| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 126.9 | 93 | 90.1 |
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Scoring Opportunities
MIA
82
+9
-11
91
WAS
80
+11
-13
91
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.30 64.8%
WAS
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | WAS |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 118 100% | 104 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:03.0 | WAS | Crittenton 10' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) | 118 99.9% | 104 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | MIA | Anthony 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST) | 118 99.9% | 102 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:32.0 | WAS | McGee 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGuire 4 AST) | 116 99.9% | 102 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:41.0 | MIA | Moon 1' Reverse Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Jones 2 AST) | 116 99.9% | 100 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | WAS | Crittenton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13) | 114 99.9% | 100 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:56.0 | MIA | Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST) | 114 99.9% | 100 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:16 | WAS | Pecherov 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haywood 4 AST) | 111 99.9% | 100 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:29 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12) | 111 99.9% | 97 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:29 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 111 99.9% | 97 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:29 | MIA | MISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 111 99.9% | 97 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:04 | WAS | Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Crittenton 8 AST) | 111 99.9% | 97 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:11 | WAS | McGuire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 111 99.9% | 94 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:12 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 111 99.9% | 94 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:12 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 111 99.9% | 94 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:28 | MIA | Moon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 111 99.9% | 94 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:29 | WAS | MISS Jamison 19' Jump Shot | 111 99.9% | 94 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:35 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7) | 111 99.9% | 94 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:36 | WAS | MISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 2 | 111 99.9% | 94 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:36 | WAS | MISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 2 | 111 99.9% | 94 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:47 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 111 99.9% | 94 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:48 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 111 99.9% | 94 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | MIA | Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 111 99.9% | 94 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:57 | WAS | MISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 111 99.9% | 94 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:08 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 111 99.9% | 94 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:09 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 111 99.9% | 94 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:22 | MIA | Moon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 111 99.9% | 94 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:23 | WAS | MISS McGuire 2' Layup | 111 99.9% | 94 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:39 | MIA | O'Neal 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 8 AST) | 111 99.8% | 94 0.2% |
| Q4 - 3:56 | MIA | Wade Free Throw Technical (33 PTS) | 109 99.8% | 94 0.2% |
| Q4 - 3:56 | WAS | Haywood Putback Dunk (18 PTS) | 108 99.7% | 94 0.3% |
