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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 4, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Grizzlies30%92107
25Bucks70%99102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.5
41.1
35.8
17
72%
6
9
2
1
0
3
0
6
1-2
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
46%
4-6
67%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.4
39.9
37.9
12
51%
0
7
1
1
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
1-5
5-11
20%
46%
2-5
40%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
36.5
37.6
26
69%
4
2
3
1
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
7-14
6-13
50%
48%
3-3
100%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.2
34.8
30.7
19
59%
10
0
0
1
0
3
2
8
11-14
79%
4-10
4-8
40%
53%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
19.9
15.8
4
50%
8
1
1
1
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.5
23.7
12.7
7
70%
4
3
1
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.7
21.6
21.1
12
80%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
8-8
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.3
14.9
13.9
6
77%
4
1
2
1
1
3
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
1-2
50%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.8
7.5
11.2
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.9
0.3
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.9
11.3
0
1-2
41%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
2.5
0
0-1
47%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.1
41.4
29.6
23
84%
7
5
0
1
0
2
2
5
4-4
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
5-8
63%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.0
32.3
32.9
16
67%
3
11
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
7-11
6-12
64%
49%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.8
30.9
33.6
24
67%
6
2
2
1
0
0
0
6
8-9
89%
5-11
6-12
45%
50%
2-3
67%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.6
26.2
28.4
14
44%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
5-10
5-10
50%
52%
1-5
20%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.2
20.5
20.9
2
100%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
52%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
27.9
25.4
6
63%
2
3
3
1
2
2
2
0
0-4
0%
3-3
3-6
100%
50%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.9
22.6
6.9
8
67%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
2-5
40%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.8
16.2
9.9
2
17%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
1-3
17%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.1
13.7
15.5
2
17%
0
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
6.4
18.0
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.6
2.0
4.1
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
1-1
100%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.1
13.4
0
1-2
50%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.6
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.