foul Turnover (P3.T11)40
37.8%
46
62.2%
Q3 - 11:28ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T7)40
34.3%
46
65.7%
Q3 - 11:44ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)40
37.7%
46
62.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL40
40.8%
44
59.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
44.5%
44
55.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
45.0%
43
55.0%
Q2 - 0:15.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
48.7%
42
51.3%
Q2 - 0:15.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
48.1%
42
51.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
44.5%
42
55.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0ATLMISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 238
44.1%
42
55.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0ATLMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 238
41.8%
42
58.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
42.0%
42
58.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 238
44.1%
42
55.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
41.8%
42
58.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
45.2%
41
54.8%
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLTurkoglu Tip Shot (8 PTS)38
45.2%
41
54.8%
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
39.4%
41
60.6%
Q2 - 1:02ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
41.7%
41
58.3%
Q2 - 1:02ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
42.2%
40
57.8%
Q2 - 1:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
45.7%
39
54.3%
Q2 - 1:10ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
46.5%
39
53.5%
Q2 - 1:19ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
48.1%
39
51.9%
Q2 - 1:21ATLMISS Horford 14' Turnaround Jump Shot36
47.4%
39
52.6%
Q2 - 1:34ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
45.7%
39
54.3%
Q2 - 1:38ORLMISS Howard 12' Running Hook Shot36
46.5%
39
53.5%
Q2 - 1:55ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)36
48.1%
39
51.9%
Q2 - 1:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)36
52.3%
37
47.7%
Q2 - 2:00ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
53.0%
37
47.0%
Q2 - 2:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)36
55.3%
37
44.7%
Q2 - 2:07ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
53.0%
37
47.0%
Q2 - 2:30ATLBibby Foul Turnover (P2.T10)36
55.2%
37
44.8%
Q2 - 2:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)36
52.0%
37
48.0%
Q2 - 2:51ORLHoward Putback Dunk (12 PTS)36
52.0%
37
48.0%
Q2 - 2:54ORLMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
46.6%
37
53.4%
Q2 - 3:02ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
49.4%
37
50.6%
Q2 - 3:04ATLMISS Smith 3' Running Layup34
48.3%
37
51.7%
Q2 - 3:08ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
45.8%
37
54.2%
Q2 - 3:10ORLMISS Lee 7' Running Jump Shot34
46.9%
37
53.1%
Q2 - 3:25ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)34
49.4%
37
50.6%
Q2 - 3:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)34
45.8%
37
54.2%
Q2 - 3:32ORLMISS Howard 7' Turnaround Jump Shot34
46.9%
37
53.1%
Q2 - 3:47ATLHorford Running Dunk (11 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)34
49.4%
37
50.6%
Q2 - 3:50ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
52.0%
35
48.0%
Q2 - 3:52ORLHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)34
53.1%
35
46.9%
Q2 - 4:14ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)34
55.5%
35
44.5%
Q2 - 4:32ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)34
58.3%
33
41.7%
Q2 - 4:32ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
57.3%
33
42.7%
Q2 - 4:48ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)32
55.6%
33
44.4%
Q2 - 5:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
61.6%
30
38.4%
Q2 - 5:07ORLMISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
62.4%
30
37.6%
Q2 - 5:17ATLMurray Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)32
64.2%
30
35.8%
Q2 - 5:35ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)32
61.6%
30
38.4%
Q2 - 5:57ATLHorford Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)29
55.7%
30
44.3%
Q2 - 6:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)29
58.2%
28
41.8%
Q2 - 6:08ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot29
59.2%
28
40.8%
Q2 - 6:25ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