| Q4 - 3:58 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 108 99.8% | 92 0.2% |
| Q4 - 3:59 | WAS | MISS Butler Layup | 108 99.8% | 92 0.2% |
| Q4 - 4:11 | MIA | Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) | 108 99.8% | 92 0.2% |
| Q4 - 4:37 | WAS | Jamison 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Haywood 3 AST) | 105 99.6% | 92 0.4% |
| Q4 - 4:55 | MIA | Moon 1' Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 7 AST) | 105 99.7% | 90 0.3% |
| Q4 - 5:14 | WAS | Butler 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS) | 103 99.1% | 90 0.9% |
| Q4 - 5:28 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 103 99.4% | 88 0.6% |
| Q4 - 5:30 | MIA | MISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 | 103 99.4% | 88 0.6% |
| Q4 - 5:30 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 103 99.5% | 88 0.5% |
| Q4 - 5:38 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 102 99.4% | 88 0.6% |
| Q4 - 5:39 | WAS | MISS Jamison 19' Jump Shot | 102 99.3% | 88 0.7% |
| Q4 - 5:58 | MIA | Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) | 102 99.1% | 88 0.9% |
| Q4 - 6:16 | WAS | Butler Free Throw Technical (22 PTS) | 99 97.6% | 88 2.4% |
| Q4 - 6:16 | WAS | Songaila Foul Turnover (P1.T12) | 99 98.2% | 87 1.8% |
| Q4 - 6:28 | MIA | Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) | 99 97.5% | 87 2.5% |
| Q4 - 6:54 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 96 95.7% | 87 4.3% |
| Q4 - 6:55 | WAS | MISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 | 96 95.5% | 87 4.5% |
| Q4 - 6:55 | WAS | Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 96 94.4% | 87 5.6% |
| Q4 - 7:30 | MIA | Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST) | 96 94.5% | 86 5.5% |
| Q4 - 7:54 | WAS | Songaila 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 3 AST) | 93 91.1% | 86 8.9% |
| Q4 - 8:12 | MIA | Quinn 17' Running Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 93 91.9% | 84 8.1% |
| Q4 - 8:20 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 91 89.6% | 84 10.4% |
| Q4 - 8:21 | MIA | MISS Beasley 4' Jump Shot | 91 87.9% | 84 12.1% |
| Q4 - 8:34 | WAS | Dixon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11) | 91 89.7% | 84 10.3% |
| Q4 - 8:50 | WAS | Songaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 91 87.1% | 84 12.9% |
| Q4 - 8:51 | MIA | MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot | 91 88.0% | 84 12.0% |
| Q4 - 9:12 | WAS | Butler 19' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS) | 91 88.3% | 84 11.7% |
| Q4 - 9:30 | MIA | Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST) | 91 90.7% | 82 9.3% |
| Q4 - 9:38 | MIA | Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 88 85.6% | 82 14.4% |
| Q4 - 9:39 | WAS | MISS Haywood Layup | 88 84.8% | 82 15.2% |
| Q4 - 10:04 | MIA | Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST) | 88 81.2% | 82 18.8% |
| Q4 - 10:13 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 85 73.3% | 82 26.7% |
| Q4 - 10:14 | WAS | MISS Blatche 18' Jump Shot | 85 72.0% | 82 28.0% |
| Q4 - 10:35 | MIA | Chalmers 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Beasley 4 AST) | 85 68.8% | 82 31.2% |
| Q4 - 10:49 | WAS | Dixon Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 83 63.6% | 82 36.4% |
| Q4 - 11:10 | MIA | Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST) | 83 72.5% | 79 27.5% |
| Q4 - 11:29 | WAS | Crittenton 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Haywood 2 AST) | 80 63.0% | 79 37.0% |
| Q4 - 11:45 | WAS | Crittenton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 80 68.1% | 77 31.9% |
| Q4 - 11:46 | MIA | MISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 80 69.5% | 77 30.5% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | WAS | 80 72.4% | 77 27.6% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | WAS | WIZARDS Rebound | 80 68.1% | 77 31.9% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | WAS | MISS McGuire 4' Jump Shot | 80 71.1% | 77 28.9% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | WAS | McGuire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 80 68.1% | 77 31.9% |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | WAS | MISS Dixon 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 80 70.1% | 77 29.9% |