61.5%
28
38.5%
Q2 - 6:25ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
62.1%
27
37.9%
Q2 - 6:41ORLRedick Foul Turnover (P1.T6)29
63.7%
26
36.3%
Q2 - 6:48ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
66.8%
26
33.2%
Q2 - 6:50ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
64.7%
26
35.3%
Q2 - 7:12ATLMurray 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)29
66.6%
26
33.4%
Q2 - 7:32ORLRedick 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
69.0%
24
31.0%
Q2 - 7:39ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
64.0%
24
36.0%
Q2 - 7:41ATLMISS Evans 20' Jump Shot26
63.2%
24
36.8%
Q2 - 8:00ORLTurkoglu 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)26
61.2%
24
38.8%
Q2 - 8:17ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)24
58.5%
24
41.5%
Q2 - 8:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)24
61.2%
22
38.8%
Q2 - 8:30ORLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
62.0%
22
38.0%
Q2 - 8:48ATLBibby 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)24
63.7%
22
36.3%
Q2 - 8:50ATLHAWKS Rebound24
66.3%
20
33.7%
Q2 - 8:51ATLMISS Murray 20' Jump Shot24
67.9%
20
32.1%
Q2 - 9:05ORLMurray STEAL (1 STL)24
65.8%
20
34.2%
Q2 - 9:21ATLEvans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)24
68.3%
20
31.7%
Q2 - 9:28ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)24
65.9%
20
34.1%
Q2 - 9:29ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
66.6%
20
33.4%
Q2 - 9:34ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
68.3%
20
31.7%
Q2 - 9:36ORLMISS Battie 21' Jump Shot24
66.6%
20
33.4%
Q2 - 9:45ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
68.3%
20
31.7%
Q2 - 9:47ATLMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot24
67.6%
20
32.4%
Q2 - 10:02ORLGortat Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)24
65.6%
20
34.4%
Q2 - 10:11ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
68.0%
20
32.0%
Q2 - 10:14ATLMISS Horford 1' Reverse Dunk24
67.3%
20
32.7%
Q2 - 10:29ORLTurkoglu 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)24
65.6%
20
34.4%
Q2 - 10:34ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
63.3%
20
36.7%
Q2 - 10:36ATLMISS Murray 15' Jump Shot22
62.5%
20
37.5%
Q2 - 10:54ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
60.8%
20
39.2%
Q2 - 10:55ORLMISS Gortat 18' Jump Shot22
61.5%
20
38.5%
Q2 - 10:59ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
63.3%
20
36.7%
Q2 - 11:00ORLMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot22
61.5%
20
38.5%
Q2 - 11:09ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
63.0%
20
37.0%
Q2 - 11:11ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
62.2%
20
37.8%
Q2 - 11:21ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
60.5%
20
39.5%
Q2 - 11:23ORLMISS Redick 19' Jump Shot22
61.3%
20
38.7%
Q2 - 11:39ATLMurray 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
63.0%
20
37.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL22
65.3%
18
34.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound22
65.3%
18
34.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 42' 3PT Jump Shot22
66.9%
18
33.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
65.1%
18
34.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
64.8%
18
35.2%
Q1 - 0:14.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
62.3%
18
37.7%
Q1 - 0:14.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
62.7%
17
37.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)20
65.1%
16
34.9%
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
60.0%
16
40.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot17
59.5%
16
40.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
58.2%
16
41.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0ORLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot17
58.7%
16
41.3%
Q1 - 1:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)17
60.0%
16
40.0%
Q1 - 1:08ATLMISS Murray 13' Jump Shot17
59.5%
16
40.5%
Q1 - 1:34ORLHoward Dunk (8 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)17
58.4%
16
41.6%
Q1 - 1:38ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
55.3%
16
44.7%
Q1 - 1:39ORLMISS Redick 19' Jump Shot15
54.2%
16
45.8%
Q1 - 2:05ATLMurray Foul Turnover (P2.T6)15
55.6%
16
44.4%
Q1 - 2:08ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
53.7%
16
46.3%