| Q3 - 0:06.0 | WAS | Blatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 80 67.5% | 77 32.5% |
| Q3 - 0:07.0 | MIA | MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot | 80 68.6% | 77 31.4% |
| Q3 - 0:27.0 | WAS | Butler Foul Turnover (P2.T10) | 80 71.3% | 77 28.7% |
| Q3 - 0:38.0 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 80 67.5% | 77 32.5% |
| Q3 - 0:40.0 | MIA | MISS Beasley 3' Jump Shot | 80 68.7% | 77 31.3% |
| Q3 - 0:54.0 | WAS | Butler 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) | 80 71.4% | 77 28.6% |
| Q3 - 1:18 | MIA | Beasley 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST) | 80 78.3% | 74 21.7% |
| Q3 - 1:39 | WAS | Jamison 2' Putback Layup (21 PTS) | 78 74.5% | 74 25.5% |
| Q3 - 1:41 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 78 78.4% | 72 21.6% |
| Q3 - 1:42 | WAS | MISS McGuire Layup | 78 80.4% | 72 19.6% |
| Q3 - 1:47 | MIA | Blatche STEAL (1 STL) | 78 78.4% | 72 21.6% |
| Q3 - 1:57 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 78 81.3% | 72 18.7% |
| Q3 - 1:59 | WAS | MISS Blatche Layup | 78 80.4% | 72 19.6% |
| Q3 - 2:02 | WAS | Blatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 78 77.2% | 72 22.8% |
| Q3 - 2:03 | WAS | MISS Jamison 19' Jump Shot | 78 79.4% | 72 20.6% |
| Q3 - 2:16 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS) | 78 77.2% | 72 22.8% |
| Q3 - 2:16 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS) | 77 76.6% | 72 23.4% |
| Q3 - 2:33 | WAS | Jamison 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Dixon 3 AST) | 76 73.8% | 72 26.2% |
| Q3 - 2:42 | MIA | Jamison STEAL (1 STL) | 76 77.3% | 70 22.7% |
| Q3 - 2:53 | WAS | Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 76 80.4% | 70 19.6% |
| Q3 - 2:53 | WAS | MISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 | 76 81.0% | 69 19.0% |
| Q3 - 3:08 | MIA | O'Neal 3' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST) | 76 79.7% | 69 20.3% |
| Q3 - 3:18 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 74 76.8% | 69 23.2% |
| Q3 - 3:19 | WAS | MISS Blatche 19' Jump Shot | 74 75.8% | 69 24.2% |
| Q3 - 3:43 | MIA | Beasley 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 74 73.3% | 69 26.7% |
| Q3 - 4:00 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 72 69.8% | 69 30.2% |
| Q3 - 4:02 | WAS | MISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 | 72 68.9% | 69 31.1% |
| Q3 - 4:02 | WAS | Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 72 66.5% | 69 33.5% |
| Q3 - 4:19 | MIA | O'Neal 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 72 68.9% | 68 31.1% |
| Q3 - 4:30 | WAS | Haywood Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9) | 70 65.7% | 68 34.3% |
| Q3 - 4:34 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 70 61.0% | 68 39.0% |
| Q3 - 4:35 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 62.4% | 68 37.6% |
| Q3 - 4:45 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 70 65.7% | 68 34.3% |
| Q3 - 4:46 | WAS | MISS Dixon 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 64.3% | 68 35.7% |
| Q3 - 4:54 | WAS | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 70 61.0% | 68 39.0% |
| Q3 - 4:55 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot | 70 62.5% | 68 37.5% |
| Q3 - 5:10 | WAS | Haywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 70 64.8% | 68 35.2% |
| Q3 - 5:10 | WAS | Haywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 70 65.9% | 67 34.1% |
| Q3 - 5:25 | WAS | WIZARDS Rebound | 70 68.1% | 66 31.9% |
| Q3 - 5:26 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 70 69.4% | 66 30.6% |
| Q3 - 5:41 | WAS | Haywood 2' Putback Dunk (14 PTS) | 70 72.1% | 66 27.9% |
| Q3 - 5:43 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 70 75.0% | 64 25.0% |
| Q3 - 5:44 | WAS | MISS Crittenton 2' Layup | 70 77.3% | 64 22.7% |
| Q3 - 5:58 | WAS | McGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 70 75.0% | 64 25.0% |
| Q3 - 5:59 | MIA | MISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot | 70 76.0% | 64 24.0% |
| Q3 - 6:18 | WAS | Jamison 7' Running Hook Shot (15 PTS) | 70 77.6% | 64 22.4% |
| Q3 - 6:37 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 70 80.1% | 62 19.9% |
| Q3 - 6:37 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 69 79.6% | 62 20.4% |
| Q3 - 6:48 | WAS | Butler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8) | 69 80.3% | 62 19.7% |
| Q3 - 7:00 | WAS | McGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 69 77.4% | 62 22.6% |
| Q3 - 7:01 | MIA | MISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 77.3% | 62 22.7% |
| Q3 - 7:19 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 69 79.2% | 62 20.8% |
| Q3 - 7:20 | WAS | MISS Jamison 19' Jump Shot | 69 78.4% | 62 21.6% |
| Q3 - 7:39 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 69 76.5% | 62 23.5% |
| Q3 - 7:40 | MIA | MISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot | 69 77.4% | 62 22.6% |
| Q3 - 7:44 | WAS | Crittenton Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7) | 69 79.3% | 62 20.7% |
| Q3 - 7:46 | MIA | McGuire STEAL (1 STL) | 69 76.5% | 62 23.5% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | WAS | McGuire Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6) | 69 78.8% | 62 21.2% |
| Q3 - 8:04 | WAS | McGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 69 75.9% | 62 24.1% |
| Q3 - 8:05 | MIA | MISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 76.8% | 62 23.2% |
| Q3 - 8:19 | WAS | Haywood 2' Putback Dunk (12 PTS) | 69 78.8% | 62 21.2% |
| Q3 - 8:21 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 69 81.0% | 60 19.0% |
| Q3 - 8:22 | WAS | MISS McGuire Free Throw 3 of 3 | 69 83.1% | 60 16.9% |
| Q3 - 8:22 | WAS | McGuire Free Throw 2 of 3 (6 PTS) | 69 81.8% | 60 18.2% |
| Q3 - 8:22 | WAS | McGuire Free Throw 1 of 3 (5 PTS) | 69 82.5% | 59 17.5% |
| Q3 - 8:44 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS) | 69 85.2% | 58 14.8% |
| Q3 - 8:47 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 66 81.2% | 58 18.8% |
| Q3 - 8:48 | WAS | MISS Crittenton 3' Jump Shot | 66 80.4% | 58 19.6% |
| Q3 - 9:15 | MIA | Moon 1' Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 66 78.3% | 58 21.7% |
| Q3 - 9:33 | WAS | Butler 11' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Crittenton 7 AST) | 64 75.7% | 58 24.3% |
| Q3 - 9:41 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 64 78.3% | 56 21.7% |
| Q3 - 9:42 | MIA | MISS Diawara 18' Jump Shot | 64 79.1% | 56 20.9% |
| Q3 - 10:03 | WAS | McGuire 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST) | 64 80.1% | 56 19.9% |
| Q3 - 10:12 | MIA | Wade Backcourt Turnover (P6.T8) | 64 82.2% | 54 17.8% |
| Q3 - 10:31 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 64 84.3% | 54 15.7% |
| Q3 - 10:32 | WAS | MISS Butler 19' Jump Shot | 64 83.7% | 54 16.3% |
| Q3 - 11:01 | MIA | Diawara 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) | 64 81.7% | 54 18.3% |
| Q3 - 11:08 | WAS | McGuire Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5) | 62 79.7% | 54 20.3% |
| Q3 - 11:15 | WAS | McGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 62 77.2% | 54 22.8% |
| Q3 - 11:16 | MIA | MISS Diawara 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 78.0% | 54 22.0% |
| Q3 - 11:39 | WAS | Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 62 79.7% | 54 20.3% |
| Q3 - 11:39 | WAS | Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 62 80.2% | 53 19.8% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | WAS | 62 81.8% | 52 18.2% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 62 81.8% | 52 18.2% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot | 62 82.4% | 52 17.6% |
| Q2 - 0:06.0 | WAS | McGuire 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Dixon 2 AST) | 62 83.0% | 52 17.0% |
| Q2 - 0:09.0 | MIA | Dixon STEAL (1 STL) | 62 85.3% | 50 14.7% |
| Q2 - 0:17.0 | WAS | McGee 1' Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (McGuire 3 AST) | 62 86.5% | 50 13.5% |
| Q2 - 0:33.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS) | 62 88.4% | 48 11.6% |
| Q2 - 0:41.0 | WAS | Crittenton Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 59 84.9% | 48 15.1% |
| Q2 - 0:43.0 | MIA | Crittenton STEAL (1 STL) | 59 88.4% | 45 11.6% |
| Q2 - 0:55.0 | WAS | Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 59 89.4% | 45 10.6% |
| Q2 - 0:55.0 | WAS | MISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 | 59 89.5% | 44 10.5% |
| Q2 - 1:05 | WAS | McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 59 89.3% | 44 10.7% |
| Q2 - 1:06 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot | 59 89.5% | 44 10.5% |
| Q2 - 1:27 | WAS | Jamison 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Butler 2 AST) | 59 90.2% | 44 9.8% |