Q1 - 2:10ORLMISS Turkoglu 1' Running Layup15
54.3%
16
45.7%
Q1 - 2:16ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
55.6%
16
44.4%
Q1 - 2:18ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
55.0%
16
45.0%
Q1 - 2:37ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
53.7%
16
46.3%
Q1 - 2:38ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 115
53.9%
16
46.1%
Q1 - 2:54ATLSmith 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)13
51.0%
16
49.0%
Q1 - 3:09ORLJones STEAL (1 STL)13
53.7%
14
46.3%
Q1 - 3:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)13
56.0%
14
44.0%
Q1 - 3:19ATLMISS Murray 11' Turnaround Jump Shot13
55.3%
14
44.7%
Q1 - 3:35ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
53.7%
14
46.3%
Q1 - 3:37ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 213
54.0%
14
46.0%
Q1 - 3:37ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
55.2%
14
44.8%
Q1 - 3:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)12
53.7%
14
46.3%
Q1 - 3:38ORLMISS Alston 5' Running Jump Shot12
52.1%
14
47.9%
Q1 - 3:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
53.7%
14
46.3%
Q1 - 3:59ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 112
53.4%
14
46.6%
Q1 - 3:59ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
56.0%
12
44.0%
Q1 - 4:00ATLMISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot12
57.5%
12
42.5%
Q1 - 4:12ORLLee Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)12
55.8%
12
44.2%
Q1 - 4:24ATLMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)12
58.1%
12
41.9%
Q1 - 4:48ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
55.9%
12
44.1%
Q1 - 4:49ORLMISS Lee 18' Jump Shot12
56.6%
12
43.4%
Q1 - 5:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
57.9%
12
42.1%
Q1 - 5:14ATLMISS Horford 6' Turnaround Jump Shot12
57.2%
12
42.8%
Q1 - 5:23ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
55.5%
12
44.5%
Q1 - 5:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
55.5%
12
44.5%
Q1 - 5:24ATLMISS Horford Tip Shot12
57.2%
12
42.8%
Q1 - 5:26ATLMISS Bibby 8' Jump Shot12
57.2%
12
42.8%
Q1 - 5:38ORLAlston 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)12
55.5%
12
44.5%
Q1 - 5:51ATLSmith Running Dunk (4 PTS)9
51.5%
12
48.5%
Q1 - 5:55ORLSmith STEAL (1 STL)9
53.4%
10
46.6%
Q1 - 6:17ATLSmith 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T4)9
55.8%
10
44.2%
Q1 - 6:34ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
53.6%
10
46.4%
Q1 - 6:34ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 28
52.9%
10
47.1%
Q1 - 6:38ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
53.7%
10
46.3%
Q1 - 6:39ORLMISS Lewis 6' Jump Shot8
52.2%
10
47.8%
Q1 - 6:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
53.7%
10
46.3%
Q1 - 6:54ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
53.0%
10
47.0%
Q1 - 6:58ATLHAWKS Rebound8
51.5%
10
48.5%
Q1 - 6:58ATLMISS Smith 1' Layup8
53.0%
10
47.0%
Q1 - 7:04ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
51.5%
10
48.5%
Q1 - 7:05ORLMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
52.2%
10
47.8%
Q1 - 7:17ATLHorford 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)8
53.8%
10
46.2%
Q1 - 7:36ATLHAWKS Rebound8
55.7%
8
44.3%
Q1 - 7:36ORLMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
56.4%
8
43.6%
Q1 - 7:56ATLBibby 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
58.0%
8
42.0%
Q1 - 8:19ORLHoward 12' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)8
60.0%
6
40.0%
Q1 - 8:42ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
58.0%
6
42.0%
Q1 - 8:42ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
58.6%
5
41.4%
Q1 - 8:50ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
60.0%
4
40.0%
Q1 - 8:51ORLMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
60.6%
4
39.4%
Q1 - 8:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
62.0%
4
38.0%
Q1 - 8:56ORLSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)6
60.6%
4
39.4%
Q1 - 9:08ATLBibby 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
62.1%
4
37.9%
Q1 - 9:15ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
64.1%
2
35.9%
Q1 - 9:16ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
64.6%
2
35.4%
Q1 - 9:30ATLJohnson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
65.8%
2
34.2%
Q1 - 9:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
67.7%
0
32.3%