| Q2 - 1:31 | WAS | McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 59 91.6% | 42 8.4% |
| Q2 - 1:32 | MIA | MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot | 59 91.8% | 42 8.2% |
| Q2 - 1:45 | WAS | McGee Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4) | 59 92.3% | 42 7.7% |
| Q2 - 2:02 | MIA | O'Neal 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 59 90.9% | 42 9.1% |
| Q2 - 2:19 | WAS | Jamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS) | 57 89.8% | 42 10.2% |
| Q2 - 2:34 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 57 91.9% | 39 8.1% |
| Q2 - 2:34 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 56 91.7% | 39 8.3% |
| Q2 - 2:45 | WAS | Crittenton Traveling Turnover (P1.T3) | 55 91.0% | 39 9.0% |
| Q2 - 2:59 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 55 89.8% | 39 10.2% |
| Q2 - 2:59 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 54 89.6% | 39 10.4% |
| Q2 - 2:59 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 53 88.6% | 39 11.4% |
| Q2 - 2:59 | WAS | MISS Songaila 3' Jump Shot | 53 88.2% | 39 11.8% |
| Q2 - 3:11 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 53 86.8% | 39 13.2% |
| Q2 - 3:28 | WAS | McGee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 50 83.9% | 39 16.1% |
| Q2 - 3:28 | MIA | McGee STEAL (1 STL) | 50 81.8% | 39 18.2% |
| Q2 - 3:29 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 50 83.9% | 39 16.1% |
| Q2 - 3:30 | WAS | MISS Songaila Layup | 50 83.3% | 39 16.7% |
| Q2 - 3:31 | WAS | Songaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 50 81.8% | 39 18.2% |
| Q2 - 3:32 | WAS | MISS McGee 8' Jump Shot | 50 83.3% | 39 16.7% |
| Q2 - 3:51 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 50 81.9% | 39 18.1% |
| Q2 - 3:51 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 49 81.5% | 39 18.5% |
| Q2 - 4:05 | WAS | Butler 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Dixon 1 AST) | 48 79.6% | 39 20.4% |
| Q2 - 4:20 | MIA | Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST) | 48 81.4% | 37 18.6% |
| Q2 - 4:40 | WAS | Dixon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 45 77.6% | 37 22.4% |
| Q2 - 4:40 | WAS | Dixon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 45 77.9% | 36 22.1% |
| Q2 - 5:00 | WAS | Songaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 45 79.6% | 35 20.4% |
| Q2 - 5:01 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot | 45 79.9% | 35 20.1% |
| Q2 - 5:19 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 45 81.1% | 35 18.9% |
| Q2 - 5:20 | WAS | MISS Haywood 7' Jump Shot | 45 80.6% | 35 19.4% |
| Q2 - 5:39 | MIA | O'Neal 13' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) | 45 79.3% | 35 20.7% |
| Q2 - 5:54 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 43 77.2% | 35 22.8% |
| Q2 - 5:55 | WAS | MISS Dixon 19' Jump Shot | 43 76.6% | 35 23.4% |
| Q2 - 6:12 | MIA | Diawara 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST) | 43 74.3% | 35 25.7% |
| Q2 - 6:26 | WAS | Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 40 70.1% | 35 29.9% |
| Q2 - 6:26 | WAS | MISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 | 40 70.6% | 34 29.4% |
| Q2 - 6:39 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 40 69.7% | 34 30.3% |
| Q2 - 6:40 | MIA | MISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 2 | 40 70.1% | 34 29.9% |
| Q2 - 6:40 | MIA | Magloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 40 71.2% | 34 28.8% |
| Q2 - 6:40 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 39 70.1% | 34 29.9% |
| Q2 - 6:41 | MIA | MISS Beasley 10' Jump Shot | 39 68.1% | 34 31.9% |
| Q2 - 7:04 | WAS | Songaila 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST) | 39 69.7% | 34 30.3% |
| Q2 - 7:14 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 39 72.0% | 32 28.0% |
| Q2 - 7:15 | MIA | MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot | 39 72.7% | 32 27.3% |
| Q2 - 7:42 | WAS | Butler 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST) | 39 74.3% | 32 25.7% |
| Q2 - 8:00 | MIA | Beasley 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST) | 39 76.3% | 30 23.7% |
| Q2 - 8:08 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 37 73.7% | 30 26.3% |
| Q2 - 8:09 | WAS | MISS Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 37 73.0% | 30 27.0% |
| Q2 - 8:32 | MIA | Quinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST) | 37 71.6% | 30 28.4% |
| Q2 - 8:47 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 34 66.9% | 30 33.1% |
| Q2 - 8:48 | WAS | MISS Haywood 15' Jump Shot | 34 66.2% | 30 33.8% |
| Q2 - 9:18 | MIA | Magloire 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST) | 34 64.0% | 30 36.0% |
| Q2 - 9:36 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 32 61.5% | 30 38.5% |
| Q2 - 9:37 | WAS | MISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 | 32 61.2% | 30 38.8% |
| Q2 - 9:37 | WAS | MISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 | 32 59.5% | 30 40.5% |
| Q2 - 9:47 | WAS | Crittenton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 32 58.9% | 30 41.1% |
| Q2 - 9:49 | MIA | MISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 59.7% | 30 40.3% |
| Q2 - 10:04 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 61.4% | 30 38.6% |
| Q2 - 10:05 | WAS | MISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 2 | 32 61.0% | 30 39.0% |
| Q2 - 10:05 | WAS | MISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 2 | 32 59.6% | 30 40.4% |
| Q2 - 10:15 | WAS | Crittenton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 58.8% | 30 41.2% |
| Q2 - 10:16 | MIA | MISS Magloire 12' Jump Shot | 32 59.6% | 30 40.4% |
| Q2 - 10:30 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 32 61.4% | 30 38.6% |
| Q2 - 10:31 | WAS | MISS Songaila 18' Jump Shot | 32 60.6% | 30 39.4% |
| Q2 - 10:57 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 32 58.8% | 30 41.2% |
| Q2 - 10:58 | MIA | MISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot | 32 59.6% | 30 40.4% |
| Q2 - 11:15 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 61.1% | 30 38.9% |
| Q2 - 11:16 | WAS | MISS Dixon 20' Jump Shot | 32 60.3% | 30 39.7% |
| Q2 - 11:30 | MIA | Beasley Layup (4 PTS) | 32 58.6% | 30 41.4% |
| Q2 - 11:46 | WAS | Jamison 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Crittenton 6 AST) | 30 56.2% | 30 43.8% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | WAS | 30 58.6% | 28 41.4% | |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 30 58.6% | 28 41.4% |
| Q1 - 0:05.0 | MIA | MISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 2 | 30 58.8% | 28 41.2% |
| Q1 - 0:05.0 | MIA | MISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 2 | 30 60.0% | 28 40.0% |
| Q1 - 0:06.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 30 60.4% | 28 39.6% |
| Q1 - 0:07.0 | MIA | MISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 30 59.1% | 28 40.9% |
| Q1 - 0:28.0 | WAS | Butler Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS) | 30 60.4% | 28 39.6% |
| Q1 - 0:35.0 | WAS | McGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 30 65.5% | 25 34.5% |
| Q1 - 0:36.0 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 30 65.8% | 25 34.2% |
| Q1 - 0:36.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 30 67.3% | 25 32.7% |
| Q1 - 0:46.0 | WAS | Crittenton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 29 65.0% | 25 35.0% |
| Q1 - 0:46.0 | WAS | Crittenton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 29 65.7% | 24 34.3% |
| Q1 - 0:50.0 | WAS | Blatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 67.7% | 23 32.3% |
| Q1 - 0:51.0 | MIA | MISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot | 29 68.2% | 23 31.8% |
| Q1 - 1:15 | WAS | Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST) | 29 68.9% | 23 31.1% |
| Q1 - 1:31 | MIA | Magloire Layup (2 PTS) | 29 73.4% | 20 26.6% |
| Q1 - 1:50 | WAS | Butler Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 27 70.9% | 20 29.1% |
| Q1 - 2:02 | WAS | McGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 27 74.6% | 17 25.4% |
| Q1 - 2:03 | MIA | MISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 75.0% | 17 25.0% |
| Q1 - 2:13 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 27 76.0% | 17 24.0% |
| Q1 - 2:13 | MIA | MISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 1 | 27 74.8% | 17 25.2% |
| Q1 - 2:19 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 25 72.5% | 17 27.5% |
| Q1 - 2:20 | MIA | MISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 71.5% | 17 28.5% |
| Q1 - 2:47 | WAS | Young 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Crittenton 4 AST) | 25 72.5% | 17 27.5% |