Q1 - 9:41ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot6
68.2%
0
31.8%
Q1 - 9:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
69.3%
0
30.7%
Q1 - 9:54ORLMISS Turkoglu 3' Driving Layup6
68.2%
0
31.8%
Q1 - 10:05ATLHorford Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)6
68.5%
0
31.5%
Q1 - 10:29ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)6
66.8%
0
33.2%
Q1 - 10:39ATLHorford Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)3
63.6%
0
36.4%
Q1 - 10:50ATLHAWKS Rebound3
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 10:50ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup3
63.0%
0
37.0%
Q1 - 11:05ORLLee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)3
61.3%
0
38.7%
Q1 - 11:14ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
58.1%
0
41.9%
Q1 - 11:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.4%
0
43.6%
Q1 - 11:38ORLMISS Lee 18' Jump Shot0
57.0%
0
43.0%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Howard: Tip to Lewis0
58.1%
0
41.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.94 46.8%
ATL
0.91 45.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
9
14
64%
ATL
14
25
56%
Midrange
ORL
12
35
34%
ATL
13
33
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
9
13.5
30
30%
45%
ATL
3
4.5
19
16%
24%
Free Throws
ORL
19
27
70%
ATL
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2162%10.5 / 17
R. Lewis1650%8.0 / 16
R. Alston1458%7.0 / 12
H. Turkoglu1240%6.0 / 15
J. Redick1161%5.5 / 9
C. Lee831%4.0 / 13
A. Johnson433%2.0 / 6
T. Battie250%1.0 / 2
M. Gortat0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2146%10.5 / 23
J. Smith1956%9.5 / 17
A. Horford1354%6.5 / 12
M. Bibby1243%6.0 / 14
R. Murray1250%6.0 / 12
M. Evans536%2.5 / 7
S. Jones0-0.0 / 1
Z. Pachulia0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
80
+14
-12
94
ATL
76
+13
-14
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.94 46.8%
ATL
0.91 45.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
109.2
ORL 95.7 +4.5
ATL 91.1
Pace
92.5
89.8
ORL 92.1 +2.3
ATL 89.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.9
ORL 15.6 +0.4
ATL 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
50.4%
ORL 43.7% +2.8%
ATL 40.9%
TO %
14.6%
13.6%
ORL 12.5% +1.2%
ATL 13.7%
ORB %
24.1%
26.0%
ORL 26.5% +9.1%
ATL 17.4%
FTrt
35.1
32.3
ORL 34.2 +0.4
ATL 33.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
56.1%
ORL 60.0% +10.0%
ATL 50.0%
STL %
7.5%
8.2%
ORL 8.7% +2.0%
ATL 6.7%
BLK %
8.0%
7.4%
ORL 6.9%
ATL 8.2% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
53.2%
ORL 46.8% +1.2%
ATL 45.6%
Rim FG%
60.9%
60.5%
ORL 64.3% +8.3%
ATL 56.0%
Mid FG%
39.3%
40.2%
ORL 34.3%
ATL 39.4% +5.1%
3P %
38.1%
36.6%
ORL 30.0% +14.2%
ATL 15.8%
FT %
71.5%
73.8%
ORL 70.4%
ATL 73.1% +2.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
32.2%
ORL 17.7%
ATL 32.5% +14.7%
Mid Att. %
35.2%
42.4%
ORL 44.3%
ATL 42.9% +1.4%
3P Att. %
33.5%
25.3%
ORL 38.0% +13.3%
ATL 24.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsORLATL
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points8882
Rebounds5144
Assists1815
Steals86
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (1)36 (4)
Field Goals30-7930-77
At-the-Rim FG9-1414-25
Midrange FG12-3513-33
2-Point FG21-4927-58
3-Point FG9-303-19
Free Throws19-2719-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 23
40.7
21
62%
23
5
3
4
2
4
7
16
9-12
75%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 30
36.4
12
40%
5
3
1
0
1
3
1
4
4-6
67%
4-9
44%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 200 · 24
35.4
8
31%
4
2
1
0
3
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
2-8
25%
F · 6'10" 235 · 30
34.4
16
50%
4
1
1
0
1
4
1
3
4-5
80%
3-4
75%
2-10
20%
G · 6'2" 175 · 33
28.7
14
58%
2
3
0
0
1
3
0
2
2-4
50%
3-7
43%
2-3
67%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
24.3
11
61%
3
2
1
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
3-5
60%
G · 6'3" 195 · 35
19.3
4
33%
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 33
13.6
2
50%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
7.3
0
0%
5
0
0
0
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 215 · 27
C · 6'10" 270 · 34
G · 6'0" 175 · 32
#14 · G · 6'0" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
47%
51
18
8
4
12
0
13
38
19-27
70%
21-49
43%
9-30
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.