| Q1 - 3:08 | MIA | Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 25 76.2% | 14 23.8% |
| Q1 - 3:29 | WAS | Blatche Dunk (2 PTS) (Crittenton 3 AST) | 22 72.7% | 14 27.3% |
| Q1 - 3:36 | MIA | Butler STEAL (2 STL) | 22 74.5% | 12 25.5% |
| Q1 - 3:38 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 22 76.2% | 12 23.8% |
| Q1 - 3:40 | WAS | MISS Haywood 3' Jump Shot | 22 75.6% | 12 24.4% |
| Q1 - 3:58 | MIA | Moon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Diawara 2 AST) | 22 74.5% | 12 25.5% |
| Q1 - 4:20 | WAS | Butler 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Crittenton 2 AST) | 19 70.4% | 12 29.6% |
| Q1 - 4:35 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3) | 19 72.1% | 10 27.9% |
| Q1 - 4:47 | MIA | Moon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 19 74.0% | 10 26.0% |
| Q1 - 4:48 | WAS | MISS Haywood 15' Jump Shot | 19 73.4% | 10 26.6% |
| Q1 - 5:10 | MIA | O'Neal 5' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) | 19 71.4% | 10 28.6% |
| Q1 - 5:12 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 17 69.8% | 10 30.2% |
| Q1 - 5:13 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 2' Layup | 17 68.4% | 10 31.6% |
| Q1 - 5:22 | MIA | Moon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 17 69.9% | 10 30.1% |
| Q1 - 5:24 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 68.4% | 10 31.6% |
| Q1 - 5:45 | WAS | Haywood 4' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (McGuire 2 AST) | 17 69.9% | 10 30.1% |
| Q1 - 6:06 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 17 71.3% | 8 28.7% |
| Q1 - 6:10 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 17 73.1% | 8 26.9% |
| Q1 - 6:11 | WAS | MISS Blatche 20' Jump Shot | 17 72.5% | 8 27.5% |
| Q1 - 6:32 | MIA | Moon 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST) | 17 71.3% | 8 28.7% |
| Q1 - 6:56 | WAS | Haywood 2' Putback Dunk (8 PTS) | 15 69.6% | 8 30.4% |
| Q1 - 6:58 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 15 71.3% | 6 28.7% |
| Q1 - 6:59 | WAS | MISS Butler 2' Layup | 15 72.5% | 6 27.5% |
| Q1 - 7:06 | MIA | Butler STEAL (1 STL) | 15 71.2% | 6 28.8% |
| Q1 - 7:11 | MIA | Diawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 15 73.1% | 6 26.9% |
| Q1 - 7:12 | WAS | MISS Crittenton 3PT Jump Shot | 15 72.5% | 6 27.5% |
| Q1 - 7:29 | MIA | O'Neal 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 15 71.2% | 6 28.8% |
| Q1 - 7:48 | WAS | Haywood 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Crittenton 1 AST) | 13 69.6% | 6 30.4% |
| Q1 - 8:10 | MIA | Chalmers 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 13 71.3% | 4 28.7% |
| Q1 - 8:14 | WAS | McGuire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 11 69.5% | 4 30.5% |
| Q1 - 8:17 | WAS | McGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 11 67.7% | 4 32.3% |
| Q1 - 8:19 | WAS | MISS Butler 17' Jump Shot | 11 69.0% | 4 31.0% |
| Q1 - 8:40 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 11 67.7% | 4 32.3% |
| Q1 - 8:40 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 10 67.3% | 4 32.7% |
| Q1 - 8:50 | MIA | Diawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 65.8% | 4 34.2% |
| Q1 - 8:51 | WAS | MISS McGuire 11' Jump Shot | 9 65.2% | 4 34.8% |
| Q1 - 9:18 | MIA | Diawara 1' Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST) | 9 63.9% | 4 36.1% |
| Q1 - 9:22 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 7 61.9% | 4 38.1% |
| Q1 - 9:23 | MIA | MISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 7 60.7% | 4 39.3% |
| Q1 - 9:37 | WAS | Haywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS) | 7 61.9% | 4 38.1% |
| Q1 - 9:43 | WAS | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 65.7% | 1 34.3% |
| Q1 - 9:45 | MIA | Haywood BLOCK (1 BLK) | 7 66.2% | 1 33.8% |
| Q1 - 9:58 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 67.3% | 1 32.7% |
| Q1 - 9:59 | WAS | MISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 2 | 7 67.1% | 1 32.9% |
| Q1 - 9:59 | WAS | Haywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 7 66.1% | 1 33.9% |
| Q1 - 10:09 | MIA | Wade 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 7 66.4% | 0 33.6% |
| Q1 - 10:16 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 5 64.9% | 0 35.1% |
| Q1 - 10:17 | WAS | MISS Butler 18' Jump Shot | 5 64.3% | 0 35.7% |
| Q1 - 10:39 | MIA | O'Neal 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 5 63.1% | 0 36.9% |
| Q1 - 10:49 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 3 61.5% | 0 38.5% |
| Q1 - 10:50 | WAS | MISS Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 3 60.9% | 0 39.1% |
| Q1 - 11:08 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 3 59.1% | 0 40.9% |
| Q1 - 11:09 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot | 3 59.6% | 0 40.4% |
| Q1 - 11:16 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 3 60.7% | 0 39.3% |
| Q1 - 11:17 | WAS | MISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 3 60.2% | 0 39.8% |
| Q1 - 11:42 | MIA | Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 3 59.1% | 0 40.9% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | WAS | Jump Ball Haywood vs. O'Neal: Tip to Wade | 0 55.9% | 0 44.1% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.30 64.8%
WAS
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
21
86%
WAS
22
34
65%
Midrange
MIA
11
25
44%
WAS
11
29
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
14
21.0
32
44%
66%
WAS
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
18
27
67%
WAS
23
36
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 33 | 83% | 16.5 / 20 | |
| J. O'Neal | 16 | 57% | 8.0 / 14 | |
| Y. Diawara | 16 | 67% | 8.0 / 12 | |
| J. Jones | 13 | 72% | 6.5 / 9 | |
| M. Beasley | 13 | 46% | 6.5 / 14 | |
| J. Moon | 11 | 110% | 5.5 / 5 | |
| C. Quinn | 5 | 63% | 2.5 / 4 | |
| J. Magloire | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| M. Chalmers | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| J. Anthony | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| D. Cook | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Wizards| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Butler | 27 | 75% | 13.5 / 18 | |
| A. Jamison | 23 | 57% | 11.5 / 20 | |
| B. Haywood | 18 | 56% | 9.0 / 16 | |
| J. Crittenton | 9 | 64% | 4.5 / 7 | |
| D. McGuire | 6 | 43% | 3.0 / 7 | |
| J. Dixon | 5 | 42% | 2.5 / 6 | |
| D. Songaila | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| J. McGee | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 | |
| O. Pecherov | 3 | 150% | 1.5 / 1 | |
| N. Young | 3 | 150% | 1.5 / 1 | |
| A. Blatche | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
82
+9
-11
91
WAS
80
+11
-13
91
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.30 64.8%
WAS
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 107.6 104.8 | MIA 126.9 +15.1 WAS 111.8 |
| Pace | 90.2 91.6 | MIA 90.1 WAS 96.7 +6.6 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.3 15.8 | MIA 16.0 WAS 14.9 +1.1 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.0% 48.0% | MIA 64.1% +10.1% WAS 54.0% |
| TO % | 13.1% 14.7% | MIA 11.8% +0.7% WAS 12.5% |
| ORB % | 24.6% 27.8% | MIA 16.2% WAS 24.4% +8.2% |
| FTrt | 28.2 29.3 | MIA 34.6 WAS 48.0 +13.4 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 55.1% 54.8% | MIA 69.8% +1.4% WAS 68.4% |
| STL % | 8.7% 8.2% | MIA 4.3% WAS 8.6% +4.3% |
| BLK % | 9.2% 7.6% | MIA 3.2% +1.0% WAS 2.2% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.6% 51.2% | MIA 64.8% +8.3% WAS 56.5% |
| Rim FG% | 59.5% 57.5% | MIA 85.7% +21.0% WAS 64.7% |
| Mid FG% | 41.8% 39.4% | MIA 44.0% +6.1% WAS 37.9% |
| 3P % | 35.7% 33.0% | MIA 43.8% +2.1% WAS 41.7% |
| FT % | 75.4% 76.7% | MIA 66.7% +2.8% WAS 63.9% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 30.3% 37.3% | MIA 26.9% WAS 45.3% +18.4% |
| Mid Att. % | 45.2% 44.7% | MIA 32.1% +6.6% WAS 38.7% |
| 3P Att. % | 24.5% 18.0% | MIA 41.0% +25.0% WAS 16.0% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.
| Game Totals | MIA | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 93 | 93 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.8 | 23.1 |
| Points | 118 | 104 |
| Rebounds | 37 | 41 |
| Assists | 30 | 26 |
| Steals | 4 | 8 |
| Blocks | 2 | 1 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 11 (1) | 13 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 6 (3) | 10 (1) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 31 (2) | 31 (1) |
| Field Goals | 43-78 | 38-75 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 18-21 | 22-34 |
| Midrange FG | 11-25 | 11-29 |
| 2-Point FG | 29-46 | 33-63 |
| 3-Point FG | 14-32 | 5-12 |
| Free Throws | 18-27 | 23-36 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.